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Cuzi

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Everything posted by Cuzi

  1. You literally just wrote an essay talking about how good young players are the most valuable, we shouldn't be trading prospects for 1 year players, and they are far less risky than giving Soto a 14 year contract. Which is all horsefeathers.
  2. You act like its a given that a young player automatically appreciates in value. How much value do you think Jordan Walker has added to the Cardinals? Is he more or less valuable today than he was when he was still a prospect? Prospects succeed at around a 15% rate. I'll invest in Soto every day over that.
  3. A check that wont count against the payroll.
  4. Bellinger is on the clock, probably the most exciting decision of the Cubs offseason.
  5. Ya but think about how bad that team will be in 7 years. That's what counts.
  6. Jasson Dominguez will be out there next year,
  7. The only difference from last season being the QO and lesser performance out of himself.
  8. He must really believe the QO was a major deterrence last season. Because the offense tanked and the CF defense has been mediocre the entire time. Only thing that makes sense is he would be willing to sacrifice the yearly AAV on a different team that can offer more playing time at the more premium position, because he lost CF on the Cubs, and sign a similar yearly opt out contract to play for the big payday.
  9. Alcantara + Birdsell Padres are going to need an OFer to replace Profar and Birdsell is the DL Hall piece in the Corbin Burnes trade.
  10. One year is a resume? Over the last 3 years we are talking 113 vs 116 wRC+.
  11. He wouldnt have an uncertain position if Hoerner isn't going to be ready. And Torres is not a worse hitter.
  12. Lowe has played a total of 331 innings in the OF in his career and hasn't played any significant time or any at all in the OF since 2021. Lets try not to look at him as an OFer. He's as much of an OFer as Happ is a 2B.
  13. I would rather watch how Gleyber Torres' market develops than trade for Brandon Lowe. Torres is at that same point as Bellinger. He's young enough to bet on himself to rebound and still get a fat contract if he does. If teams are only offering him short term deals and if Hoerner isn't going to be ready til a few months into the year, why not just go after Torres and then flip him at the deadline if he does well. You should trade for something you can't get out of FA.
  14. He gave Marcus Stroman 3/71. That's well above 10M AAV. Stroman was 31 for a month into that contract. I really dont understand these strange odd age cutoffs you keep using to make your argument. A pitchers peak years are early 20's. The best velocity on a fastball typically comes at like 22. The overall decline starts at like 27. Why on earth are we worried about the decline of age 31 vs 35 when the 35 year old is just as good as the 31 year old? There's just as much risk performance wise for the 31 year old with the additional risk of the bigger contract. Lets look at 5/100+ contracts given out from '22-'23 to SP and see how many have actually worked out so far. age of signing in parenthesis. Kevin Gausman (30) - Yes. Robbie Ray (30) - No. Jose Berrios (27) - No. Joe Musgrove (29) - No. Yu Darvish (36) - No. Luis Castillo (30) - Yes. Carlos Rodon (30) - No. Jacob deGrom (34) - No. Why again should I want to sign a non elite pitcher that's on the wrong side of the bell graph to a 5 year deal?
  15. Probably more tinkering with philosophy. JPL pitches to contact and the hitters hit for contact. Here, the hitters hit for power so the pitchers arent going to get away with the same stuff.
  16. There's no reason the Cubs can't compete with the Dodgers and Yankees for Soto. In a vacuum those teams would blow the Cubs away, but those teams, both, currently have a ton of money wrapped up into 3 players. Soto would put either team into tax purgatory, making every dollar that much more expensive. The Mets, on the other hand...
  17. Not denying he was/is a douche but guys like Mookie Betts have gone on record to say they love him and hope he gets another chance. And the whole unconscious story was provided by someone who lied, so... I didn't expect anyone to like the idea, because media drives narrative and the media hates him so therefore the majority of people will hate him and he becomes a poison pill. It's just funny to me how accusations, none of which were founded, turns a Cy Young pitcher into someone no one wants to touch.
  18. At the same time, the majority of baseball is crying that Pete Rose isn't in the HoF after he admitted to statutory rape. Double standards.
  19. Funny how instant the "absolutely not" come out for an accusation which later turned into fraud and extortion indictments against the accuser. Some day someone will take a stand.
  20. Want a really good pitcher on a short term cheap AAV deal? He's in Mexico right now.
  21. Pitching - 3. Justin Verlander, Charlie Morton, Kyle Gibson. Hitting - 0. Now, how many SP were in the top 40 at age 31+ other than those 3? 8, 3 of which turned 35 at the end of the season. Pitchers are in decline in their mid 20's. So at 30-35 there's not some gigantic chasm of success vs failure. If the gap isn't big in the ages we are talking about and the injury risk is random, why saddle yourself to a 5+ year deal vs a 2 year deal? You aren't making a compelling argument to avoid a 34/35 year old pitcher on a shorter deal, especially when the pitchers we are talking about are damn near identical statistically.
  22. All pitching is Russian roulette. You can sign a guy like Stephen Strasburg to the biggest deal in history for a pitcher and he immediately goes out and blows out his arm. Patrick Corbin. Jose Berrios. Joe Musgrove. Robbie Ray. All signed at "better" ages to longer deals.
  23. A relative bum like Charlie Morton goes to Houston at age 33 and turns into a guy that puts up 3.2 fWAR per 180 innings through age 40.
  24. Would you go back in time and sign Chris Sale? Seth Lugo? Sonny Gray? These are the types of deals we are talking about with Yusei Kikuchi and Nathan Eovaldi. Are they insignificant? No. But they also aren't significant to the Cubs.
  25. He was also never as good as the other pitchers.
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