Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Watching Mbappe debase himself to desperately try to draw fouls and waste time as France tries to sneak a 1-0 win over Austria(on an own goal) is just sad. Best player in the world resorting to pretending he caught a hand to the face after getting stood up, have some shame
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Happ has a 139 wRC+ over the last month and is like a couple good days at the plate from his career line, why would we mock the idea of him playing* *don't actually answer this question -
Is it time to trade Bellinger?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Javy Is Still A Cub's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It's not his first 2 starts, DJ Herz has been unable to throw strikes and (partially as a result) show any sort of length as a starter his entire career. In the lower levels he was able to overpower enough hitters to stay out of trouble but we already saw that start to fade in AAA(K-BB% way down, FIP of 4.70, etc). Him having a single excellent start against the worst offense in baseball is not evidence of any sort of talent evaluation failure. Herz is almost certainly a reliever. He might be a good one, and if so that's the gamble you take when you trade a AA pitcher in order to get a quality player at the deadline. But 'maybe if things go right and he stops walking so many he's a good reliever' is an extremely common profile, and one that front offices should be extremely willing to trade if it helps them make a useful addition. -
Bellingham
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Imagine if he cared, he'd probably be 37 for his last 30!
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Ian 'would rather be anywhere else' Happ now 2 for 3 with a HR and walk
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you might recognize it in its plural form, a game thread
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Is it time to trade Bellinger?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Javy Is Still A Cub's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
The closest thing to being correct is the idea that the Cubs would benefit from adding 'superstars', which is basically impossible to disagree with by definition. Do they need to trade for 'three superstars'? No. Should they trade Bellinger to get one? No. Would a team trading such a player have any interest in Bellinger? No. Bellinger, Busch, and PCA can't coexist? No. Trading for a 1B like Vlad means Bellinger or Busch must go? No. Have Bellinger, Busch, PCA and Caissie all met MLB expectations requiring a trade? No. -
Is it time to trade Bellinger?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Javy Is Still A Cub's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Every sentence of this post is completely wrong. Misunderstanding what is going to help the team, misunderstanding what teams will want in trade, misunderstanding what is actually a bottleneck, misunderstanding who has 'made it' in terms of meeting expectations of being a useful MLBer, all of it. -
I'm stuck on gameday bc of blackouts, what did Wicks hurt
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A CF having high potential does not entitle them to playing every day when they're hitting like a backup catcher and the team's biggest problem is scoring runs. The point is not that they are equivalent players, but that if you're getting so repulsed by one's productivity we need to be consistent and not campaign for the other when they don't start one game, especially when he's started 4 straight previously.
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3 for 11 is worse than his season line because he didn't walk or hit any XBH. Or said another way.. Nick 'get this useless slap hitter out of my face' Madrigal: 94 PA, .247 wOBA, 59 wRC+, 3 XBH Pete 'let the kid play' Crow-Armstrong: 98 PA, .248 wOBA, 59 wRC+, 4 XBH
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just a profoundly stupid season so far
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The team has had a big problem scoring runs recently, and PCA is the worst hitter on the roster at the moment, catcher(s) excluded. Makes sense.
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The Cubs are 10th in K%, and 8th in reliever K%
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I don't say this as a refutation of the entire point you're making, but I think can also argue they had 3 of these guys and they all got hurt by May(or came pre-hurt in the case of Alzolay).
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The Rays are 4 for 9 on batted balls under 75 mph
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I don't really understand Leiter in this spot. You need 2 more innings after this and Leiter is probably your best relief option today, plus you have 6-7-8 of all RHH due up so it's not like he's serving a particular matchup purpose(though if you used Miller they'd use at least one PH).
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-13-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
The walks completely stopping at Myrtle Beach is a very pleasant surprise. -
Yes he did.
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He also has some insane splits for whatever reason. Through the 4th inning tonight: Home: 27 IP, 2.33 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 3 HR Road: 8.1 IP, 11.88 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, 5 HR
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Swanson has started all 20 games since coming off the DL so seems likely to be a normal rest sorta thing
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Tauchman was the first hitter on either team to hit the ball more than 30 feet in the air, 16 batters into the game
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I'll maintain that Neris was perfectly fine for a long while until these last 2 games. Bad series happen, and as JD noted part of yesterday's poor outcome in a win was due to him pitching to the situation. But the greater point I made elsewhere is that the pen is not dripping with options. If Neris isn't throwing the 9th then he's still probably throwing no earlier than the 7th in close games. You could have Leiter close but you still need to bridge there and having Neris/Wesneski/Miller get you there is shuffling chairs. One thing I'd like to see them do soon is send Little back down. He's clearly outside of Counsell's trust, and for good reason because he cannot consistently avoid walks. That's especially bad in this run environment, and with Leiter being a late inning option against LHP and Smyly looking functional as a 2nd lefty, there's several guys in Iowa who may be able to add to the circle of trust if they get a shot. I think you can make the argument for several different guys, I'd probably go with Roberts but Carl and McWilliams have some internal logic too. All 3 do require a 40 man spot though, and there isn't an obvious decision on who to cut since Almonte seems likely to return before his 60 day window would hit if you 60 day'd him(and that only kicks the can a few weeks down the road).
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 6-12-24
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Just on the BABIP point, in the lower levels especially that's way more a function of skill than it is of luck. A guy who is simply better than the level of competition is gonna run a high BABIP, so unless that's driven by an unsustainable K rate or environment-driven HR totals(neither in Hernandez's case) having a high BABIP is a good thing.
