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CUBZ99

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  1. CUBZ99
    One thing I'm really liking about this trade is that the rotation is improved. If Garza had been on the Cubs last year he would have posted the lowest WHIP on the team, and his numbers in the AL East were pretty good. I don't buy the Wells is equal or better than Garza argument, but even if I did, Garza is definitely better than any other #4 option the Cubs had for next year. Some other GM's would have used the approx $6MM that the Cubs are going to spend on Garza to get a Marquis/Garland type of pitcher. There is no doubt that Garza has way more upside than that type of pitcher and will likely perform better. As the rotation stands, Z, Dempster, Garza, Wells, and Cashner/Shark/Gorz/Silva... it is a pretty damn good rotation.
  2. CUBZ99
    Kudos to Wittenmeyer(sp?) for getting the scoop on this one. I like the fact that the Cubs acquired Garza, and think that he could really bolster the front end of the rotation. I'm not real thrilled about the price they had to pay to get him, but it could have been worse. It is good to see the Pacific Rim scouting and signings paying some dividends with Lee being one of the key pieces of this deal. I have recently been defending Lee's prospect ranking, as compared with Lake and still think he will be better than Lake, but he still has a long ways to go prior to becoming a valuable part of a major league team. In regard to Archer, my guess is that the Cubs felt that he was not going to be a dominant top of the rotation starter and figured his ceiling was no more than Garza's. Although I think Guyer could be good, I'm not going to lose any sleep over him, Chirinos and Fuld being included. I think it was a decent trade by Hendry, and it will be interesting to see how it plays out. One thing is certain, we will see if the Ricketts were serious about putting money into the farm system, because they are going to need replinish the talent lost.
  3. CUBZ99
    From BA's write up on the top 10:
  4. CUBZ99
    I'm pretty sure it is See-zer.
  5. CUBZ99
    Interesting list. The first 4 were pretty much expected, but like Davell said, I'm surprised to see Szczur and Dolis make the list. I would love to see the write ups on the players and hear BA's rationale for the ratings.
  6. CUBZ99
    Where? I was looking for them as well. Fangraphs has game logs, but no splits. Here is what I found. http://firstinning.com/players/Junior-Lake-a/ and I was wrong he had a decent June with an .800+ OPS.
  7. CUBZ99
    I think this is a valid point. Considering Lake's numbers and almost every scouting report, it would be nice to know specifically what Toonster, Tim and other posters that are big on Lake have seen of him. I was finally able to locate Lake's splits for 2010 and he really only had one good month(July) out of the year. The scouting reports on him don't seem to indicate anything special about him, like they do for Lee. I think most of us rely mainly on 2nd hand info and others reports of ability. The classic five tools are the ability to hit for avg., hit for power, speed (base-running ability), fielding, and throwing. Based on every scouting report that I've seen Lee is head and shoulders above Lake on every tool except power. Personally, I haven't seen either one of them play yet, but it would be interesting to see just what makes people think that Lake should be rated higher than Lee despite all of the scouting info and actual production to date.
  8. CUBZ99
    I didn't realize that in approx. half of Garza's games last year that he gave up 1 ER or less. That is pretty impressive. I would take him.
  9. CUBZ99
    Didn't know that about Daytona's field, but the scouting report sounds encouraging. I think you are selling Lee incredibly short. At 19 years old, he more than held his own in class A ball and showed that he had the ability to adjust to the pitching and make improvements throughout the year. There is no indication that at his age that he has lost any speed or that his speed is a tool that will disappear. He gets on base at a pretty good clip, hits for decent avg., steals bases semi-effectively, and by all accounts can be spectacular defensively. Your only complaint seems to be his lack of power so far. At 6'2" 170 there is plenty of room for him to grow and fill out. There is plenty to be excited about. One more year of 800+ OPS and I think he becomes a top 5 prospect in the system.
  10. CUBZ99
    I wasn't able to find the 1st/2nd half splits for Lake. What did they look like? I did see that Lee improved quite a bit in the second half, also. And, how good is Lake's range/defense at SS? From all accounts Lee has incredible range and even though his error totals are fairly high, his defense has been graded fairly high and his ceiling is by all accounts extremely high. I noticed that Lake committed 42 errors in 2009, and 41 in 2010. He is going to have to improve quite a bit to make up for that many errors.
