SOFNR
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Everything posted by SOFNR
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I had been interested in Castillo but I hadn't looked at his contract. They'd be taking on 3/75 with a vesting option for a 4th year. 32 years old and K/9 was down last year. I'm not sure at that price he's a better fit then the mid FA options. I guess if it's a straight up swap for Bellinger.
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I'd still rather trade for the pitcher, but that's a possible route too. If you go FA for the pitcher maybe they'll look at the trade market for a good reliever.
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Very cool. Pretty excited to watch Tucker this year. He's a legit stud. I kinda forgot Wesneski was on the team so whatever. If we end up regretting this trade it will be because Tucker leaves in a year and Cam Smith turns into a stud. But given the Cubs inability to go get those top FA stars it's absolutely worth the risk to get Tucker in a year early and try to stop him from entering FA. With prolly 42-44 left to spend after Bellinger is moved I hope they continue to be proactive here. Kelly is probably already signed. Trade for a pitcher. Get a placeholder 3rd basemen. Atleast 1 good bullpen arm. They should be able to get to 88+ wins on paper with quite a bit of upward mobility. Could be a fun year.
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Maybe 44? If we were sitting at 30, and add 22 with Bellinger that's 52. Then the difference between Tucker and Paredes/Wednesday is close to 8.
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If the rumors were true about the Yankees #5 prospect being available I'd be content with eating 7 mil. That still gives you around 50 mil to play with. Trading Paredes and getting Tucker leaves you around 41. Should be enough money to trade for a pitcher, add Kelly, and bolster the bullpen atleast.
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Oh yah, I'm not trying to discourage the idea of Tucker at all. I think it's their best road. I also think there are added benefits to having that real stud in a lineup as well. But I saw multiple posts talking about being near 90 wins. On paper atleast Tucker/Shaw is adding maybe 1.5 wins compared to Paredes/Bellinger. I'd still be hoping for atleast a pitcher in the Castillo range, one very good bullpen guy, someone to play a little third. And that's still unlikely to get us projected to 90. Although I'd be very optimistic about it.
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I'd be very excited for for Tucker but I don't see how adding Tucker, subtracting Paredes, Bellinger, and adding any of the rumored pitchers is going to put them near a 90 win projection. It's going to take more then that.
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I doubt they'd run a six man rotation if they got Crochet and Castillo. Boyd would just be an expensive swing man which is probably a good use for him. And if Sasaki does choose the Cubs you move to a 6 man. But I'd agree signing both Crochet and Castillo is probably bs
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Yah, I wish they were aiming higher at one of the few spots they can really add. But Thaiss is maybe replacement level. Kelly projects to 1.7 WAR over 80 games, which isn't unreasonable. It's not insignificant.
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Carson Kelly. Meh. Whatever. Better then Thaiss.
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Anthony Rizzo would be another great option. Afterall he's had incredible big league success as a reliever.
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The trade definitely looks pretty good on paper. It's scary it's Tampa though. Hopefully it works out well for everybody.
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I'd love a legit closer but I'm hesistant to use valuable trade currency to aquire one. The Cubs have some great arms in their system. They should be able to develop one.
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Yah, I'm as sick of watching the recent play as anybody but having a good next two weeks doesn't have much impact on the trade deadline. Last year I think they wanted one more year of selling. This year I doubt they want the bad press. If they're within a few games of the last wildcard they're not likely to be selling unless they've got a guy coming up to take a position. Now if they're gonna be serious buyers they might need to be in a little more comfortable spot. But that's still 8 weeks away. Ideally they'd be interested in adding good players with some control in either situation. Regardless of how this season turns out I wouldn't expect them to be starting over.
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I've seen this a couple times now from different people. Also something about Hendricks only pitching against the bottom of a batting order. 🤣 I can pretty much guarantee thats not the plan.
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Yah I'd agree with pretty much all of this. It's a dangerous game to play, but I typically think it's a better strategy then spending lots of money or trading important pieces. Ideally, now that the Cubs have a good minor league system, and a pretty strong rotation, they'll have more cheap good arms to choose from going forward.
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I feel like its not a bad strategy because it's fairly low cost and I usually expect it to result in a strong bullpen by the end of the season. Overuse led to some of the late season issues last year. This year I believe they've got enough arms, with some help from the minors, to build something really good. But it does always suck watching them give away games early as they are figuring it out.
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I couldn't find the record. I did see the Yankees broke the record in 2019 with 29, but that was still late August. Assuming they couldn't push that much over 35 we've got a shot 😅
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If I have to pencil in somebody in as a closer it's probably Almonte. Looking forward to seeing what Brown can do in some leverage spots.
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5/2/24 - CHC (Brown) @ NYM (Houser) 12:10 MSN
SOFNR replied to Brian707's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Finally some offense. Morel getting it done. -
Eh, if they're insistent on still trying with Kyle I'd rather see him back quick. Id rather find out if their adjustments with Hendricks have made a difference before Steele returns, or Wicks if we get lucky. Getting everyone healthy and bumping Assad to the bullpen for a ineffective Hendricks would be more annoying.
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An open discussion about the state of the forums
SOFNR replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
As a newer member I've really enjoyed it so far. Good discussions. Easy enough to keep up with the important threads. Looking to some fun in October. -
Don't think there's any chance they play this one.
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horsefeathers.
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I doubt the Cubs are going to choose Ben Brown over Hendricks at this point of the season, but Hendricks is doing his best to make it a tough decision. Wonder if they'll run out a 6 man rotation for a couple weeks.
