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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez 3-for-16 with no XBH, no BB, 7 Ks since May 27. That hot streak didn't last long as I would have liked.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Seriously, we win tonight and we are *probably* going to win the Cup. I'd favor us like 70/30 over the Rangers.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Who was it - Lingo or Manuel? Manuel http://chicago.cbslocal.com/audio/1057-hit-and-run/ He wasn't exactly ripping Lunhow, but he talked about how it's been hard to read what the Astros are going to do because he's not a baseball lifer and doesn't have a lot of friends in the industry.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Editor of Baseball America was on WSCR this morning pushing the completely unacceptable, attention-seeking opinion that the Astros have messed up their last two No. 1 picks and that it reflects poorly on their draft strategy.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    This is about as 50/50 a game as it gets. Nothing would surprise me. Both teams are really good and have been skating really well. It's just going to come down to bounces, mistakes and finishes, and we'll overanalyze and convince ourselves that whchever team gets those is obviously "playing better."
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Stupid Brewers, don't they know they should have dismantled and given up last offseason?
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm more surprised when he doesn't homer.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Their foot is in your door. By next season you'll own an Amonte jersey. Then you'll have 300-level season tickets.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    So they've got a lot of faith in their D and a relatively deep but not special forward core, and they think goalies mean something. So just like every other east team that makes it to the final and gets trounced by the West.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Arbitrary endpoints are fun. What if you slice it to include today's game. Or the games right before that 3-6.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    For all the talk that "herp derp run differential isn't working." It actually is working with the Chicago Cubs. You can slice up their season *almost* any way you want, and their win percentage in the second part it will be closer to their first-part pythagorean than to their first-part actual win%.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    "this is a special case because I feel like it is" is the ultimate dumb.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Watching sporting events with people I actually know is pretty much the worst way imaginable to watch a sporting event.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Castillo's slash line down to 244/288/388. We probably won't be able to get around to it soon because of all the other holes, but catcher will need upgrading/replacing in the next few years while we are thinking about maybe trying to be good.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was out grabbing breakfast this morning and the radio was talking about the stupid Cubs so I thought about NSBB from last night and almost immediately knew that there was a 100% chance I had said Steve at that point in the conversation. It was a total guarantee.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    It really just hit me that the Blackhawks have avoided elimination the last two games with a pair of one-goal wins thanks to Patrick Kane putting up 7 #@$#$ points.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    This conversation is suspended until you read better.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    No. This isn't a case of Steve Trout in the mid-20s becoming the best player in the draft several years later. Both of the last two Astros picks involved prospects who were better in ways that either were obvious at the time (Very few people seriously thought Correa was the best pick in that draft) or should have been seen (Kris Bryant has been mashing since he set foot in pro ball in way that says he probably should have been realized to be the No. 1 overall 11 months ago).
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yeah, Correa is definitely a bum. Correa doesn't have to be a bum for it to be a botch for them. He would have been a fine No. 2 or No. 3 pick in that draft.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    After 40 games, run differential is more accurate at predicting a team's win percentage for the rest of the season than their actual record or previous year's record.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Wild HFBoards forum is a gift that keeps giving: Is it just me or does it feel like he's laughing at you through the TV while he dangles around in the zone?
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    It means you thought a stat was more meaningful tha. It actually was. You were and are wrong. It's -17 now, but you have to take out some of the negative blowouts and you'll see that it basically hasn't changed.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    If you score 21 in one game and 1 in the next nine, or if you score 3 in every game, it says the same thing about your future expected offensive performance. (Or maybe it doesn't, but that's such an extreme example it hasn't been tested. At the types of things that happen to real baseball teams, this principle still works). Unrelated other than on the nearly universal subject of things I am right about, Welington Castillo's BABIP is down to .318 and now he's hitting 244/288/388
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    That doesn't mean I was wrong.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    If he's wrong, then design a run differential projection model that strips out the outliers and projects future wins in a meaningfully more accurate way. I'll wait.
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