The one game playoff helps a little bit. Outside of some scenario where making the WC game comes down to the last day, both teams are going throw their ace in the WC game, which limits them to one start in the NLDS. So Bumgarner, Syndergaard, and Martinez, most likely. Cueto has been pretty good, and I honestly don't know which of the rest of the Mets pitchers are still healthy besides Colon, but the Cardinals rotation drops off pretty quickly. That's why I'm hoping they sneak in, even if it would probably mean a few wins against us. If Martinez threw in the one game WC, they'd have to go something like Wainwright, Leake, Martinez, Garcia, Wainwright. I get the 7 game series reducing the crapshoot idea, but I don't think it really changes the percentages too much. Worst case scenario is the Giants having to throw Cueto and Bumgarner Saturday/Sunday to make the play-in game, and then somehow pulling it off. That would make it a lot tougher.