If you're going to point out that he got ehlp from Texas last year, then it's only fair you point out that he played in big time pitchers' parks every other season of his career...including Petco in 2007 when he still mashed. In 2003 he kind of broke out (althrough he had under 400 ABs) at age 25. Since then, here is where he has played before going to Texas 2004- LAD (26th in ESPN park factors) 2005- LAD (25th) 2006- OAK (24th) 2007- OAK (29th) 2007- SD (30th) His OPS+ team by team in that span was 108, 118, 114, 122, 167 (153 total in 2007) and then 163 last year. Last year he still had an .872 OPS on the road. In 2007 he had a .977 OPS at Petco and a .947 overall OPS for the season even though his home games were split between the first and second ranked pitchers' park that year. I'm obviously not expecting like a .950 OPS from him, but saying he'll have an .820 OPS is kind of silly, especially considering he'll be moving to a park that is consistently in the top 10 for hitters. Oh, and where are you getting 4/40 from?