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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    That was about as good as the first inning of a five game series could possibly go
  2. Bertz
  3. Bertz
    Sharma had floated Brailyn coming up yesterday and then retweeted himself about an hour ago... Edit: Annnd nevermind
  4. Bertz
    The Last Comic Standing guy?
  5. Bertz
    Considering I took the over on 10.5 for this game I wouldn't hate it... Also, while that was a BS last strike, that was still probably Kimbrel's most efficient outing as a Cub?
  6. Bertz
    LOL what the horsefesthers was that
  7. Bertz
    13/17 before today, so 13/18 now. Break even is I believe 2/3 so it hasn't really helped or hurt them that much Edit: Forgot there were 2 CS today, but 13/19 still doesn't tell a different story
  8. Bertz
    Yeah Riddle plays infield defense like Ian Happ with offense like Albert Almora
  9. Bertz
    Magic number down to 25. Take at least 6 in this upcoming 11 game stretch against the Cards/Reds/Brewers and it's basically over.
  10. Bertz
    Yeah this is pretty bad news for Saturday, where we were going to need Alzolay anyway, but otherwise I'm not especially worried about this in the near term. We do need to figure who else is going to be in the October rotation besides Yu and Kyle, so this obviously sucks as we get fewer looks.
  11. Bertz
    Ah, the second part of this tweet is likely it:
  12. Bertz
    This is a bit of a weird one, Musgrove is not a reverse split guy as far as I can tell?
  13. Bertz
    The team has been unlucky with balls in play as well. They're 24th in BABIP at .274 despite being 4th in average exit velocity, 3rd in hard hit %, 5th in barrel%. The swing and miss is probably going to keep them from being elite offensively, but they should probably end up more in the 5-10 range rather than their current middle of the road production.
  14. Bertz
    !!!!
  15. Bertz
    was he? i think maybe the cubs were so good that it just took us a while to realize joe is just a typical baseball manager I would say he definitely wasn’t bad in the beginning. Not saying he was good necessarily though. I think he was good initially. The problem is that the half dozen things he did that we're innovative became table stakes over the course of his tenure. So then he just ended up a mediocre manager with a massive ego preventing him from learning from his mistakes (because he can't admit to making one).
  16. Bertz
    I'm slightly encouraged that the velo seems to be coming back, but yeah. Also, that was a travesty of an AB by the umpire. Willson's framing is improved but I only *maybe* strike three was due to him.
  17. Bertz
    Interesting stat I just looked up...career wRC+ overall versus as a DH: The good: Martinez - 121 vs 121 Contreras - 114 vs 102 Schwarber - 116 vs 124 The bad: Kipnis - 103 vs 64 Caratini - 87 vs 29 (only 35 PAs) Maybin - 94 vs 35 The Cubs have gotten horsefeathers production out of the DH spot this year. It's one of those things like hitting leadoff that really messed with some guys, I remember Giambi being the notorious example. Moving forward, I'd like to continue using it to keep Willson as an everyday player, as I'm not worried about his bat like I am Javy's. But when he's not DHing split it between Schwarber and Martinez and get whomever of Maybin/Souza/Bote into the lineup and the field based on matchups.
  18. Bertz
    Not sure how why Sadler rather than Winkler but who knows
  19. Bertz
    From Sharma's article today. Hottovy's sort of the cutter whisperer so there might be something here.
  20. Bertz
    He was one of the Yankees pixie dust guys like Voit and Urshela. Statcast also says he's been unlucky this year. His xwOBA is .361, which for reference is Anthony Rizzo's real wOBA this year. Maybin in is weirdly redundant with Souza though. I wonder if that means Souza's not that close or if Nico might get sent down. Just send down Almora That's only one spot though. In terms of roster spots, if KB and Souza are ready to go we're basically looking at this: Phegley -> Martinez Chatwood -> Osich Almora -> Maybin Perez -> KB ??? -> Souza Maybe Souza's not actually that close despite taking ABs at South Bend today. But otherwise it's gotta be Nico or a reliever for Souza.
  21. Bertz
    He was one of the Yankees pixie dust guys like Voit and Urshela. Statcast also says he's been unlucky this year. His xwOBA is .361, which for reference is Anthony Rizzo's real wOBA this year. Maybin in is weirdly redundant with Souza though. I wonder if that means Souza's not that close or if Nico might get sent down.
  22. Bertz
    I think Bryan has the right idea here:
  23. Bertz
    I mean honestly, he just needs to be healthy for the playoffs. Cubs are at 97% playoff odds per Fangraphs and while winning the division is nice, with the NL mostly mediocre and the playoffs likely to be played in a bubble (so no HFA), the only thing I'd be concerned about is avoiding the Dodgers. But even then it might not be bad to take your shot at the Dodgers in a 3 game series vs maybe having to play them in a 7 game NLCS. But yeah the fact that theres at least some tiny bit of doubt he may not be back before the playoffs, its certainly a concern. Yeah, I'm basically worried about a Pedro Strip situation, where he gets back like a week before the playoffs, gets two shaky outings in, and then we have to wonder if he's a guy that we can lean on yet. Like CW11 said though he's basically free if he doesn't come back, so I wonder if they get Osich on top of Chafin.
  24. Bertz
    Given how little season is left getting a guy on the IL is worrisome, who knows if there's enough time to get him back and right. But Chafin is basically the ideal lefty setup man: murder on lefties and still pretty good against righties.
  25. Bertz
    It looks at first glance like he's unluckily had an extra couple balls go over the fence, and that everything else is fine. That said, he's had a higher than expected HR/FB rate his entire career so it might not be bad luck at this point.
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