Looks like Kearns would like to be a Cub.

[treebird]

There's a way to measure what a player's BABIP should be, or expected BABIP. A crude way to do that is to take the player's Line Drive percentage and add a constant, .110. I don't have the Line Drive numbers for Kearns' good season, but last year he only had a 12.3 LD%, with a .299 BABIP. That means that for as disappointing as Kearns was last year, he was actually quite lucky. In order for Kearns not to be in the least lucky his good season, he would need more than a quarter of the balls he puts in play to be line drives, which is a very very high percentage. Could Kearns put up numbers closer to that? Possibly, but in all likelihood he won't. Add in the fact that his production has decreased while he hasn't lost any power or patience, it leads me to believe he is regressing back to his true level.

 

i just wanted to quote this and say it was really good and that i read it, since it looks like no one else did.

 

um, ok. i guess you should read my posts, b/c it looks like you didn't. i did say that injuries could have caused the regression. we don't really know as Kearns hasn't been 100% or has been platooning. too few data points means you can make any argument you want about Kearn's BABIP.

 

unless the injury kearns sustained was blindness in one eye, and we have reason to believe his vesion is about to come back, i dont see how one could argue that it's reasonable that he's going to get that line drive percentage up to where a .370 babip is a good bet

[MeatampPotatoesMan]

fair enough.

 

i just see the potential vs. cost for Kearns to be a whole lot greater than with Dunn, who i definitely wouldn't complain about wearing cubbie blue.

[Fro]

For what it's worth, Kearns and Dunn have been heating it up the past few games.

 

Dunn is up to .250 (.10 in average behind Holla now) and Kearns is 6 for 12 with 3 RBIs since being recalled.

[snoodmonger]

found this posted on the redszone...

 

"Heres Rich Hills stats for the year... *He started in Triple-A and is now in Class A*

 

Triple-A 3.28 ERA, 57.2 Innings, 42 Hits, 21 Earned Runs, 9 Homeruns, 21 Walks, 90 Strike outs.

Double-A 4.53 ERA, 43.2 Innings, 35 Hits, 22 Earned Runs, 11 Homeruns, 11 Walks, 62 Strike outs

Major Leagues - Cubs 4.76 ERA, 5.2 Innings, 3 Hits, 3 Earned Runs, 3 Walks, 3 Strike outs.

Class A 1.13 ERA, 8 Innings, 5 Hits, 1 Earned Run, 12 Strike outs

 

The thing I dont get is how do you start out in Triple-A then go to Double-A then to the Cubs then get sent down to Class A ball?

 

Also hes given up 20 homeruns in a little over 100 innings in the minors."

 

 

It's amazing how they get the facts screwed up over there.....

 

and another interesting viewpoint...

 

"Rich Hill is not that good, he's NOT. Please, when will people get this. If Hal thinks he is the best prospect in baseball, you have to ask yourself, what the heck does Hal know about prospects?"

 

You have to wonder when you read that stuff...are Cinci fans so much more intelligent than the Reds' management? Apparently not.

 

I could probably pick out a post here and there and show it to other team's fans, giving them a less-than-favorable outlook on the intelligence of Cubs fans.

 

are you talking about me? I feel like you're talking about me.

[Letemburn5]

I dont know if this has been posted over here or not...

 

http://forums.stltoday.com/viewtopic.php?t=272159

 

Click the link to here what they have to say...