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champaignchris

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Everything posted by champaignchris

  1. champaignchris
    Yeah, if the Yankees are going to lap the luxury tax next year, they won’t make a move that forces Judge or Stanton to the DH to do it. They’ll fill one of their chronic holes with Kershaw or Machado.
  2. champaignchris
    I was listening to WSCR when it was announced and their reaction was, “Huh,” and then they immediately went back to whatever it was they were talking about.
  3. champaignchris
    Oh well.
  4. champaignchris
    He hasn't had 5.7 fWAR in his career let alone the last 2 years. BR has his WAR at 3.6 in 2016 and 2.2 in 2017. Don't like BR? That's fine. But that's what BR says.
  5. champaignchris
    5.7 WAR and a 115 ERA+ over the last two years for a contract that's at the mid-point between what Rich Hill and Ivan Nova got last year. Or basically Edinson Volquez's contract plus one year to a player 6 years younger than Volquez. Seems pretty reasonable to me.
  6. champaignchris
    It's the old "bird in hand," right. At the very least, the Cubs, Nats, and Yankees will be pushing all their chips in to try to get Harper. Probably other teams as well. The Dodgers might have a 1 in 4 shot to get Harper for who knows how much money, probably something pretty similar to, if not more expensive than, Stanton's contract. They know Stanton wants to play for them. They know what his contract costs. If they can convince the Marlins to take one or both of their bad contracts (Kazmir and Gonzalez) which would defer the Marlin's salary relief for a year, but would enable the Dodgers to take the entire Stanton contract. Send Gonzalez and/or Kazmir, Puig, $10-15M, and some b-list prospects and call it a deal.
  7. champaignchris
    Which makes wanting Giancarlo strange because in about 4 years that contract is going to look just as bad as Pujols' contract.
  8. champaignchris
    Signing Otahni means the Cubs maybe don’t go get a Jon Jay replacement. It doesn’t mean that they suddenly MUST trade someone from their young core.
  9. champaignchris
    My plan: Sign Harper on the same day they announce the new $87 gadzooktillian television contract, tell the rest of baseball to go eff themselves.
  10. champaignchris
    Chicago is on the West Coast of Lake Michigan. Just tell him the Cubs are in fact on the West Coast and don’t let him look at a map.
  11. champaignchris
    Other than the Yankees, what AL competitor actually has DH at bats to give? The Mariners, for example, can’t exactly promise 600 plate appearances to Ohtani when they’ve got Nelson Cruz already in the DH slot. Other than the Yankees and Houston, I don’t see an AL team (that doesn’t completely suck) that could truthfully offer Ohtani more at bats than an NL team.
  12. champaignchris
    One small correction to a couple of the posts above... Tsuyoshi Wada signed with Baltimore out of the NPB. Got hurt. Never pitched in the Majors and then signed with the Cubs after the Orioles didn’t re-sign him.
  13. champaignchris
    You too can be the latest Hall of Fame caliber starting pitcher for the Mariners to never sniff a World Series ring. Sign now with the Mariners and you will automatically, immediately receive a bonus consisting of the same number of MLB championships as fellow Japanese legend and long time Mariner, Ichiro Suziki!!!
  14. champaignchris
    What will be the rule for Ohtani regarding arbitration and when he becomes a free agent? Is he stuck on three years Major League minimum and then three years of arbitration (or whatever the standard is for drafted players) absent an extension? Or could that timing be shortened by signing a one year contract? On one hand the difference between the Cubs’ $300k and another team’s $3M isn’t much in the grand scheme of baseball money, but if that $3M is the majority of what he’s going to earn for three years, that’s a pretty big number. Or is he just going to make so much gobsmacking money in endorsements that all of this is arguing about pocket change and pretty much irrelevant?
  15. champaignchris
    I guess you could go the other way in thinking on it... The Cubs are about 32 games better than the Cardinals over the last 2 1/2 seasons. Will Giancarlo Stanton make a big enough difference for the Cardinals? Or could taking on a lodestone of a contract and trading away prospects just as the Cubs' cost-controlled superstars enter their prime years be the exact type of thing we should be hoping the Cardinals do? Obviously, the question hinges on how much of the contract the Cards have to take on and how much they have to empty their system of prospects. I don't think it can be overstated how ugly Stanton's contract has the potential to be. He'll still be owed $180M five years from now after he turns 33!
  16. champaignchris
    I guess my last question then is how did the rest of Baseball allow for a CBA to get passed that virtually assured that the best International pitching prospect in a generation would be a New York Yankee? There isn’t this problem if they’d done something like phased in the cap over a three year period.
  17. champaignchris
    What about a sort of NBA-style sign and trade? Say Otani decides he wants to play for the Cubs. He signs a contract with the Twins for the max amount that he can and then the Twins trade him to the Cubs for whatever pre-agreed upon prospects. That would be possible (incredibly unlikely, but possible) under the CBA, right? The weird thing about this whole process is that it would benefit the League to get the best baseball players in the world to play in the MLB and this new CBA seems designed to limit that from happening until they turn 25 years old.
  18. champaignchris
    International signing money can be traded, right? Nothing stopping the Cubs (or anyone else) from trading for chunks of, say, Minnesota’s or Miami’s pool, right? It’s probably a new enough phenomena that there’s no real basis to figure out what that money is worth. No way of knowing how much an Ian Happ, for example, would be worth in international cap money.
  19. champaignchris
    Sucks. I was always a fan.
  20. champaignchris
    I should add that I think Melancon’s 4 years at $62 is a pretty good guess as to what kind of deal Davis might get, which would be a no brainer over taking the QO.
  21. champaignchris
    I believe $17.4 would make Davis the highest paid reliever in the Majors for the season. I believe Chapman is at $17.2 and Jansen’s contract is backloaded, making $10 this year before jumping up to $18 in 2019 and beyond. So it really depends on what offers he gets. If he’s getting offers like 3 years at $30, he’d quite likely end up ahead by taking the QO. Even if he has a bad year and “only” gets offers $6 or $8 a year in 2019, he’s probably better of. If in the other hand, he’s getting offers for 4 years at $60, then he takes that instead of the QO.
  22. champaignchris
    Yeah unless we are eating all of Samardzija's and Melancon's contracts and throwing in money for Heyward on top of giving up some prospects (Alozay, Maples, Caritini, etc.) it doesn't make a ton of sense. They should just go sign Cain, Gomez, etc or trade for Stanton to fill the OF. Maybe Cueto opting in really horsefeathers up their plans/budget? Their outfield is so screwed, I would assume they’d still be in on Cain even after trading for Heyward.
  23. champaignchris
    I think Archer, Stroman and Nola are your complete list. I guess maybe Cole, too.
  24. champaignchris
    I would like Chacin as the #5 starter quite a bit, assuming someone else of higher caliber got picked up to be the Arrieta replacement. He would be a solid improvement over Lackey.
  25. champaignchris
    I was all in on the Heyward signing. I even made fun of my Cardinal fan friends during the 2015 playoffs by telling them how good Heyward was going to look in a Cubs uniform the next year. In retrospect, this is probably all my fault.
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