The team is in the top half in damn near every relevant stat. wRC+, position player war, base running, defense, both starter and reliever ERA, both starter and reliever xFIP, a huge disparity in runs scored vs allowed. That's not a contender? They've scored more runs than the Orioles and the Astros, they've allowed less than the Rangers and the Dodgers, they have had winning months in 3/4. They've been really good. Unfortunately they couldn't avoid the annual super slump in one of those months and they're behind the 8 ball because of it.
You guys base contention off of whether they can beat the Braves and stuff and that's ridiculous; stranger things have occurred in MLB history. The juggernaut Braves lost to the WC winner last year, for starters.