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    Cubs-Padres Game Three Thread: Sudden Death Baseball

    It all comes down to this. The Cubs and Padres square off to determine who has the right to face the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS.

    Brandon Glick
    Image courtesy of © Matt Marton-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Padres pitching dominated Cubs hitters on Wednesday, forcing a winner-take-all Game 3 in Chicago. The starters are right-handers Jameson Taillon for Chicago and Yu Darvish for San Diego. In 2025, Taillon posted a 3.68 ERA, and Darvish a 5.38 as an injury-plagued season limited him to only 15 starts. Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) tells a different story, though; Taillon has a 2025 FIP of 5.00, and Darvish has a 4.83 FIP. This game is unlikely to become a pitcher's duel, at least until both teams reach into their respective bullpens.

    Cubs Bullpen Usage
    Game 1 (Tuesday), Chicago’s relief corps delivered 4 2/3 perfect innings behind starter Matthew Boyd. The sequence was Daniel Palencia for 1 2/3, then Drew Pomeranz, Andrew Kittredge, and Brad Keller covering the final three innings. In Game 2 (Wednesday), the Cubs used an opener approach. Andrew Kittredge handled the 1st, followed by Shota Imanaga for bulk innings. After that, lefty Caleb Thielbar, righty Colin Rea, and lefty Taylor Rogers finished it off; their batters faced were Kittredge 5, Imanaga 17, Thielbar 4, Rea 6, Rogers 3.  Kittredge is the only Cubs pitcher to appear in both games so far, and he is likely out for Thursday's game as a result. 

    Padres Bullpen Usage
    Game 1, San Diego followed starter Nick Pivetta with Adrian Morejon, Mason Miller, and Jeremiah Estrada. In Game 2, Dylan Cease started and worked 3 2/3. Adrian Morejon covered 2 1/3 innings and threw 33 pitches, Mason Miller struck out the first five batters he faced and threw 27 pitches, and Robert Suarez recorded a four-out save to close a 3-0 win. It's likely that both Morejon and Miller will be unavailable for Thursday's game, but given the nature of the situation, it might be all hands on deck for Mike Shildt.

    Padres Batters Vs Jameson Taillon

    Jameson Taillon vs. San Diego Padres: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Xander Bogaerts R 28 28 6 3 0 0 2 0 5 .214 .214 .321 .536 0 0 0 0 1
    2 Ryan O'Hearn L 17 16 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 .188 .235 .188 .423 0 0 0 0 1
    3 Martín Maldonado R 16 14 4 1 0 1 1 1 2 .286 .375 .571 .946 0 0 1 1 1
    4 Luis Arráez L 13 13 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .231 .231 .231 .462 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Jose Iglesias R 13 13 7 2 0 1 3 0 1 .538 .538 .923 1.462 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Gavin Sheets L 11 10 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 .300 .364 .400 .764 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Fernando Tatis Jr. R 6 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 .833 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Manny Machado R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Jake Cronenworth L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Freddy Fermin R 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/2/2025.

    Cubs Batters Vs Yu Darvish

    Yu Darvish vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Justin Turner R 27 24 5 1 0 1 1 3 10 .208 .296 .375 .671 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Dansby Swanson R 22 19 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 .158 .273 .211 .483 0 0 1 0 0
    3 Ian Happ B 14 13 2 0 0 0 2 1 6 .154 .214 .154 .368 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Nico Hoerner R 11 10 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 .200 .273 .400 .673 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Carson Kelly R 10 10 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 .300 .300 .300 .600 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 6 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Seiya Suzuki R 5 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 .250 .400 .500 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Michael Busch L 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/2/2025.

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    UMFan83

    Posted

    What were the advantages of moving Horton to the IL?  With expanded rosters at the end of the season they wouldn't have to call anyone up to name their postseason roster if they just left Horton off of it right?

    Asking because it sounds like the Cubs can't put Horton on the NLDS roster because he's on the IL, and in order for him to play in the NLDS someone would have to get hurt for him to be activated, and I'm sure a mysterious injury after Game 4 would cause some outcry from the Brewers/MLB.

    Maybe it doesn't matter, maybe Horton never had a legitimate shot of being back for Game 5.  Maybe the Cubs leave him off the NLDS roster anyways unless they're certain he can be back by Game 5.  Just don't see the advantage of putting him on the IL in that situation.

    Soul

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

    What were the advantages of moving Horton to the IL?  With expanded rosters at the end of the season they wouldn't have to call anyone up to name their postseason roster if they just left Horton off of it right?

