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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. squally1313
    I don't think anyones 'pedigree' is 'Hall of Fame Baseball Player', and beyond that, Broglio generated -1.6 wins and Andersen pitched 15 games for the Red Sox, think Kyle Tucker, even in one year, should comfortable outpace those amounts. But yeah, other than that.
  2. squally1313
    me reading this
  3. squally1313
    No point in freaking out about this. He's not taking anyone spots in the top 4 and is basically the same pitcher as Rea (you can still have problems with this one, especially in hindsight). Lynn will get a ramp up period and if no one breaks between now and 4-6 weeks from now we cut him a check for hanging out in Arizona/Iowa for a month and send him on his way. Better proactive than reactive, especially when you screw up and leave yourself with $30m to spend.
  4. squally1313
    I know you realistically only have a certain amount of innings with Boyd, but I think in a world where this signing pays off he's a much better middle relief option than someone near the back fringes of the pen. Having two lefty starters downplays the impact a bit but he still seems like a guy who would play up if you let him rip for a short stretch.
  5. squally1313
    lol they went 11-5.
  6. squally1313
    I will take a 20/1 bet on this (so would you)
  7. squally1313
    That extension kicking in for 2025, as unlikely as that is to play out, really means we're just using a lot of the extra cash lying around for this year and then calling it a long term deal of 10/$333 for his age 29-38 years. We were supposedly willing to pay $29m/year for Bregman's 31-34 years, and Tucker has shown every indication he's a better player, so I don't think it's too much of a stretch that they'd be willing to commit to that kind of money.
  8. squally1313
    Szymborski threw out the idea of trading for German Marquez in an article today. He's thrown 8 innings the last two years but there was clear talent (and production), and he's on the last year of a 2/$20m deal for a team going nowhere. Worth keeping an eye on him. 90% joking aside: get Colorado to pay 80% of KBs salary and bring him back in the deal too.
  9. squally1313
    Steele*
  10. squally1313
    Appreciate all this, and also appreciate that I'm probably trying to counter an argument that you/the original article wasn't even making. Agree from a pure output/run production perspective that Ks don't hurt you materially more than a ball in play out, there's all the data in the world to show that. Just don't know if I'm as bought in on this 'selling out for power' thing, or that like, 'being good at home runs' and 'being good at not striking out' are the two ends of the spectrum. The players that make the majors, which are the players we're basing this data off of, have been filtered through about 15 different layers of cuts, and every time, on the fringe cases, someone decided that their power skill made up for their K issue. It's just the population you end up with.
  11. squally1313
    It's a fun concept but I wonder how that works in actual practice. Turner and Kelly aren't going anywhere, feels like they have too much committed in Berti to cut him so that a AAA guy can get a cup of coffee, Workman, as of now, can't go down. Maybe Brujan wins the last spot and then that becomes somewhat of a revolving door? Obviously there are going to be injuries, but you'd think any injury requiring an IL stint would more lead to someone like Alcantara/Caissie just getting daily MLB starts more than the 'sporadic' PT Counsell mentions.
  12. squally1313
    For conversations sake....is that causation or correlation? Like, the counter there is that more strike outs doesn't necessarily lead to more home runs, but that players with a high strike out rate but lack of corresponding power just don't make it to the majors. Not to use the dreaded sample size of 5 again, but the average K rate last year, league wise, was 22.6%, and the top 5 guys in HRs ran K rates of 24.3%, 22.2%, 19.4%, 16.7%, and 24.7% (and to head off any accusations of cherry picking, the 6th guy was 12%). Like, there's a chance it's more 'we tolerate high strike outs if/when it comes with a maybe/maybe not associated power skill', right?
  13. squally1313
    PCA a late scratch. Hopefully just hungover or something else cool.
  14. squally1313
    (I like triantos but he probably needs to put up at least a league average AAA line or hit even one home run there before we consider him ready to contribute)
  15. squally1313
    Scott Kingery/Tim Anderson/Jorge Soler as your 1-2-3 is peak February spring training. Also Cam Smith only went 1/3 with a single AND a strikeout, so we're back to winning the trade.
  16. squally1313
    Lineups are funny because I obsessed over them as a kid playing video games and little league and what not and have those old school notions hard wired into my brain. I realize now that it doesn't really matter at all and to just give the best hitters the most PAs and leave it alone, but I still feel the need to endlessly tinker with them (Hoerner and his contact skills in the 2 hole! PCA as the 'second leadoff hitter!').
  17. squally1313
    You don't want to put too much importance on two games, especially with the disruption in whatever build up/rehab is going on, but just optically having Workman and Berti in the Opening Day lineup would be a bit depressing so if Shaw could just show up at full speed that would be great.
  18. squally1313
    I think it's pretty common practice for ownership to sign off on 9 figure deals regardless of the budget situation, especially in a lame duck year for Hoyer. You can be $25m under budget and still need 'special permission' to offer someone over $30m/year. Have they explicitly said, recently, they are at the top end of the budget currently? My view is Ricketts hasn't meaningfully moved from his comments about staying at/right below the first luxury tax line. Bregman would have put them over that line and was a big enough contract regardless that he needed to talk with ownership. After that fell through, he apparently doesn't see anything out there worth getting. It's not necessarily a mistake on his part to not throw that money at Jose Quintana and a bunch of relievers that don't improve the team. But it's a mistake on his part, in the aggregate offseason, to end up not using the financial resources allotted to him.
  19. squally1313
    typo, hopefully?
  20. squally1313
    Some version of 2023 Jordan Wicks would go a really long way with our current pitching depth.
  21. squally1313
    And runs and fields at an absolute elite level. He puts out one of these articles every six weeks and Hoerner just continues being the 4 win player that he is.
  22. squally1313
  23. squally1313
    I mean, knowing what we know now about his complete arc as a Cub, of course there were better times to try and trade him for value. But that's a dumb road to go down. He got passed by PCA and Alcantara, the corner spots didn't open up, and he ran out of time. It happens.
  24. squally1313
    Kenny Lofton
  25. squally1313
    it's like you almost figured it out and then just couldn't help yourself
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