I think there's enough there for me, personally, to think he will at least have a career as a competent major league regular. Some might think otherwise. I know Kyle does. He's 24 next Opening Day, and he's having a 0.1 fWAR season despite a .380 or whatever BABIP. He has a long way to go before he proves he belongs in the majors, let alone as a regular. It's not a huge difference, but you're ignoring the data from last year. That does count. That's fair. If you combine then, he's been a bench player or below-average starter. And he's not at an age where there's a ton of projection left. Does he have the potential to break out? Absolutely. But it weird how there's this massive blind spot in the smarter parts of Cubs fandom about how bad he's been this year, and what that means for the *median* projection going forward.