    Asking because it sounds like the Cubs can't put Horton on the NLDS roster because he's on the IL, and in order for him to play in the NLDS someone would have to get hurt for him to be activated, and I'm sure a mysterious injury after Game 4 would cause some outcry from the Brewers/MLB.

    Maybe it doesn't matter, maybe Horton never had a legitimate shot of being back for Game 5.  Maybe the Cubs leave him off the NLDS roster anyways unless they're certain he can be back by Game 5.  Just don't see the advantage of putting him on the IL in that situation.

    They must have solid info from the doctors that he simply can't do it safely.

    mul21

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

    What were the advantages of moving Horton to the IL?  With expanded rosters at the end of the season they wouldn't have to call anyone up to name their postseason roster if they just left Horton off of it right?

    Asking because it sounds like the Cubs can't put Horton on the NLDS roster because he's on the IL, and in order for him to play in the NLDS someone would have to get hurt for him to be activated, and I'm sure a mysterious injury after Game 4 would cause some outcry from the Brewers/MLB.

    Maybe it doesn't matter, maybe Horton never had a legitimate shot of being back for Game 5.  Maybe the Cubs leave him off the NLDS roster anyways unless they're certain he can be back by Game 5.  Just don't see the advantage of putting him on the IL in that situation.

    It almost feels like that was a move to make sure Horton wasn't pushing to pitch before he was ready and I also think there was some thought to innings needed in the final few games against the Cards so they had the arms available they wanted to for the WC round.

    Bertz

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

    What were the advantages of moving Horton to the IL?  With expanded rosters at the end of the season they wouldn't have to call anyone up to name their postseason roster if they just left Horton off of it right?

    Asking because it sounds like the Cubs can't put Horton on the NLDS roster because he's on the IL, and in order for him to play in the NLDS someone would have to get hurt for him to be activated, and I'm sure a mysterious injury after Game 4 would cause some outcry from the Brewers/MLB.

    Maybe it doesn't matter, maybe Horton never had a legitimate shot of being back for Game 5.  Maybe the Cubs leave him off the NLDS roster anyways unless they're certain he can be back by Game 5.  Just don't see the advantage of putting him on the IL in that situation.

    Jordan Wicks ate 3 innings Sunday allowing the bullpen to come into the WC completely rested.  Pretty valuable in a series where we were side-eying every member of the rotation coming in.

    I'd also guess that a minimum 15 day stay is a pipe dream regardless, but we'll see.

    • Like 1
    UMFan83

    Posted

    Anyone hear anything about Amaya's progress?  I saw he was working out in Chicago last week.  Reese has done a nice job this year but I'd love to have Amaya back as an option off the bench as long as he's not completely rusty. 

    The other question is, if the Cubs decide to add another pitcher, which I think they will, who do they remove?  Options are Ballasteros, Alcantara, Turner or Castro.  Balla has the hottest bat in the bunch but is the most limited defensively.  Alcantara would likely only be dropped if they felt Tucker can play OF in the series, unless they are ok with Castro playing there in a pinch.  Speaking of Castro, his hitting has been terrible but they need someone to backup 3B and he has the most defensive versatility so he'll probably stay.  The last option is Turner but they've kept him on the roster all year and they'll want an option vs lefties.  

    I think I'd drop Alcantara with the knowledge that Castro can play OF in an emergency if Tucker can't play the field and something happens to one of our regulars.  And then add Assad.

    Tryptamine

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, UMFan83 said:

    Anyone hear anything about Amaya's progress?  I saw he was working out in Chicago last week.  Reese has done a nice job this year but I'd love to have Amaya back as an option off the bench as long as he's not completely rusty. 

    The other question is, if the Cubs decide to add another pitcher, which I think they will, who do they remove?  Options are Ballasteros, Alcantara, Turner or Castro.  Balla has the hottest bat in the bunch but is the most limited defensively.  Alcantara would likely only be dropped if they felt Tucker can play OF in the series, unless they are ok with Castro playing there in a pinch.  Speaking of Castro, his hitting has been terrible but they need someone to backup 3B and he has the most defensive versatility so he'll probably stay.  The last option is Turner but they've kept him on the roster all year and they'll want an option vs lefties.  

    I think I'd drop Alcantara with the knowledge that Castro can play OF in an emergency if Tucker can't play the field and something happens to one of our regulars.  And then add Assad.

     I think any hope of Amaya coming back died when he couldn't get regular season ABs. They aren't going to bring him back to his first game action in a long time while in the playoffs.

