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    Cubs-Padres Game Three Thread: Sudden Death Baseball

    It all comes down to this. The Cubs and Padres square off to determine who has the right to face the Milwaukee Brewers in the NLDS.

    Brandon Glick
    Image courtesy of © Matt Marton-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    Padres pitching dominated Cubs hitters on Wednesday, forcing a winner-take-all Game 3 in Chicago. The starters are right-handers Jameson Taillon for Chicago and Yu Darvish for San Diego. In 2025, Taillon posted a 3.68 ERA, and Darvish a 5.38 as an injury-plagued season limited him to only 15 starts. Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) tells a different story, though; Taillon has a 2025 FIP of 5.00, and Darvish has a 4.83 FIP. This game is unlikely to become a pitcher's duel, at least until both teams reach into their respective bullpens.

    Cubs Bullpen Usage
    Game 1 (Tuesday), Chicago’s relief corps delivered 4 2/3 perfect innings behind starter Matthew Boyd. The sequence was Daniel Palencia for 1 2/3, then Drew Pomeranz, Andrew Kittredge, and Brad Keller covering the final three innings. In Game 2 (Wednesday), the Cubs used an opener approach. Andrew Kittredge handled the 1st, followed by Shota Imanaga for bulk innings. After that, lefty Caleb Thielbar, righty Colin Rea, and lefty Taylor Rogers finished it off; their batters faced were Kittredge 5, Imanaga 17, Thielbar 4, Rea 6, Rogers 3.  Kittredge is the only Cubs pitcher to appear in both games so far, and he is likely out for Thursday's game as a result. 

    Padres Bullpen Usage
    Game 1, San Diego followed starter Nick Pivetta with Adrian Morejon, Mason Miller, and Jeremiah Estrada. In Game 2, Dylan Cease started and worked 3 2/3. Adrian Morejon covered 2 1/3 innings and threw 33 pitches, Mason Miller struck out the first five batters he faced and threw 27 pitches, and Robert Suarez recorded a four-out save to close a 3-0 win. It's likely that both Morejon and Miller will be unavailable for Thursday's game, but given the nature of the situation, it might be all hands on deck for Mike Shildt.

    Padres Batters Vs Jameson Taillon

    Jameson Taillon vs. San Diego Padres: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Xander Bogaerts R 28 28 6 3 0 0 2 0 5 .214 .214 .321 .536 0 0 0 0 1
    2 Ryan O'Hearn L 17 16 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 .188 .235 .188 .423 0 0 0 0 1
    3 Martín Maldonado R 16 14 4 1 0 1 1 1 2 .286 .375 .571 .946 0 0 1 1 1
    4 Luis Arráez L 13 13 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .231 .231 .231 .462 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Jose Iglesias R 13 13 7 2 0 1 3 0 1 .538 .538 .923 1.462 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Gavin Sheets L 11 10 3 1 0 0 0 1 3 .300 .364 .400 .764 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Fernando Tatis Jr. R 6 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 .833 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Manny Machado R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Jake Cronenworth L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Freddy Fermin R 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/2/2025.

    Cubs Batters Vs Yu Darvish

    Yu Darvish vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Justin Turner R 27 24 5 1 0 1 1 3 10 .208 .296 .375 .671 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Dansby Swanson R 22 19 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 .158 .273 .211 .483 0 0 1 0 0
    3 Ian Happ B 14 13 2 0 0 0 2 1 6 .154 .214 .154 .368 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Nico Hoerner R 11 10 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 .200 .273 .400 .673 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Carson Kelly R 10 10 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 .300 .300 .300 .600 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 6 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Seiya Suzuki R 5 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 .250 .400 .500 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Michael Busch L 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/2/2025.

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    Featured Comments

    ILMindState

    Posted

    I predict that during a critical part of this game, the ghost of Ryno will cause a Padres infielder to completely whiff on a routine grounder Leon Durham style which will lead to multiple runs. 

    • Like 1
    PeanutPunch33

    Posted

    If the Cubs win today, that next round matchup vs. Milwaukee will be so nuts.  They owe it to the fans to find a horsefeathers way to win today 

    • Like 1
    Chicago Al

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Bruno7481 said:

    I fully expect Morejon and Miller to pitch if they need them to.  I don’t think they are off limits at all.

    Miller’s been lights out, there’s no way he’s sitting today. If the Padres are in a situation where they have to neutralize the Cubs in any way I would bet he comes in. 

    chibears55

    Posted

    32 minutes ago, Outshined_One said:

    People are crapping on PCA and Happ for not hitting, but he's been as bad as them without anyone commenting on it.

    Mainly because PCA, and Happ are supposed to be more of the main guys in the offense than Shaw, you're expecting more from them.

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Bruno7481 said:

    I fully expect Morejon and Miller to pitch if they need them to.  I don’t think they are off limits at all.

    I doubt they will fully be off limits, but with the 3-batter minimum it takes one PA to swing that into a very tired reliever. I'd imagine neither have more than a hitter in a critical spot in terms of "ideal usage" today. So either you don't use them or the Cubs will face guys who will at the very least be tired and if you can get them into a place where they have to face three hitters, the fatigue is going to set in.

