That begs the question, why is it hard for you to comprehend that perhaps the correct explanation here is that Marquis' stats are skewed by his July numbers (6.29 ERA in 6 starts), and the guy we saw from April through June (3.46 in 16 starts) is the "real" Marquis? If you want to throw out a stretch of starts as being anomalous, and look at the rest as being more representative of what everyone should expect going forward, then why is it that you choose to throw out three months and 16 starts' worth of results, and keep one month and 6 starts' worth? And while I'm at it, why should we expect Marquis' 2006 season (6.02 ERA) to be the proper benchmark for his future production, and not his 2005 (4.13) or 2004 (3.71) seasons? Why is it so hard for people to understand trends? He has been on a downward spiral for 3 months now, but people still refer to his April 2.35 ERA, but then ignore the fact that every month since then has progressively gotten worse. The odds are that he continues getting worse, and not goes back to his April, or even May. If the situation was reversed and he had started the season pitching the way he is now, and then turned it around and was pitching lights out then I could understand the thought of him continuing it. However thats not the case and right now all we can hope for is the offense to score alot of runs in his starts, or Lou gets tired of watching him get rocked, and they give Gallagher his shot. And please quit saying Marquis is a 5th starter. Teams dont pay 7 million a year for a 5th starter, and right now he is slotted in the #3 starter. Why is it so hard for people to understand the problems inherent with small sample sizes? You're focused on 6 starts, and calling it a "trend". Meanwhile you're ignoring some much more reliable and meaningful statistics that are rooted in much larger sample sizes, to wit: - a 3.71 ERA over 32 starts in 2004 - a 4.13 ERA over 32 starts in 2005 - a 3.46 ERA over his first 16 starts in 2007 - an "all in" ERA of 4.56 covering every last one of his 120 starts from 2004 to present. And you must be joking if you don't think large-market teams like the Cubs are forking out $7M/yr or more for #5 quality starters. As evidence I give you Matt Clement (BOS), Kei Igawa and/or Carl Pavano and/or Andy Pettitte (NYY), Randy Wolf (LAD), Jose Contreras (CHW), Bartolo Colon (LAA), Ramon Ortiz (SF now), Jeff Weaver and/or Jarrod Washburn (SEA), Adam Eaton and/or Freddy Garcia and/or Jon Lieber and/or Jamie Moyer (PHI), etc. etc. Wake up and smell the coffee, bud. Here in 2007, plenty of guys a lot worse than Marquis has been are getting paid even more than he is. Where am I focusing on 6 starts? He has 12 starts in June-Aug with an average ERA for those months of 6.6 And if you think half the guys on your list are number 5's then I would really really like some of what you are smoking. Randy Wolf? Jose Contreras? Bartolo Colon? Jamie Moyer? Andy Pettite? Seriously the whole numbering of starters is ignorant. And I really could care less if people are getting paid more than Marquis and sucking as bad or more than him, they arent on the team I root for. And even if thats the case so what, all it says is there are alot of stupid GM's in MLB, thats not breaking news. So you need to wake up and smell the coffee Oh and why did you leave out 2006 in those numbers? It wouldnt have anything to do with the fact that he had a 6.02 ERA that year, and it would really throw a wrench in your argument would it? Good job trying to manipulate the stats in your favor, and because of that Im done having a conversation with you knowing you cant even provide an honest debate. Also do you not see the trend in his stats from 2004-present? Ill let you see if you can figure out just what that trend is. Hint: Its not good.