    • Like 1
    Connor McConnor

    Posted (edited)

    2 hours ago, gflore34 said:

      If I were a Brewers fan, I'd be really worried about facing the Dodgers.  Dodgers are not the same team they went 7-0 against in the regular season.

    I'm sure they are not worried about facing anyone.  Especially a team they went 7-0 against.  No matter who it is or when it was.  

    Edited by Connor McConnor
    CubUgly

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Jason Ross said:

    His glove is likely too important. The Cubs are going to be in another low scoring series. Castro might be able to draw in if you expect a high-fly-ball game and a pitcher who has a strong LHH split, but I think you roll with the glove. Swanson and Hoerner showed last night how you can create your own variance (similar xBA' but the Cubs had 2x the hits because those two ate up about 4 of them). Shaw at 3b will help to create the variance defensively.

    I agree - hell Dansby was the MVP of this series because of his glove.  Shaw has shown he can make similar type game saving plays at third, and certainly significantly better than anyone that would replace him. 

    gflore34

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, Connor McConnor said:

    I'm sure they are not worried about facing anyone.  Especially a team they went 7-0 against.  No matter who it is or when it was.  

    Guess it was 6-0 and you're correct, they'll just roll over the Dodgers like the Cubs did to the Mets in 2015.

    Connor McConnor

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, gflore34 said:

    Guess it was 6-0 and you're correct, they'll just roll over the Dodgers like the Cubs did to the Mets in 2015.

    Not what I said, but whatever.  

    Bertz

    Posted

    1 hour ago, UMFan83 said:

    Anyone hear anything about Amaya's progress?  I saw he was working out in Chicago last week.  Reese has done a nice job this year but I'd love to have Amaya back as an option off the bench as long as he's not completely rusty. 

    The other question is, if the Cubs decide to add another pitcher, which I think they will, who do they remove?  Options are Ballasteros, Alcantara, Turner or Castro.  Balla has the hottest bat in the bunch but is the most limited defensively.  Alcantara would likely only be dropped if they felt Tucker can play OF in the series, unless they are ok with Castro playing there in a pinch.  Speaking of Castro, his hitting has been terrible but they need someone to backup 3B and he has the most defensive versatility so he'll probably stay.  The last option is Turner but they've kept him on the roster all year and they'll want an option vs lefties.  

    I think I'd drop Alcantara with the knowledge that Castro can play OF in an emergency if Tucker can't play the field and something happens to one of our regulars.  And then add Assad.

    I think Amaya is healthy he just ran out of time to get ready.  Like he started a few games for Iowa, so I think if there was an injury he'd be added immediately.  I doubt he gets added otherwise though.  Kelly can play every day from here on because of the off days.  And McGuire provides better defense than Amaya in a situation where e.g. you pinch hit Mo for Kelly.

    And I agree I'd guess Alcantara is the guy who loses his spot too.  Maybe he comes back if we face the Phillies next round?  But otherwise Castro can cover.  

    gflore34

    Posted

    39 minutes ago, minnesotacubsfan said:

    I know we give the HP umpires lots of horsefeathers, it's got to be hard to call balls and strikes.  Horizontally, no problem same for every hitter, vertically is were the difficulty comes in.  It changes from batter to batter and the HP has to figure that out instantly, it can't be easy.  That said, I'm all for removing umpires from the strike calling equation, they lack true consistency and they'll never have it because they're human.

    Rcal10

    Posted (edited)

    2 hours ago, mul21 said:

    The Brewers put an incredible number of balls in play compared to most teams because they don't strike out much and don't hit a lot of homers.  You also probably don't close that game out like they did last night if Shaw isn't playing 3rd.  I don't think anybody else on the roster gets that 2nd out in the 9th on the slow hopper.

    I get playing Shaw for his defense and hoping he can add something with the bat. Castro isn’t exactly an offensive force anyway. However, I think there is some exaggeration in your comment that no one could have made that play at 3rd. It was only close because Shaw bobbled the ball or hesitated a brief moment. I think Castro makes that play. Again, I do agree Shaw is a better glove and CC  will lean defense. So Shaw might be the guy. But I don’t think that play in the 9th was anything special. It was made close because he misplayed it a little. 

    Edited by Rcal10
    gflore34

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Connor McConnor said:

    Not what I said, but whatever.  

    No problem.

    UMFan83

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Bertz said:

    I think Amaya is healthy he just ran out of time to get ready.  Like he started a few games for Iowa, so I think if there was an injury he'd be added immediately.  I doubt he gets added otherwise though.  Kelly can play every day from here on because of the off days.  And McGuire provides better defense than Amaya in a situation where e.g. you pinch hit Mo for Kelly.

