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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. ARod opted out, Sabathia opted out. I don't believe either of them had seven years left on their deal at the time.
  2. Guys with that skillset are the *most* likely to collapse. Poor athlete who has trouble making contact? That skillset exists of a knife-edge between usefulness and terribleness.
  3. Unless you think the player is going to do something stupid, a player opt-out never improves the contract for the team.
  4. I heard Ian Stewart is available. He kinda sucks, but he's available. He's cheap though, so they'll probably ask for Castro as a starting point. Mineaswell do it. At four more years, he's only a mid-term asset.
  5. The point is that the Marlins made the playoffs twice. Big whoop. The fact that they won the WS twice in that time was just a fluke. I don't value their model any more than I would any other team that made the playoffs twice in almost two decades. It's the same principle that leads me to be more impressed with Epstein's consistent playoff appearances with Boston than the two WS rings.
  6. I still prefer it to the old days, when a player's precise defensive value was the difference between his offense and how much the person making the argument liked him.
  7. I heard Ian Stewart is available. He kinda sucks, but he's available.
  8. If a chronic gambler triples his paycheck at the craps table a few times in a row, it doesn't mean it was a good bet. wow, that's a [expletive] analogy. It's a perfect analogy. The Marlins consistently hit on long shots. Good for them. It doesn't mean I want to emulate their plan.
  9. And if you tell me that I can triple my next paycheck at the craps table, I'll take it. But nobody has the power to tell me that, outside of a shady casino boss.
  10. And every game that he pitches, every week that you hold on to him during the regular season, another bit of his value as a cost-controlled player gets spent. Once you spend it, there's no getting it back. Short-term asset. his low price isn't the only thing that makes him an asset. It's a humongous percentage of his value as an asset.
  11. D'oh, I wasn't thinking that through. His defense there is just as bad, though. Eh, looking at his dWAR on BR I'm actually surprised at how NOT horrible defensively he's been more often than not. I was expecting a lot worse. Yeah, he's had some brutal years in there, but I was expecting wall-to-wall awfulness. Try fangraphs. They'll give you more what you are looking for there.
  12. D'oh, I wasn't thinking that through. His defense there is just as bad, though.
  13. And every game that he pitches, every week that you hold on to him during the regular season, another bit of his value as a cost-controlled player gets spent. Once you spend it, there's no getting it back. Short-term asset.
  14. Of course he is. He is under contract for two more seasons. That is a very long time to determine your plan for him going forward as well. A short-term asset is somebody who either has an expiring contract or is old and unlikely to be worth much in the intermediate future. Garza has 2 full seasons under Cubs control and he's young. He's isn't just a short-term asset. You don't control your plan going forward with him. That's up to him as much as it is you. He has two seasons left with the Cubs. Anything else is pure speculation. That makes him a short-term asset.
  15. The upside is that Dunn still sucks so bad you can waive him with a clear conscience. The downside is that he hits just enough that you feel like you need him in the lineup and have to put up with his horrific LF defense.
  16. If a chronic gambler triples his paycheck at the craps table a few times in a row, it doesn't mean it was a good bet.
  17. If we lose out on Pujols and Fielder, would trying to get them to pick up a lot of Dunn's contract be something to consider or are folks too scared from this past season's numbers? Absolutely, positively not. If he has to play the field, he's barely an average overall player even when his bat is good. The gap between Soriano and Dunn last season in fWar was bigger than the gap between Albert Pujols and Darwin Barney. No interest at all.
  18. You can't just decide that one or two players are must-haves. You can't stop one crazy team from overpaying what a player is worth to you. And Fielder? You decide how much he's worth to you, you don't go past that, and if someone else does, so be it.
  19. You can't just decide that one or two players are must-haves. You can't stop one crazy team from overpaying what a player is worth to you.
  20. Three first-class appearances nets you a wikipedia article? Weak.
  21. Of course he is. He is under contract for two more seasons. Plus whatever compensation they would get for him by offering arbitration under the new system. Or they could sign him to an extension. It's not like we're talking about a 35 year old guy who only has 2 more seasons left in him. Okay, he's an asset for two years plus draft pick compensation plus the right to negotiate with him. That still doesn't add up to a long-term asset to me. He no more counts as a 2014 asset than Zach Greinke does at this point.
  22. Of course he is. He is under contract for two more seasons.
  23. If the Cubs sign Fielder and then trade Garza, that would seem to be a conflict of interest unless they are getting a guaranteed young stud pitcher, which is basically not going to happen. Why? The persistent message of Hoystein is that the Cubs want to make moves that help them both now and in the future, but if they conflict, then the long-term means more. Fielder on a six-year deal fits that description. He's a short-term and long-term asset. Garza, at the moment, is merely a short-term asset. If you have a chance to flip a short-term asset for a long-term asset, you do it.
  24. Without Pujols, the Cardinals' best hope is to be an average team that sneaks into the playoffs. Unfortunately, that's the most dangerous kind of Cardinals team there is.
  25. Respectfully disagree. Lame, unfunny memes are meta.
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