    Morejon just went his season's high in usage last night. And while eh didn't throw a ton Tuesday, still threw. He's going to be running as close to on fumes as you'll see him.

    squally1313

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, Chicago Al said:

    Miller’s been lights out, there’s no way he’s sitting today. If the Padres are in a situation where they have to neutralize the Cubs in any way I would bet he comes in. 

    While there's a good chance we're going to see Miller (and even Morejon, maybe), they're most likely not going to be able to get 4 innings worth of outs out of them like they did yesterday. Guessing we'll see Estrada for a couple, but he's a step below those two. 

    Either way, the first couple innings are going to be big, both in terms of facing bad pitchers and also just to get a little bit of pressure off. 

    • Like 1
    ILMindState

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    I doubt they will fully be off limits, but with the 3-batter minimum it takes one PA to swing that into a very tired reliever. I'd imagine neither have more than a hitter in a critical spot in terms of "ideal usage" today. So either you don't use them or the Cubs will face guys who will at the very least be tired and if you can get them into a place where they have to face three hitters, the fatigue is going to set in.

    Morejon just went his season's high in usage last night. And while eh didn't throw a ton Tuesday, still threw. He's going to be running as close to on fumes as you'll see him.

    Hopefully we get a Chapman in WS game 7 type performance with these guys.

    Old Style

    Posted

    Cut Shaw some slack. He’s still dealing with the death of his close racist podcaster friend a month ago. 

    • Like 1
    • Disagree 2
    • Haha 3
    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Bertz said:

    - Are Miller or Morejon available?  The answer *should* be no, but the Padres have an almost pathological need to fail the marshmallow test.  And this is probably their last run (mayyybe next year)

    Of course they are, and I absolutely expect Miller to pitch unless it is a blowout one way or the other.

    BigSlick

    Posted

    Please score a run today, preferably several, or even many 

    BigSlick

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Outshined_One said:

    People are crapping on PCA and Happ for not hitting, but he's been as bad as them without anyone commenting on it.

    the fact that he had a month where he was indisputably the best hitter on the team and carrying the offense was far more than i ever expected from him (as a player, not a human) 

    Connor McConnor

    Posted

    It's been a while since I have been to Wrigley.  Are the shadows still a factor with a 5 PM start in early October?

    Caesar

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Bertz said:

    Craig playing it straight

     

    Hopefully they do well because all Cubs batters in lineup have a terrible numbers against Darvish. 

    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Connor McConnor said:

    It's been a while since I have been to Wrigley.  Are the shadows still a factor with a 5 PM start in early October?

    I wouldn't think so.

    CubUgly

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Outshined_One said:

    People are crapping on PCA and Happ for not hitting, but he's been as bad as them without anyone commenting on it.

    To be fair - No. 1 he's our 9 hole hitter and the expectations were not as high for him. 

    Brian707

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Connor McConnor said:

    It's been a while since I have been to Wrigley.  Are the shadows still a factor with a 5 PM start in early October?

    4PM but shouldn't be an issue

    Rcal10

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Caesar said:

    Hopefully they do well because all Cubs batters in lineup have a terrible numbers against Darvish. 

    Pretty small sample size by all of them. And all when Darvish was a better pitcher than he is now. Darvish has really regressed this year. Not sure comparing what the Cubs did against him years ago, when he was actually good, is relevant today. But your right. They didn’t hit a younger, better, Darvish in the past.

    Caesar

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Rcal10 said:

    Pretty small sample size by all of them. And all when Darvish was a better pitcher than he is now. Darvish has really regressed this year. Not sure comparing what the Cubs did against him years ago, when he was actually good, is relevant today. But your right. They didn’t hit a younger, better, Darvish in the past.

    I hope you’re right. They need 4 runs to win today anything less and you’re asking the pitchers to be perfect. Score 5 and I guarantee a win..

    Caesar

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Caesar said:

    I hope you’re right. They need 4 runs to win today anything less and you’re asking the pitchers to be perfect. Score 5 and I guarantee a win..

    I almost forgot! Yu Darvish is a mental ****** and cracks under pressure so hopefully this will come into play.

    • Disagree 1
    squally1313

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Caesar said:

    I almost forgot! Yu Darvish is a mental ****** and cracks under pressure so hopefully this will come into play.

    This tracks as his career playoff ERA is all of 0.12 runs higher than his career regular season ERA, good call. 

    • Haha 4
    Derwood

    Posted

    Just put up a 10 spot in the 1st and coast to victory

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Outshined_One said:

    People are crapping on PCA and Happ for not hitting, but he's been as bad as them without anyone commenting on it.

    Probably because people expect less than nothing from him.

    Bertz

    Posted

    36 minutes ago, Caesar said:

    I almost forgot! Yu Darvish is a mental ****** and cracks under pressure so hopefully this will come into play.

    Guy who can't figure out the Quote button is calling a hall of fame athlete a mental ******, sure

    • Haha 6
    chopsx9

    Posted

    I'm fully expecting Darvish to give up 5 in the 2nd, and then, as he is walking off , he'll rip off his Padres jersey to reveal a "FO23VR" t-shirt.  Then laugh maniacally as he shouts "I've been a Cub this entire time!"  The long con is the best con!

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
    Caesar

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Bertz said:

    Guy who can't figure out the Quote button is calling a hall of fame athlete a mental ******, sure

    Relax keyboard monitor ! Is he related to you? Calm down Sally!




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