NFL Week 1

[CubColtPacer]

What has happened to the quality of QBs in the past 10+ years? There are really good ones and then the drop-off is huge.

I'm fairly certain people make that observation every single season.

 

The top QB's on average keep getting older and older though. Breaking them up into segments:

 

33 and older

Manning, Brady, Brees, Romo, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Palmer, Manning, Mccown

 

30-32

Rodgers, Ryan, Flacco, Smith, Cutler, Fitzpatrick

 

Under 30

Luck, Wilson, Newton, Stafford, Tannehill, Bradford, Bridgewater, Kaepernick, Dalton, Foles, Bortles, Winston, Mariota, Carr, Cousins, Taylor, Hoyer

 

That under 30 crowd is rough. Luck and Wilson obviously have top 5 potential. Newton might have it if he ever got weapons, but hasn't really improved since he got into the league either. The second year players aren't off to promising starts for that sort of potential, and obviously the rookies haven't had enough time. But there's going to be a massive gap when the top list starts retiring, and the last 7 drafts have not produced very many great QB's.

 

There should still be time because most of those guys will play 3-5 more years, but the trend has to reverse pretty quickly, and some of the guys will start declining before they officially hang it up.

[Banedon]

http://i.imgur.com/bOzfEQ1.jpg

[apete6]

What has happened to the quality of QBs in the past 10+ years? There are really good ones and then the drop-off is huge.

I'm fairly certain people make that observation every single season.

 

The top QB's on average keep getting older and older though. Breaking them up into segments:

 

33 and older

Manning, Brady, Brees, Romo, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Palmer, Manning, Mccown

 

30-32

Rodgers, Ryan, Flacco, Smith, Cutler, Fitzpatrick

 

Under 30

Luck, Wilson, Newton, Stafford, Tannehill, Bradford, Bridgewater, Kaepernick, Dalton, Foles, Bortles, Winston, Mariota, Carr, Cousins, Taylor, Hoyer

 

That under 30 crowd is rough. Luck and Wilson obviously have top 5 potential. Newton might have it if he ever got weapons, but hasn't really improved since he got into the league either. The second year players aren't off to promising starts for that sort of potential, and obviously the rookies haven't had enough time. But there's going to be a massive gap when the top list starts retiring, and the last 7 drafts have not produced very many great QB's.

 

There should still be time because most of those guys will play 3-5 more years, but the trend has to reverse pretty quickly, and some of the guys will start declining before they officially hang it up.

 

Yeah, replace P. Manning, Brady, and Brees with the next 3 best guys (backups or top college guys) and that list looks pretty putrid. Thought the corner was turned there for a minute but RG3 ended up being a mirage, Kaepernick looks average at best, and Newton & Stafford have never really gotten any better.

 

EDIT: That list is exactly why the Bears have stuck with Cutler for so long. He's easily still a top 15-20 QB in the league and could win a Super Bowl if on a team with an elite defense and/or playmakers around him, which you can't say for at least 10 guys on that list.