thawv
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Everything posted by thawv
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Cubs Meeting With Japanese Ace Roki Sasaki
thawv replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
If it plays out that way, the whole system is a joke. -
Cubs Meeting With Japanese Ace Roki Sasaki
thawv replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
His agent said that he thought Roki would consider a smaller market, but did not confirm it with him. I hate that all the meetings are in LA. It's a huge advantage for the Dodgers, if it's a legit interview with the other teams, and not just a dog and pony show. I think if he picks the Dodgers, this whole thing was just for show. I'm hoping that if he doesn't want to play with his idol in SD, Yu points him in our direction like he did with Suzuki!! -
Cubs Meeting With Japanese Ace Roki Sasaki
thawv replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Very nicely said! -
Cubs Meeting With Japanese Ace Roki Sasaki
thawv replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I assume that he's always had a list of 6-8 teams he's interested in. I can't imagine him wasting his time and a team's time if it's not a city he wants to play in, or a franchise he wants to play for. I'm assuming there won't be any small market teams he gives permission to talk to either. -
You may be right. But if I had to guess, the length of the contract was the teams doing and not Fried's doing. They want to keep that AAV down if they can
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We have a pretty good idea of arb numbers based on history. We know Shota's contract already. PCA will be 1st year arb and not much money. Bush 2nd year arb, Steele probably in the 20 million range. Shaw minimum salary. The amount of money under the threshold with all these guys is an incredible amount of cash left over. They have enough for a couple additional high contracts, and there should be a lot of 0-3 guys on the roster.
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Fair enough. But this is the reason the Cubs are never in on the best players. And this is likely no exception. As long as a contract like this doesn't prevent them from adding, what he makes should mean nothing to the fan.
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Yes it does!
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I'd say that he's looking at 6/216. I know it's an over pay, but someone will give it to him, I believe.
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It looks like he uses Roster Resource. Nice work.
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Thanks, Larry. I'm also using the numbers the guys on this board are using, along with the numbers in the article. Burnes would not put them over their off season spending limit.
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Of course they'd be able to stay under this year with Burnes and a small addition. With money left for in season spending. You should take a look at their payroll heading in to 2027. After arb raises and filling out their roster, it will still be way under with both Burnes and Tucker in 2027. But it would put them over in 2026 Easy math. If they give Burnes 36 million, and Tucker 40 million, they will be at around 124 million heading into 2027. Assuming the CBT number is at around 247, that leaves them with more than enough for arb raises and filling out their roster. I'm pretty sure they can give arb raises and find replacements that you mentioned for a little over 120 million. If they can't, there's a real problem.
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If Burnes costs 36 million, that leaves about 4 million. I'd personally add a pen guy for that amount and head to camp. We are replacing all 4 bench guys. They don't have to cost a lot of money to be effective. I'm fine with Kelly, Canario, Cowles, and Workman, or some mix like that. Burnes would be a game changer, while spending valuable money on a bench guy won't. I'd much rather use just about all of payroll money on starters players and pen guys, and very little on the bench. The bench can still be pretty good that way. The current has already replace every guy from last year.
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It feels different this off season. I know that I'm setting myself up for a let down, but there was a sense of urgency to get as much money off the books as they can with Cody. To the point the the 5 million they are paying is split in half over the next two seasons. It's not to bank. If they stay under this season, and go over next season by a little, they can sign Burnes and Tucker, and still be a staggering amount under in 2027. I know what they said, but at some point they have to believe an ace pitcher is more of a guarantee than a couple of crap shoot draft picks. It's time to act like a major market president. The money is without question in the budget to sign Burnes this year.
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Why not both if money is not the issue? I'd sign Burnes first, and then hope for Sasaki.
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That's code for, the job is Shaw's to lose.
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Does anybody else think that Burnes is in our plans? The money is certainly there, and the connection is there.
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Thank you! I guess Roster Source is the go to.
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There's too many horsefeathers jagoffs on this site to get a straight answer
Maybe you can give me an educated straight answer. Since these recent moves, Cot's has them at 61 million under the threshold, and Roster Resource has them at around 50 million. Who do you believe is the more accurate source? I see that the big difference is arb salaries, and how many 0-3 guys they are going to carry.
Thanks, teach!
Tom
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So yet another guy who has not idea what source to use and how much space they now have after these moves. I can see not responding at all if you don't know. That's more logical. Just say nothing if you have no idea.
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So you don't know?? Got it.
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So what's the right number, and why? Roster Resource has them 50 million under the threshold, and Cot's has them 61 million under the threshold.
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How do I know who he's using??? Weird comment on your part.
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https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/10/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2025.html
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Cot's has 6.5. Roster resource has 6. MLB Trade Rumors has 6.
