Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Are the Cubs REALLY out of it??
Transmogrified Tiger replied to don_kessinger_was_good's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
maybe he figured things out and became a player, but dude looks to me to be another in the long line of players who perform way over his head for the Cardinals. his current OPS is .309 above his minor league career OPS, .235 above what he did at AAA last year, and .255 above what he did at AAA this year before being called up. Hitting in front of Pujols might have something to do with that. Didn't do too much for So Taguchi. -
I don't think Hendry views Izturis as untouchable. I think he'd go in the right deal. I can't see him moving though. There's way too many pieces Hendry would part with before Izturis, and not many teams are going to really want Izturis anyway.
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The value of Olin Wick baseball cards takes another hit.
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Cubs Top 25 Prospects Game
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Can someone educate me on Taylor's stuff? -
Cubs Top 25 Prospects Game
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Geo Soto and Rundle I'd move up some, especially Rundle -
How is Murton going to get to a .380 OBP? He's short of .360 this year, and he has a slightly favorable platoon distribution(faced a higher % of LHP than if he played every day) and his BABIP is about 30 points higher than his LD% says it should, which means he doesn't really have much room for growth AVG wise. His minor league IsoD was a little higher, but his BABIP dropping 10 points is just as likely(probably moreso) as him improving those 10 in IsoD.
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Teahen has been absolutely lights out since he came back from AAA. .322/.413/.615/1.028 since the break.
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Wow, USA Today's Marquee pitching matchup of the WEEK is Moyer v. O'Malley tomorrow.
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in 2002 at GT, Murton slugged .536. in 2004, before being traded to the Cubs, his SLG was .452. he faded once with the Cubs, but that slg would currently rank him tied for 14th in that league. in 2005, he slugged .498 in an extremely pitcher friendly league. if he finished the season in AA in 05 and kept that slg %, it would rank him 10th in the league. instead, he followed it up with a .500 slg % at AAA and a .521 slg % in the majors. there's very little in his past that suggests he won't hit for more power than he is this year. someone brought up Giles. I was just looking at his stats in a different context. look what he slugged when he was 24. look at Edmonds. there are plenty of players that take a year or two of ML ABs to develop their power. Bonds slugged .426 at age 24. Adam LaRoche slugged .455 last year at age 24, right around where Murton will probably end up this year. think the Braves are glad they didn't platoon him and his .555 slg % at age 25 this year. You've got to look at IsoP. His year at Georgia Tech was under .200, not very good at all for a top college player. That .452 SLG was accompanied by a .301 AVG for a .151 IsoP. He did have a better run in his first major league stint, but his performance before and since then have proved that to be an anomaly. It goes back to the point that Minor League numbers in the right context are very good predictors of major league performance. It's not an absolute, but exceptions like Edmonds don't make it any more likely that Murton adds power.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 8-20-2006
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Nope, imagination. Then Huseby struck out everyone. As far as I'm concerned he was hitting 142 with his fastball. -
Minor League Discussion & Boxes 8-20-2006
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Nope, imagination. -
I don't think anyone has been yet, although popular consensus is that it'll be Bynum.
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I watched that game and don't remember ESPN missing the goal at all. Lalas and Wynalda were really bad about bashing the EPL and praising MLS. The truth is probably in between what they said and the more dismissive "this was an exhibition" stuff Chelsea spouted. On the whole I think MLS is good for the USMNT, as long as they let the best players go play for the best. As far as Dempsey goes, I don't know the strength of the Charleston Athletic(I can't even find any info on them from google and wikipedia), but I don't have a problem with them holding out for the best possible club to sell the best to. That may not be their attitude though, if they're turning clubs down just to keep Dempsey in MLS then they're in the wrong and hurting the USMNT. EDIT: And now I see Charleston is part of the EPL. Bad move MLS. EDIT2: Maybe I'd find out more info if I realized it was spelled Charlton, not Charleston.
