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WrigleyField 22

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Everything posted by WrigleyField 22

  1. WrigleyField 22
    Lots of little luck (including penalty luck) variance finally went Bears way after seemingly tons of bad variance past several weeks. I'll take it!
  2. WrigleyField 22
    There's two angles, neither show a push. Wright flailed for the ball because he is a below average CB. Clean clean clean. Any fan would flip of their WR was called for OPI there. Edit - three angles!
  3. WrigleyField 22
    No way is this OPI
  4. WrigleyField 22
    No
  5. WrigleyField 22
    Yea no way they get off in the case. He had to go down by the 15 or 20 or take it to the house
  6. WrigleyField 22
    A typical Bears result would be like him getting tripped at the 2 and they run out of time to run the spike and lose.
  7. WrigleyField 22
    Caruso for Giddey was never a terrible idea but they absolutely should have gotten a pick back. I don't care how good Giddey becomes, it was a dumb trade and AK doesn't understand leveraging capital.
  8. WrigleyField 22
    Progression isn't linear and making that statement off a half a season is pointless. There was defintiely love for Maye among many. So there was always an argument for his skillset and reasonable bets as to him being the better pro. That matters little right now though. It's "can Caleb get there" which is still being answered.
  9. WrigleyField 22
    Think they're running more power and less zone blocking.
  10. WrigleyField 22
    Also, this is the offense not clicking. At some point it's ALL gonna cone together and fire on all cylinders at once
  11. WrigleyField 22
    We're still pretty new to the current economics of rookie deal lengths and size and like half of that time teams were adjusting to their willingness to adapt to college passing concepts, which now makes scouting easier. So a lot of the first round guys are legit and you can develop them but teams suck at it and the leash is still short.
  12. WrigleyField 22
    I'd say at least 6 times out of 10 it's not the contract thats the issue. You just can't develop QBs or coach O. Like a lot of these failed QBs at some point were making average starter money and eventually average backup money, and those contracts will quickly turn into like bottom 10 starter if they're of any length. It wasn't the potential contract holding back the team, it was the coaching holding back the QB. I say 6 out of 10 because there's still plenty of true flame outs, but at any given time I think like half the league is just gonna ruin their QB. Bears have a guy at top who is explicitly not a QB ruiner. The leash is long.
  13. WrigleyField 22
  14. WrigleyField 22
    I haven't seen the update since Sunday but going into this week like 4 of the top 6 QBs in EPA/play were former top 10 picks cast off and on their 2nd+ team. The offense is putting up points. Caleb's leash is as long as that still happening. Brady was a system QB for like 6 years. Give these guys times unless they really give you reason not to.
  15. WrigleyField 22
    To put it another way : DVOA is always gonna be better with a longer sample as it replaces preseason SOS adjustment with in season SOS adjustment. Is it 6 games of SOS but just 4 games of ratings ( so you have selective sample) Or is it 4 games of ratings (smaller sample and more weighting towards preseason SOS). Neither of those things sound necessarily better than just taking the largest DVOA sample you can. Now an inherent limitation of DVOA is probably just being slow to react to change so we can use scouting and stuff to measure something like that... But a smaller sample is just kind of worse in most cases. Those games probably still tell us true things about teams most times.
  16. WrigleyField 22
    But DVOA is already a schedule adjusted metric that adjusts it's weighting throughout the season so it's not clear what excluding weeks would even do there.
  17. WrigleyField 22
    Thats actually additionally funny because DVOA also already has mechanisms in place to deal with opponent strength metric as a season progresses, so presumably this just kneecaps that portion or what, I don't know?
  18. WrigleyField 22
    Random sample size cutoffs are good if they favor my team.
  19. WrigleyField 22
    Obviously Caleb isn't Lamar, but that's not just Lamar pushing the spread up 14. They have a backup bad enough to help push that spread down too.
  20. WrigleyField 22
    I think he broke his dick
  21. WrigleyField 22
    That was annoying but yea not bad. You just have to know it gets called like that. Now on the flip side that late 2Q sack Caleb took certainly looked like helmet to helmet to helmet contact. Though the broadcast avoiding replaying a lot of bad or potential missed calls. For as much as the refs were flag happy against Bears they missed a few other way worse ones that could have gone against Washington. It was just poorly officiated. Whatever W is a W. Great sign Bears could have several miscues, piss poor kick coverage, have several scores swing against them from officiating... And still squeak out a win. Why I'll almost never blame officials for a loss. Find a way. Bears did. And Caleb wasn't at his best either.
  22. WrigleyField 22
    Yes
  23. WrigleyField 22
    There is?
  24. WrigleyField 22
    Turbodogshit refs tonight.
  25. WrigleyField 22
    On one hand TEs are often slow to develop. On the other hand https://www.pff.com/news/indianapolis-colts-tyler-warren-is-rewriting-rookie-history-at-the-tight-end-position
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