Non Tender?

[Cubswin11]

I am interested in

 

Kelly Johnson (good platoon option for Baker/can back-up OF positions as well)

Wang (Sinkerballer is always good for Wrigley, probably benefit him to move to NL)

Church

Arredondo (if we can get him cheap and for 2 years to see if he can come back next year)

Gomes (Backup 4th OF, provide a good RH bench bat)

Atkins (interested if price is right, but someone will give him a decent deal IMO, numbers are bad away from Coors)

 

 

 

Fangraphs take on Johnson, he BB more in 09 than 08 and K'd less, but his BABIP was .100 points lower.

Kelly Johnson (.268/.346/.436, .341 wOBA)

 

Let’s compare Johnson’s 2008 and 2009 seasons:

 

2008: 8.7 BB%, 20.7 K%, .159 ISO, .344 BABIP, .346 wOBA

2009: 9.6 BB%, 17.8 K%, .165 ISO, .249 BABIP, .306 wOBA

 

The lefty batter (28 in February) walked a little more this past season, punched out less, and hit for a similar amount of power. Johnson’s BABIP, however, dipped nearly 100 points. Kelly’s XBABIP was .329 in 2008 and .313 in 2009. Here are what Johnson’s lines would have looked like in ‘08 and ‘09, based on his XBABIP figures (and this is assuming all additional hits were singles):

 

2008 actual line: .287/.349/.446, .346 wOBA

2008 adjusted line: .272/.334/.431, .333 wOBA

 

2009 actual line: .224/.303/.389, .306 wOBA

2009 adjusted line: .288/.367/.453, .359 wOBA

 

Johnson is no great shakes at second base (career -7.4 UZR/150), but he can also man the outfield corners and looks to be a strong candidate to bounce back in 2010. He’s still a quality offensive player.