He didn't say one way or the other either, but I believe the draft numbers are based on current record. So given that the Bears project to end up with a top 5 pick but right this second would be in the 5-10 range, they'll naturally drift upwards (potentially significantly) as the season progresses. How are the Eagles not closer to the top in draft capital? Yea I can't figure out the chart really. His draft chart values are published somewhere in his site, so you could try to recreate it, thought not sure what he's using for draft placement (current record only or current+projections) Presumably there are pick ranges that provide more excess value, and it's maybe not linear because the cap hits aren't linear, so there could just be weird "cliffs" where cap hits drop off at a different rate than value cliffs? Edit-actually I may be overthinking it, but I think maybe the NO pick draft slot just wasn't high enough before, the Eagles other picks are just really low with a 32 projected finish, and most the teams above them having lots of excess picks, even if a lot are mid rounders (though in some cases also plenty of excess high picks too)