    And I agree I'd guess Alcantara is the guy who loses his spot too.  Maybe he comes back if we face the Phillies next round?  But otherwise Castro can cover.  

    It really sucks that this was essentially a lost season for Amaya.  He hit so well to end 2024 and came out in 2025 looking really good.  Luckily Kelly did a great job in his absence but I would have loved to have seen a full season of Amaya to determine if his improvements were for real or just a hot streak.

    Rcal10

    Posted

    1 minute ago, UMFan83 said:

    It really sucks that this was essentially a lost season for Amaya.  He hit so well to end 2024 and came out in 2025 looking really good.  Luckily Kelly did a great job in his absence but I would have loved to have seen a full season of Amaya to determine if his improvements were for real or just a hot streak.

    I actually forgot about him when discussing what this team has overcome. All things considered  they had a great season. No Steele or Assad for most of the year. Shota and Jamo missing starts, Amaya out most of the year. Tucker missed 30+games and now Horton. And they still won 92 games and a playoff series. Great season. 

    • Like 1
    Soul

    Posted

    27 minutes ago, gflore34 said:

    I know we give the HP umpires lots of horsefeathers, it's got to be hard to call balls and strikes.  Horizontally, no problem same for every hitter, vertically is were the difficulty comes in.  It changes from batter to batter and the HP has to figure that out instantly, it can't be easy.  That said, I'm all for removing umpires from the strike calling equation, they lack true consistency and they'll never have it because they're human.

    Agreed.  I’m looking forward to next year in that regard.

    There is a lot of crying about that call today as you’d expect.  I’d be really PO’d too but also, there’s 8 goose eggs on the board heading into that inning.  A single bad call doesn’t happen in a vacuum.  The Padres put an awful lot on their star players to produce and 0-11 just isn’t gonna cut it. I know it’s really easy to say that when your team won though.

    Stratos

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Derwood said:

    Had Horton been healthy, he would have already pitched in the SD series, so we would be getting just the one LDS start out of him regardless

    He might have pitched Game 1 of wild card round, so could start twice in division series.  Oh well

    minnesotacubsfan

    Posted

    1 hour ago, gflore34 said:

    I know we give the HP umpires lots of horsefeathers, it's got to be hard to call balls and strikes.  Horizontally, no problem same for every hitter, vertically is were the difficulty comes in.  It changes from batter to batter and the HP has to figure that out instantly, it can't be easy.  That said, I'm all for removing umpires from the strike calling equation, they lack true consistency and they'll never have it because they're human.

    yea, as fans its easy to jump down an umpires throat about calls like that one. I go both ways on this, for the most part I'm happy with human umpires but every now and then I witness an Angel Hernandez circa 1998 and I feel very different

     

     

    Cuzi

    Posted (edited)

    I would be 100% against ABS if MLB did even a little bit of something to punish guys like Angel Hernandez. At least do what soccer does and relegate the worst teams. They have all the tools to grade performance on these guys. Send the worst ones back to the minors until they get horsefeathers right.

    Edited by Cuzi
    • Like 1
    Derwood

    Posted

    38 minutes ago, Cuzi said:

    I would be 100% against ABS if MLB did even a little bit of something to punish guys like Angel Hernandez. At least do what soccer does and relegate the worst teams. They have all the tools to grade performance on these guys. Send the worst ones back to the minors until they get horsefeathers right.

    There was an ump early in the season who pre-warned both teams about not tapping their helmets during the game (or he would insta-toss them). He went on to miss 22 calls in that game and over 1200 for the season

    cubfansince77

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Rcal10 said:

    I actually forgot about him when discussing what this team has overcome. All things considered  they had a great season. No Steele or Assad for most of the year. Shota and Jamo missing starts, Amaya out most of the year. Tucker missed 30+games and now Horton. And they still won 92 games and a playoff series. Great season. 

    This is what I told a friend of mine who is a Tigers fans. Most folks out there really don't know what this team went through. They got a lot of heart IMO.

    kycubsfan

    Posted

    I'll never forget what theo, maddon, jake, tony and javy did, but man those final years were so frustrating. what we've been through is in no way a curse or drought, but it had been long enough that I felt a tremendous weight lifted yesterday.

    gflore34

    Posted

    Just reflecting a little on 1984, I'll never understand Frey' logic of going with Sanderson in game 4.  Trout should have started maybe, the Cubs still lose that game unfortunately, we'll never know.




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