We're not winning, so Lou refuses to do that. Once it goes to bases loaded, no outs, your odds of winning are 11%. Marmol would be a waste. He can't pitch in every single game that is close between now and the end of the season. Sometimes, you just have to suck it up and go with someone else. I don't know if that is necessarily the best way to gauge using Marmol, the leverage in this situation is enormous, even if our actually chances seem low It's 2.38 now, it was lower with no outs I believe. Big, but not enormous.