Sacrifice Bunting vs. Hitting Articles?

[Mark Priors Calves]

I don't mean to start this thread as a debate but I need help in finding some articles about the statistical analysis between sacrifice bunts and runs scored vs. hitting and runs scored. I'm having trouble finding anything concrete. If anybody has any good links to articles debate the topic, I'd appreciate it.

[cubbieinexile]

Tom Tippett did some research on it. Generall speaking most people looked at from the MOB/out situation. Meaning whats the average amount runs scored with a man on first vs. a man on second with an additional out. So forth and so forth. Most people would add the other risks but in only in a suggestion form. Tippett looked into and found that the X factors like both the runner and hitter safe happened enough to skew the results making the issue less black and white then previously thought by some.

[CuseCubFan69]

Look for Don Baylor's books "Bunting 1-9" or "2 Out Sac Bunting and Why it Works"

[TB_11]

Bill Felber also did some analysis on the subject for his book The Book on the Book. Some decent analysis that uses expectations for runs scored in scenarios with differing outs and runners on.

[CubinNY]

BK wrote a nice piece for NSBB looking at small ball vs big ball (no pun intended) a while back. There might be some info in there.

[cubbieinexile]

Bill Felber also did some analysis on the subject for his book The Book on the Book. Some decent analysis that uses expectations for runs scored in scenarios with differing outs and runners on.

 

Take the book on the book and throw it away. The biggest disapointment for me since Rob Neyers lineup book. Is research on sac bunts is shoddy and too simplistic. He completely ignores the possibility of a third or fourth event happening in a Sac bunt. Merely looking at it from the angle of moving a runner over and an out or not moving the runner over and an out. Nor does he really look into from the view of different hitters and their style he simply looks at the averages. Which is a horrible horrible way to look at strategic decisions. It was an outdated book before it ever hit the printing machine.