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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's no more than a moderate amount of handwaving.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I didn't do this on purpose, but 320/410 is the exact NL average for a 3b this season.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    OPS back up to .791. Maybe he plateaus here. But I just keep envisioning him getting a little better every year, both offensively and defensively, until you look up in 2015 and he's a 25-year-old who can put up 280/320/410 at 3b with almost average defense. Not an All-Star, but good enough to start.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    I agree that I tend to fall in love with MLEs, but that's not what I'm doing here. If I was doing that, I'd say that his .830 OPS should translate just fine to the majors. I'm specifically worried that he has a major hole in his swing that will cause his numbers to not translate to the majors like they normally would. He's mistake-hitting and getting eaten alive by good pitches. In MLB, he'll see a lot fewer mistakes and a lot more good breaking pitches directed at the holes in his swing.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't doubt that Brett Jackson will generally be a high BABIP guy and Vitters a low BABIP guy. But I think the gap is a tiny bit exaggerated this year. Jackson's not a .387 BABIP guy in the long run, and Vitters isn't a .307 BABIP guy in the long run. .355 and .325 seem a lot more reasonable. According to first inning, Vitters has a LD-BABIP gap of .134, Jackson's is .177. As I type, there's only .043 difference in OPS between the two. That's pretty close, and I think the peripherals could support numbers that are even a bit closer.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Do you mean "results not being there" in terms of minor league career or this season? Because depending on how hard you want to normalize their BABIPs, I don't know if there's any difference offensively between Vitters and Jackson at AAA.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    If we're talking about September, there's no Iowa after the first few days of the month. I'm aware of that. Just phrased it badly. Replace "keep him in Iowa" with "keep him off the MLB roster." We don't know how the new regime will approach September call-ups, but given their hyper-cautious approach, they don't seem like the types to me to give guys a September taste if they aren't truly ready.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    boo i want baez's double to count Wipe's out Concepcion's latest awful start. He finally had more k's than bb's, though. Still not more IP than Rs, though :(
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    boo i want baez's double to count Wipe's out Concepcion's latest awful start.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    If this is just who he is and he can't adjust, then you keep him in Iowa because he just isn't good enough for the majors.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Some Brett Jackson doombonering: He's got a 32.9% K rate at AAA this season, after a 31.0% in his taste of AAA last season. It'd be optimistic to hope that 32.9% at AAA turns into 35% in MLB. 40% might be on the table. But in 600 PAs, at 35%, that's 210 Ks. If he hits 15 HRs and draws 60 BBs in those 600 PAs, he would need 111 BIP hits to get to a .310 OPB. That's a .352 MLB BABIP, which I really don't think he can sustain. Hopefully, the adjustment to fix whatever hole is in his swing can come by the end of the year.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Dunston Jr. has been picked off at first and just plain misjudged a fly ball by 20 feet. Some kid Boise is playing against fell for the fake-to-third-throw-to-first move.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Vitters 2-for-2 now. I noticed that going into today he had a .289 BABIP. That definitely seems a bit low, but I guess it might just be part of his approach. It was .290 last year in AA. Brett Jackson brettjacksoned. Brettjackson is now a verb for striking out swinging.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Rizzo faces the extreme shift, bloops a double to shallow left. He cannot be stopped by any known methods.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    He was going to be out by a mile regardless. Either way, it isn't too much to ask that the guy at least try to run it out. The guy with a knee held together by old chewing gum and string, who you are trying to showcase in the lineup for a trade? You're right, standing in the batter's box looks much better than at least jogging toward the bag. Not about how he looks. His knee is one bad plant from popping, and then you have no chance to trade him this year. Running out ground balls is the *last* thing the Cubs want Soriano to do. If he did it, I'd want Theo to tell Dale to tell Adolpho to stop it.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    He was going to be out by a mile regardless. Either way, it isn't too much to ask that the guy at least try to run it out. The guy with a knee held together by old chewing gum and string, who you are trying to showcase in the lineup for a trade?
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    The more rage that Soriano absorbs, the less BS Castro has to put up with. At least in theory. When one non-white hated player leaves, another is always elevated to a place of meatball rage to take his place.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Vitters, Jackson back-to-back doubles. Baez bases loaded sac fly, robbed of a hit by a diving catch.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    In the interest of fairness, I'll mention that Concepcion had a 1-2-3 third.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez with a crushed double down the line on the first pitch he saw. Goldstein and the other guy talked about him a bit on the BP prospects podcast this week. Said that he doesn't have any sort of approach and is just in "see ball, hit ball" mode, but that's fine for now because he's too young to need an approach. It'll come later.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Basically just TheoSpeak for the same idea.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Three more in the second against Concepcion. Solid singles all over the place, a walk or two.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Concepcion really is going to threaten to finish the season with more R than IP. I want to believe the whole "he'd dominate if we let him throw his best pitches," but it sounds like coach BS. This one might be rained out though. Looking ominous.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    So I decide that there's nothing I care about on on a Saturday afternoon, so I'll watch Nats/Yankees and get a good look at Bryce Harper. 0-6 with 5 Ks so far.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Not so much here, but in a lot of Cubs sites and with Cubs fans I know IRL, it's amazing how fast Rhett Wiseman has become severely overrated.
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