  11. CUBZ99
    There is a reason why every scout/publication ranks Lee higher than Lake. Lake really doesn't do one thing better than Lee other than hit for a little bit more power. Lee is younger, hits better for avg., walks more, gets on base more, is a much-much better base runner (rates at 70+ speed) and by every account is better in the field. Also, if you look at progress, Lake really hasn't gotten better offensively. His best year was two years ago, he had a terrible year in 2009 and beside his SLG last year, he wasn't very good. Lake's only advantage at this point is the fact he can hit a few more HR's than Lee and played 2010 at a more advanced level than Lee. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that I hate Lake, or that he can't potentially develop into a better player. He was hardly embarrassed at A+ for his age, but the numbers (and scouting reports) just don't support him being anywhere near the prospect that Lee is.
  12. CUBZ99
    Z was exceptionally highly thought of and was demanded in numerous trades - he was rumored to be part of the reason we didn't get Scott Rolen from the Phillies. Marshall was top 7 prospect for two seasons for the Cubs as well. I couldn't find when Hendry became Cubs' farm director, but just because he wasn't GM doesn't mean he didn't have a hand in the farm system. As the farm director he probably had as much input - or more - in the farm than Ed Lynch did. I'm not sure he was farm director while Wood was in the minors, but it's possible. I didn't mention Pie because he hasn't been particularly productive. Patterson was very good for a season and was decent for another couple of seasons. Not up to expectations by any means, but much better than "anything" which was your standard. Your point was that the farm didn't develop anything outside of Castro. That's completely incorrect and those players show it. And it's futile to debate the availability of any of those players because there's no way we can know for sure. But that's not the point you made. You said the farm system has sucked and it hasn't. If only Hendry had traded Rich Hill when he was highly coveted.
  13. CUBZ99
    Haha I didn't catch that while I was watching the game but you are right!
  14. CUBZ99
    Who are these starters? I'd say Garza, Dempster and Z I agree, all three of those guys are very good, when they are on.
  15. CUBZ99
    Muskat's blog seems to imply that the Cubs are not encouraged by Webb's medical records and will only sign him if he takes a Kerry Wood type deal.
  16. CUBZ99
    Who freaking cares what Packers fans are thinking? It's a Vikings game in Minnesota, the storybook atmosphere just isn't there. what? a crappy year for a team with high hopes being led by a broken QB who happens to be a legend, returning to their roots of out-door football, in an extreme local climate, to beat out the recent division favorites? might not be storybook to Bear fans, but just about everyone in MPLS is up for this one. thats why I want to see it, and then beat them and crush their souls If Favre comes back to play tonight it is helpful to no one except the Packers. The only thing the Vikings are playing for at this point, is a draft pick. The Vikes know Favre isn't the future, and most of the fans were looking forward to seeing Webb in action.
  17. CUBZ99
    I think it is impressive that the Brewers can put together the roster that they have managed to put together with the amount of payroll they have. Granted they basically sold the farm to get Marcum and Greinke, but they should be extremely competitive this year. I can only hope that this trade doesn't cause Hendry to overreact and overpay for a pitcher. We know from personal anguish that even the best teams on paper aren't a lock to win over 162 games. I remember the Maddux signing and thinking that the Cubs were a lock for the playoffs with a rotation of Maddux, Wood, Prior, Z and Clements. Rather than signing some old retread, I wouldn't mind seeing Cashner, J. Jackson, Archer, and maybe even McNutt getting a shot during Spring Training to win a spot in the rotation.
  18. CUBZ99
    dunno but he must be gritty
  19. CUBZ99
    Wow! I was resigned to the fact that Hendry was going to overpay to sign him. Absolutely love the the fact that Woody gave the team a discount. If Guzman's healthy to start the year, we could be looking at a very good bullpen.
  20. CUBZ99
    Rosenbloom apparently watches only TLC and Sox games. =D>
  21. CUBZ99
    The bullpen would be set up pretty nicely if they do sign Wood.
  22. CUBZ99
    Hahahaha Hendry's big splash move of the off-season! I'm a homer, so I can't lie and say that I won't be happy to see him in a Cubs uniform again.
  23. CUBZ99
    I thought Big Z had 10-5 rights anyways? Either way, what a ridiculous article.
  24. CUBZ99
    My guess is, that if they moved Z they would be able to target Greinke. As far as Garza goes, he would definitely be cheaper initially than Z.
  25. CUBZ99
    The New York Daily News had a story about it being likely that the Yankees would now turn their focus on Big Z. While I would like to see someone take his salary, the hit to the rotation would be huge. As it stands, Dempster and Z are the only starters that could potentially be the shut down guy. I guess I would have to see the prospects mentioned for such a deal, and whether or not it includes a starter coming back with a high ceiling.
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