squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Dansby has underperformed his xwOBA by pretty significant margins his first three years here, so it’s nice to see him getting results, albeit a little weirdly. The 16% walk rate won’t last, but neither will the 227 BABIP. But it’s looking like he’s going to need to stay league average or better offensively because the defensive metrics have leveled off.
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Overpay for a starter. Make the market up yourself. We've got seven offensive spots locked up for the next 4 years, and the offense is elite. The offensive prospects keep popping up, and whatever internal pitching reinforcements we might have keep getting shelved. A healthy Cabrera/Shota/Boyd as your playoff top 3 is a travesty. We did the responsible thing last year and stayed away from overpaying and then our four starters (all of them currently in our rotation) gave up 32 baserunners in 18 innings against the Brewers and we lost by one game.
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Hopefully they left this selfish horsefeathers in California
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Yeah after spending most of the second half last year predicting a positive regression that never really came, it's fitting that we're now 17 wOBA points above where we're expected to be. Not that it's really a cause for concern, 3rd in wOBA and 8th in xwOBA with where our baserunning and defense should end up is still plenty elite. Haven't gotten much in terms of accrued value from baserunning, I would assume mostly because PCA forgot how to steal bases, but the defense is fourth in baseball and should really only go up from there.
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Eh. He has a .591 BABIP in 8 innings. I'd imagine their opinion of him (and their implied valuation of him) hasn't materially changed. I'd take him at the deal he signed right now.
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On the topic of teams that have sucked, Crochet and Suarez are locked up for a long time but Sonny Gray is in the last year of his deal
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Yeah PCA's 140 wRC is actually dragging down the overall team wRC over the last 14 days (144)
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https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&month=0&ind=1&startdate=&enddate=&season1=2000&season=2026&pos=cf&sortcol=21&sortdir=default&pagenum=1&pageitems=50 is this what you were looking for? On pace, pretty comfortably, to have the best season. Already like 40% of the way to where he was last year.
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Oneil Cruz with an .861 OPS, 9 home runs, 10 stolen bases. PCA has been worth more in fWAR.
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Pseudo knuckleballer who has gotten beat up is fun.
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Nico forever
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Come on Shaw
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I think Michael Busch is a better hitter and I want him to get more PAs. That applies to tonight, and until there’s a substantial body of data that shows he’s not better. Which there currently isn’t.
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Justin Steele and Cade Horton should be considered fun bonuses if they contribute any substantial value to the Cubs at any point in the future. It sucks, but that has to be the mindset/approach by the front office.
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The risk is doing dumb things that result in worse hitters getting more at bats than better hitters. Also, how are the good hitters supposed to simultaneously be on base and also get the hits when there are guys on base. It's late April. Counsell isn't going to chase wins by pulling his all star starter overly soon to further exhaust a beat up bullpen in the first game of the series. He's not going to drop the guy who had a 140 wRC last year (and 128 since the beginning of last year). And he's not going to try and play lineup roulette to become the first manager ever to solve the 'problem' of clutch hitting. I get that we've only won 10 of our last 13 games, but we don't really need to tinker for the sake of tinkering here.
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You can't really believe that
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Yeah having 7 home games in a row without a day off and then having us fly to the west coast for 6 games with two elite teams is about as tough as it's going to get. Arizona and Cincinnati back at home after a day off is a good chance to pick up some wins, the rest of May is about average, and then there's a three week stretch to start June where we go home against Athletics, home against Giants, at Colorado, at Giants, home against Colorado. Stay 5-8 games over .500 for the next few weeks as we get healthy and then we can start adding back on.
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our bullpen is hanging on by a thread and this is the fifth inning of game one of the series. there's not a lot of good options here. desperately need the day off on thursday (and some pitchers getting healthy and effective)
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Man
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Idiots in 6 weeks: if you take away the 10 game winning streak, we’re basically an 85 win team
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125 wRC from our great if not elite defensively shortstop but he signed a contract with a big number, so
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Oh man this is elite team horsefeathers
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Yeah based on that chart above there isn't a single guy besides Rolison I'd feel totally comfortable using. Taillon for 4, Rolison for 3, Carson Kelly for 1, Rolison gets put out to pasture and we find another Rolison for the next time this happens.
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Im probably screwing up these stats but savant has it he single as an .840 xBA. Don’t think catch probability comes out until tomorrow?
