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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Who? The FA market sucks. Abreu is one of a very small number of palatable options, and his age negates at least part of the concerns when compared with the age of all the available FAs.
  2. That is a big if. How does Rizzo's bat rate as a mediocre at best defensive LF? He's a +12/150 defensive 1b, and he would lose that but gain about +5 runs in value for playing a tougher position. I think it's at least strongly possible that the improvement from Abreu to our other LF options would outweigh that loss.
  3. I like defense, but I'm willing to downgrade two positions defensively if the bat is good enough.
  4. It's certainly set up to be his job, but he has literally done nothing that would indicate he should get it. Well, he has more than doubled his July OPS in August, but that is still below 600. At least the Ks seem to have stopped. He's in the mysterious world of no BABIP right now, and disappointingly low power.
  5. If he ends the year with a BB rate around 4, a K rate below 23%, and improved scouting reports on his OF defense, then I could be persuaded to live with it, so long as we're spending the money to upgrade the lineup elsewhere. The problem is, we can't (or at least shouldn't) run an entire lineup of "not that bad if they are cheap" guys plus Castro and Rizzo.
  6. If they sign one of the FA OF there's no way they keep both of them. I'd be surprised if they deal Lake, especially with budget uncertainty and the need to have some sort of production out there long term until Almora et al are ready. Why wouldn't they want an outfield of DeJesus/Free Agent/Schierholtz with Lake as the 400 PA bench guy? That seems ideal to me.
  7. I'm not giving Arrieta a starting job just yet, nor are Russell or Parker guaranteed jobs in the pen. I figure one FA/trade pitcher from outside the organization, then one job in open competition among a lot of different guys: Samardzija/Wood/Jackson/OutsideGuy, then a competition between Hendricks/Arrieta/Cabrera/Rusin/Grimm. Hendricks' roster options remaining might cost him the job and keep him in the minors, but you never know. Cabrera has tons of pen experience and Arrieta is an obvious choice for a late-inning reliever. Rusin is a guy whose stuff I think might really benefit from the boost that comes with going into the pen. In the outfield, I'm still not particularly inclined to give Junior Lake a starting job in 2014. A bench role is fine, he'd get plenty of PAs in our platoon-heavy outfield. The infield is what really intrigues me. There's a lot of interesting options, but basically two decisions to be made: 1) Does the front office plan on getting significant internal contributions from Olt and/or Baez in 2014? 2) Valbuena or Barney at 2b?
  8. Maybe not, but it's so long term that it's not really much of an obligation. What's the projected value in present day dollars, discounted for inflation?
  9. I'm probably being a stupid fanboy for saying it, but I'm beginning to wonder if Baez isn't our own version of Stanton, so I'd rather not trade for the older, more expensive version.
  10. These last two innings have made listening on Cardinals radio especially fun.
  11. Not that it really matters at this point. It definitely matters.
  12. It's the strangest thing. A lot of our talented minor leaguers seem to be improving as the year goes on.
  13. For a bad team, there sure is a lot I'd like to stand pat on. I'm kind of hoping we focus our money on like 2 or 3 higher-impact signings.
  14. About three more and we might be out of bullpen range.
  15. 5 Ks in 26 batters faced is at least a tiny bit encouraging. I'm really beginning to think I've been underrating him and he deserves a slightly inside-ish track on a job next year.
  16. No. Trust me. It's one of those counterintuitive math problems, but adding $800k to the pool only saves you $800k in total cash. That's why I said "on the market." I meant if he were a completely unrestricted FA.
  17. Didn't stop the tool-less Concepcion from getting $6m. Rivero was a bad reference point, but I still say a guy with Torreyes' success at A+ and hit tool commands way more than $800k in cash in an unrestricted free agency situation.
  18. The discusssions over whether trading Torreyes for $800k in IFA space, which ended up meaning just $800k in cash, was good value, turned into discussions over what Torreyes would get on the open market as an FA. I pointed to Rivero as a 25-year-old middle reliever getting rocked (at the time) at Kane County who got four times that on the open market.
  19. After the top six, I think he's one of a dozen guys you could justify in almost any order. I really don't see why he couldn't be in the mix for the 5th starter job next year.
  20. I'm starting to think he's our best bet outside of Cabrera to help in the major league pen in 2014, of all our minor leaguers. Arrieta, Cabrera, Rosscup, Rivero, Vizcaino. There's a ton of potential there for a good bullpen to spontaneously emerge. If that happens, this team contends. In Rivero's last six appearances, he has 10.2 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 4 BB, 20 K.
  21. Armando "I guess he's better than Torreyes" Rivero got promoted to Daytona? I hadn't noticed that. Struck out two in a perfect inning tonight. Arguello said the other day that he showed up with his delivery all screwy early in the year and it robbed him of about 6 MPH, but it was fixed recently and he's been on a tear ever since.
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