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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    Good call. Was going to comment on how the Astros A. were in the American League, so who cares, and B. had acquired a 1.1 fWAR SS and a 1.1 fWAR outfielder.
  2. squally1313
    to the padres
  3. squally1313
    Kyle Tucker is the 9th best offensive player in baseball this year when you include baserunning and defense, the 10th best hitter by wOBA, and the 11th best hitter by xwOBA. He doesn't play a premium position but he's nowhere near at risk of having to move to DH soon. Over the last three years he's been the 7th best hitter and the 14th most valuable offensive player (while missing half of 2024) in terms of fWAR generated. He's not Judge, Witt, Soto, or Shohei, but he probably as much an argument as anybody else for the 5th spot after that. It's probably an overpay, but those type of deals mathematically are always going to be, and it's not my money, so why not.
  4. squally1313
    I don't even know who Flores is
  5. squally1313
    Yeah. If at the end of the day today they haven't touched their top 10 prospects, I'll be very disappointed.
  6. squally1313
    Eh. The Cubs are better against LHPs than the Phillies are. Shouldn't they be worried about Boyd and Shota and potentially another coming in the door today? Those one or two home runs (maybe!) don't mean a whole lot if they reduce the deficit to 8-4 in the 7th.
  7. squally1313
    Cubs are tied in team wRC for the year with 117. Third in baseball in July. There is plenty of offense. The Brewers are rolling out Joey Ortiz every day (worse than Shaw). The Padres are (for now) rolling out Elias Diaz (worse than Shaw). The Dodgers have given 200 PAs at a 74 wRC to Enrique Hernandez and Michael Conforto has a negative fWAR on the year. Tyrone Taylor has a 58(!) wRC in 295 PAs for the Mets. This isn't a unique problem.
  8. squally1313
    Yeah sorry. Again, not the jersey guy. In my head I was picturing/hoping for the baby blue ones. Agreed these could the older ones.
  9. squally1313
    I know he's a Mariner and I'm mostly just bored waiting for Cease or Gore, and I know this is too obvious but like....we don't get the 36 home runs he's already hit. He's a 1.2 fWAR player the rest of the year per the systems, 1.5 fWAR if you just base on YTD performance. I understand it's dumb to play the marginal fWAR game over a two month stretch (Suarez is 0.5 higher than Shaw, Cease is 0.8 higher than Rea, etc), but you have to at least consider the guys overall body of work, not just these 100 games, when you're trying to project out the next 60, and the systems that do that say he's a 120 wRC/800 OPS guy, not this monster he's recently been.
  10. squally1313
    I was hoping for old school but the Cubs official account just tweeted and it's essentially just the current Cubs alt. Maybe with a retro logo on the sleeve? Not sure, certainly not a uniform guy.
  11. squally1313
    Blue jerseys, no names, believe everyone wearing 23 on Saturday. Should be cool.
  12. squally1313
    Agreed. Mo isn't a major league catcher yet so he's fun but square peg/round hole, and McGuire has been serviceable but he's a backup catcher. Amaya looked good but the advanced metrics have him as slightly above average offensively, though he comes with all the team control. Kelly obviously was never going to keep up his April but has basically settled into his xwOBA (.371 wOBA v .361 xwOBA, which is basically as good as anyone not named Raleigh/Will Smith) and he gives them another year to wait on Salas.
  13. squally1313
    Murphy would make sense but I would think Adley has enough team control that a team like Baltimore would want to hold onto him (especially because this would be very much selling low). Amaya or Kelly hold enough value that I don't think you'd have to include too much more, which is tricky if they're looking for prospects to flip for Kwan or whatever.
  14. squally1313
    I know there are some weird work around rules with the injury, but maybe Amaya is on the table in that situation? Or Carson Kelly to bridge the gap to Salas? Elias Diaz and his 67 wRC isn't getting the job done.
  15. squally1313
    I'll take both of them, thanks
  16. squally1313
    Not to call you specifically, but I really don't know what this means. Suarez is going to run hot and cold just like everyone else does. He's 3 for his last 29, in a full playoff series worth of games. Over the rest of the season will he hit better than Shaw? Almost certainly. But he certainly wouldn't have helped us in the Brewers (or Royals) series.
  17. squally1313
    Really wanted Bieber. Love the potential playoff upside.
  18. squally1313
    Hopefully Jed remembered to set his alarm to wake up for today right
  19. squally1313
    Eh. Tucker has a 133 wRC against LHP, Suzuki will come out of his slump, Dansby and Hoerner hit them well. Even Matt Shaw has a 107 wRC against them. I know we’ve struggled lately against them, but as others have pointed out, we went through a pretty elite run of lefty starters. No one would say we struggle against RHP if Skenes shuts us down. Trying to perfect an elite offense at the opportunity cost of pitching help seems foolish.
  20. squally1313
    Do I think he can maintain a 42 home run pace, something he’s only done once before this year (so far)? Maybe? I wouldn’t say ‘probable’. michael Busch and PCA both have a better wRC than Suarez in July. Is he a good hitter? Of course. Do we ‘need’ him? The offense has been incredibly offensive as is. Purely offensively we’re third in baseball, with baserunning and defense (where Suarez would be a clear downgrade) we’re the best team in baseball. Meanwhile, we have serious rotation issues, either in stamina (Boyd, Horton) or effectiveness (Rea, most of the bullpen). We have bullets, but they’re limited. We’re an injury to Matt ‘I get injured all the time’ Boyd away from our game two starter being…an exhausted Cade Horton? Taillon? To say nothing about game three. Upgrades need to go here.
  21. squally1313
    He’s definitely definitely better than whatever you want to call our fifth starter situation.
  22. squally1313
    A. Will take the under on 50 home runs 2. He has more PAs at wrigley than he does any park where he hasn’t played for the team. No doubt he does well there, but just for clarity sake C. Exhaust the options of using the bullets for pitching, and if that doesn’t work…fine. No one says anything about the transcendent brewers and joey Ortiz coming up in a (very hypothetical!) extremely leveraged October moment.
  23. squally1313
    Yeah you’re right, the cubs haven’t traded for a third baseman with a 130+ wRC in…a little over a year. Oh and that guy had multiple years of control. Very unique situation.
  24. squally1313
    Ok so if all mid-top 100 prospects are flawed and likely to not turn into much, why is that consistently the top end of what players, especially rentals go for come the trade deadline every year.
  25. squally1313
    But is it possible you’re just overly familiar with their flaws and similar issues exist with pretty much every other similarly ranked prospect? it’s like how most normal fans would look at Dansby and be like ‘hm, 2 fWAR, on pace for over 3, pretty good player’ and we’re collectively like ‘he’s the worst clutch player in modern baseball history’
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