squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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it's really nice of thielbar and that guy (ferguson or thornton, i'll never remember which is which) to pitch well in what is hopefully one of their last appearances for the team
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nah, after that wild pitch he's going to get something to make contact with.
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hey nico, that was really bad
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oh right, our bullpen is still very thin and kinda shredded. but...maybe theirs is too?
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WHY IS HE BATTING FOURTH
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99.8 EV with a 33 LA finds the bleachers in a lot of games
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He also has 7 walks, that's just the times he's done something with the 3-0 pitch (and it also doesn't count the times taking a strike)
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He pitched yesterday. Guessing he would still go today if needed, but the goal, failing a comeback, is just to make it necessary to use him.
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A Cabrera/Peterson piggyback situation, Rea as the long/mop up man, Assad staying stretched out in AAA is probably the best path at the moment. Not sure what the plan is with Garrett.
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what a gamer, has another level, real true competitor
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Allowing a bunch of guys to get on base but getting out of it with minimal actual damage? That sounds vaguely familiar....
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Garrett up, Ferguson down. A little surprising.
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statement
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Yeah I'm sure there's an explanation for this but looking at it a little closer I don't think it's quite apples to apples, and I think the error comes from the FG not recognizing any sort of defensive contributions from pitchers for 2026, whereas in 2016 Lester (lol), Arrieta, Lackey, Hammer all contributed pretty sizable defensive value. Removing the pitchers from the list, if my quick math is right, puts that team at 50.4, so we're probably right on line with that, if not a little ahead. All in all, probably safe to say the offensive group is on par with the 2016 group. Pitching has been a very different story.
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FG has the 2016 Cubs as the best defensive team from 2016-2026, with 92.2....units*, I guess, of defensive value. We're currently at 39, which puts on pace for like...low 50s. It's a little weird, I don't know if it's shift related or what. Of the top 50 defensive teams from this century, only 1 is from this decade. units*:
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PCA is at 7.9 fWAR right now, which is more than any single player put up in 2016. Obviously, WAR can go in both directions, so he has to keep going. KB 7.5 Rizzo 4.8 Fowler 4.3 Lester 4.2 Hendricks 4.2 Zobrist 3.6 Russell 3.6 Arrieta 3.5 The 2026 offense is a little better than 2016 in terms of hitting/baserunning, but does not measure up, really at all, from a defensive metric situation, somehow. In total 2016 put up 34.9 offensive fWAR, we're at 25.0 Pitching is a huge difference. 18.8 then, 4.1 now.
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I'm not saying that you specifically need to adjust for era, but most metrics are going to. Sosa had a 159 wRC in 1998, PCA has a 157 at the moment. The league average OPS in 1998 was .755, it's currently .720.
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PCA passed 1998 Sosa like 2 weeks ago. 2001 Sosa is going to be a stretch, although maybe not much of one after today. 10th best offensive season all time as of this moment. Has a few Fergie seaons and a handful of deadball pitcher seasons in front of him as well. Passed 2003 Prior today.
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PCA has a chance to finish today with a top ten offensive season in Chicago Cubs history. Currently tied for 11th. 1929 Hornsby 11.0 2001 Sosa 9.9 1959 Banks 9.7 1967 Santo 9.5 1958 Banks 8.7 1964 Santo 8.7 1966 Santo 8.5 1930 Wilson 8.0 1984 Sandberg 8.0 1955 Banks 7.8 1906 Chance 7.7 1965 Santo 7.5 2026 PCA 7.7 Passed KB's 2016 MVP season with the home run.
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I don't think it's a 'building up' situation as much as it's 'blew up in his 2 major league starts and his been mostly fine in AAA until blowing up his last two AAA starts'
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Probably missed the discussion elsewhere but Assad stayed up for now, Kelly got sent back down
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if you knew he was capable of pitching to that level, wouldn't you be mad he so rarely does it with nobody on base?
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Every Superman needs a (half) day off every now and then
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Yeah I don't know, I just struggle with it. Can totally get the argument that having 7 mediocre pitches is better than have 4 mediocre pitches, or even 2 good pitches. It's just....wouldn't that show up as strikeouts? Or at least weak contact? Neither of which you really see from Bibee or Assad unless you really parse the data. Maybe there's a strategy element to it. He's only going to throw his 5th pitch when he really needs it. There's probably ways to analyze pitch selection per amount of leverage or something. But otherwise...if he could do it consistently, why not do it more? To use a bad analogy, if a guy came along that was a guaranteed grand slam if he came up with the bases loaded but would strike out every other time...there's plenty of value in that guy, sure, but eventually you'd be like 'hey, so, um, why can't you just hit home runs the rest of the time'
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sorry, can you finish the thought here? neither of these guys get good results on an aggregate basis in the ways that you typically measure a pitcher. are they just saving some deeper bag of pitches for high leverage PAs?
