Jump to content
North Side Baseball

David

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,475

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by David

  1. David
    By how much would you say you think the Cubs odds of winning a world series this year improve by replacing our current catching situation with Lucroy? Serious question. this is the dumbest stance actually, opposing this objectively dumb but hey the funny thing is there was no stance in that post, but you knew anyway what the actual right answer was. adding to this team in the hopes of somehow cementing (or, honestly, even significantly improving the odds of) a world series is a fool's errand and any significant long term sacrifice is ill advised.
  2. David
    You win a World Series by maximizing your chances at going to the playoffs many times, not by trying to maximize the roster one or two years. There's no amount of maxing out of this roster that is going to change the reality of what the MLB playoffs are. The whole diminishing returns thing is very very real with regard to adding talent the 2016 Cubs.
  3. David
    By how much would you say you think the Cubs odds of winning a world series this year improve by replacing our current catching situation with Lucroy? Serious question.
  4. David
    If the 4-5% thing happens, it happens. There's not much you can do to move the needle on what can be projected to happen with 2 months to go. Obviously, next season is in play. That also puts Lucroy a year older (and he's still one season removed from being not good - only to illustrate that he's not some sort of 4 WAR lock being a year older). If you're going to keep bringing up that Lucroy wasn't good last year, it's also worth mentioning that he's been pretty darned good every other season since 2012. I like the chances of him being a 3-5 WAR player next year better than the chances of him being a 1 WAR player again. But like TT, I don't think the acquisition cost is worth the improvement. If we're going to give up the players it'd take, I'd prefer they be spent on areas of greater need. As for the bold, maybe. He'll be a 31 year old catcher. I'm not sure you can say that with much certainty. And it's not like I'm saying he's not good or I wouldn't want him. I just don't think he actually changes anything this season, so you're talking about a likely clear (but probably not huge) upgrade to the team's chances next year and a clear downgrade in subsequent years (possibly pretty big given the post 2017 options).
  5. David
    Having a better hitter, defender, framer, and game caller for the rest of the season and playoffs makes a real difference. If you want to pick nits at 'significant' have at it, and like I said before I'd rather not because of the cost, but the improvement is undeniable. Every season is at the mercy of a handful of pitching elbows and shoulders staying intact and productive, so there's definitely appeal and benefit to capitalizing when we know we have those lined up. Theo said almost exactly that after the Chapman deal. I still think the Chapman deal was ill advised (but I'm gonna enjoy what he does on the field while he's here) and I think, if you put any stock into what the playoffs odds and the projections (very much the same type of thing you're using to show the gap between Lucroy and Contreras for ROS) say, 95ish% is just that. And then the playoffs where I still believe you can't do anything to beat the fact that even a great team has to go through 3 gauntlets where they have at least a 40% chance of ending up dead each time.
  6. David
    If the 4-5% thing happens, it happens. There's not much you can do to move the needle on what can be projected to happen with 2 months to go. Obviously, next season is in play. That also puts Lucroy a year older (and he's still one season removed from being not good - only to illustrate that he's not some sort of 4 WAR lock being a year older).
  7. David
    I'm not big on arbitrary end points (I mean, I'm happy to look to splits like that to look for signs of progress and whatnot, but definitely not for making big picture roster decisions). I know Lucroy is 30, had a bad year just last year, and given the ~96% chance at winning the division already, doesn't change things much this season. Add in Willson's age and contract status and it isn't even a close call for me. EDIT - And while not on Lucroy's level, it's not like Contreras has graded out as a detriment as a framer, so far. Let's look forward then. ROS ZiPS has Lucroy as a .339 wOBA compared to .306 for Contreras. Plus the defensive impact means that Lucroy is going to be a far better option. I'd personally rather not make that move given the likely cost, but there's little argument that the Cubs aren't better with Lucroy as the catcher this year and next. They've got the division locked up. What tangible benefit does that projected 30 points in wOBA actually have?
  8. David
    I don't know that this is true to a very significant degree this year and next, and certainly not beyond that. Contreras has a .692 OPS in July, .518 since the break, and Lucroy is a much better defender/framer. It is true to a very significant degree. I'm not big on arbitrary end points (I mean, I'm happy to look to splits like that to look for signs of progress and whatnot, but definitely not for making big picture roster decisions). I know Lucroy is 30, had a bad year just last year, and given the ~96% chance at winning the division already, doesn't change things much this season. Add in Willson's age and contract status and it isn't even a close call for me. EDIT - And while not on Lucroy's level, it's not like Contreras has graded out as a detriment as a framer, so far.
  9. David
    I don't know that this is true to a very significant degree this year and next, and certainly not beyond that. This is a pretty silly thing to say.
  10. David
    Same.
  11. David
    Felix has been very mediocre this year.
  12. David
    That's not a wake up call he should need. I wouldn't have started the inning with Arrieta, though.
  13. David
    Not against it, but why should we give up assets to acquire someone who might be our 4 or 5 starter and won't pitch in the postseason? A - because there are years beyond this one B - depends which rays starter, as far as that 4th or 5th thing goes
  14. David
    good horsefeathers jon
  15. David
    the funny thing is hawk was actually right on that
  16. David
    His velo this year is essentially the same as it's been his entire career as a starter outside of last year. Granted, that doesn't take into account any potential loss in velocity as the season wears on (since this is only a little over half a season).
  17. David
    He was sick. No injury. wtf Why's that weird (assuming truth)?
  18. David
    I just happened to turn on my stream waiting for baggage claim two pitches before that glorious dong
  19. David
    When my plane landed, Cubs were down and being no hit. Before even find taxiing to the gate, tied
  20. David
    he called us all a bunch of "maggots" and some other stuff
  21. David
    http://i.imgur.com/LT7JMUD.jpg two years dwyane wade became dwayne wayne
  22. David
    i think we banned another weirdo homophobe and that seemed to help last year (actually i have no idea when exactly sontensei or whatever was banned but i think it was august?)
  23. David
    How is my side of the arguement any different than multiple posters coming at me or stating their opinion? You're an idiot how on earth did you use the right you're there i'm not even trying to be a little bit funny or lying in any way. i literally thought the exact same words a while ago when i read that.
  24. David
    He is, but not by enough to offset the control and surplus value.
  25. David
    A guy who has to be protected against right handed pitching in order to have an acceptable slash line is nowhere near untouchable and is worth nowhere near what Bryant and Rizzo are worth.
×
×
  • Create New...