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Sandberg was 3+ years younger when he broke into the majors. There's much more precedent for improvement upon past numbers when the player was young for his minor league levels(like Sandberg was). but he didnt start hitting for power right away either. there was nothing in hi past to make you think he could hit 40 bombs in the majors either but he managed to do it (a a thin 180 lbs too-compared to murtons 215). Like I just said, there's much more precedent for that sort of thing when the player is real young for his levels, like Sandberg. The same doesn't apply to Murton, almost the opposite(being old for his levels).
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what kind of production are oakland & the cardinals getting from lf, ss & 2b? Oakland is 25th in runs scored, St. Louis is 17th(7th in the NL). We don't have anyone as good as Pujols or Rolen have been this year. lee & aram??? One of them might be able to reach Rolen's production, but there's quite a difference between them. And again, StL is a middling offense this year.
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what kind of production are oakland & the cardinals getting from lf, ss & 2b? Oakland is 25th in runs scored, St. Louis is 17th(7th in the NL). We don't have anyone as good as Pujols or Rolen have been this year.
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Sandberg was 3+ years younger when he broke into the majors. There's much more precedent for improvement upon past numbers when the player was young for his minor league levels(like Sandberg was).
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with baker gone next year and murton playing every day, i dont see why his slugging % wouldnt go up significantly from this year. he can easily be a .300+ 25 hr guy in 2007 imo. Because he's not that good. I didn't realize players peaked at 25. I see no reason that he can't improve, especially if Dusty's free swinging mentality leaves the clubhouse. There's very little in his past that suggests he's going to hit for any more power than he is now. Maybe he'll be able to maintain it without as heavy a platoon distribution, but it's not often college draftees start hitting for more power at the MLB level after not displaying it anywhere before. If he's playing CF and putting up a .375 OBP, what more do you want out of the guy? And if he's playing a corner of spot, his numbers this year aren't that far off from Brian Giles, who this board was creaming themselves over getting this past offseason. Giles: .383/.385/.769 (9 million) Murton: .357/.426/.782 (near league minimum) :-k You didn't say anything about him being in CF. Yes his production would be fine for a CF, but his defense would likely be subpar, and given the chance to get cheap production from Pie with good defense there as well as more upside, that's who I'd prefer, although I wouldn't be upset with Murton in CF(with the caveat that neither LF and RF were complete butchers). And no one was going crazy over Giles because of a .769 OPS. People(me among them) thought his power would be much better away from Petco. His OBP has also dipped with a lower average as well.
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with baker gone next year and murton playing every day, i dont see why his slugging % wouldnt go up significantly from this year. he can easily be a .300+ 25 hr guy in 2007 imo. Because he's not that good. I didn't realize players peaked at 25. I see no reason that he can't improve, especially if Dusty's free swinging mentality leaves the clubhouse. There's very little in his past that suggests he's going to hit for any more power than he is now. Maybe he'll be able to maintain it without as heavy a platoon distribution, but it's not often college draftees start hitting for more power at the MLB level after not displaying it anywhere before.
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with baker gone next year and murton playing every day, i dont see why his slugging % wouldnt go up significantly from this year. he can easily be a .300+ 25 hr guy in 2007 imo. Because he's not that good.
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Trade Murton, play Pie playing both + having Izturis and maybe Cedeno cripples your offense. Felix will be better.
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RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive RISP numbers are not predictive, OBP is predictive
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I don't know how else to say it but this isn't remotely true.
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I agree that guys like Neifi and Izturis have value on teams that have the ability to score runs. However, playing much of the season without Izturis, the Cubs are the 4th best defensive team in MLB. Playing much of the season without Izturis, the Cubs are dead last in runs scored. Defense was not the problem with this roster. Instead of filling a hole, Hendry has created more holes for him to field. Hendry solved a problem that didn't exist. How did he create more holes with the Izturis trade? Because trading for Izturis moves Ronny to second. I'm not convinced that Ronny is guaranteed a starting job next year.
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I remember this one time, Neifi got traded to the Tigers.
