Either way, every pitch is guessing. But the chances/odds/favor is that in a hitters count you're getting a meatball. Hence called "hitters count." You see good hitters like Pujols, Ortiz, Manny, they work the count. DLee has worked the count for the majority of the season, and he does alot better when doing so. Watching all the replays on MLB.tv, of all the highlights, when I look at the counts when players hit homers and RBI doubles, its never 0-0. Your idea is fine, when theres nobody on base. But the pitcher is going to be VERY careful when theres 2 guys on base. Never? Come on, now. Just like Corey has never produced with RISP. While Barret's double didn't produce an RBI, he got the double on an 0-0 count.