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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    He is a basketball player for Cincinnati, so it's a pretty easy assumption. http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/7946562/cincinnati-bearcats-dismiss-freshman-octavius-ellis
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    In the last 10 years they've lived up to their seed twice, and underperformed their seed 5 times, all 5 times losing to double digit seeds.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    Rondon had a spring training ERA of nearly 8 in 2014 and then put up a 2.42 ERA that season, including a 0.68 ERA in 13.1 April innings.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet]https://twitter.com/rianwatt/status/710232123341459457[/tweet]
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Stop calling it a sport
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    AND HOW This is the most salient point. 97 win teams are very unlikely to repeat that result regardless of whether they won 70 or 95 games the year before that. The Cubs insulated themselves very well against that regression, which is done by adding up expectations and not adding/subtracting luck from last year's total and then going into the acquisitions/losses. A better example of the plexiglass effect is probably the Astros, but they done and plexiglassed themselves starting last September so it's probably not as pronounced.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    Are you counting Schwarbs as a catcher? I am not. Part of the fun is guessing things you don't think are super probable but you think are more likely than the consensus.
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    - Bryant outWARs Trout - Lackey fails miserably at the start, only an injury elsewhere keeps him in the rotation but he's replaced by Warren by the the stretch run - Fowler has the highest wOBA of any Cub outfielder - Come July, Montero has a strong case to make the ASG - Rondon/Cahill/Strop is as good a back-end of any pen in the league - Hendricks has the 2nd highest fWAR among Cub pitchers - Zobrist v. Baez at 2B becomes a major talking point
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    David Roth's summary here is full of his typically delightful use of language. https://sports.vice.com/en_us/article/david-roths-weak-in-review-the-old-ball-game-and-the-new-one
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Lester had a 2.90 ERA when not facing the Tigers last year.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet]https://twitter.com/CarrieMuskat/status/709435474260021248[/tweet]
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    #NeverUnderwood2016
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    That is correct, but that's because it should be that way. It's more insulting to Serena's career than an illustration of hypocrisy to imply that those two be covered in a similar light.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    These 6 are locks: Rondon Strop Grimm Cahill Wood Warren Richard is probably close to a lock as a 2nd LH, although one of the other LH could technically take the job. That leaves Ramirez, Edwards, Acevedo, Riefenhouser, Patton, Jokisch, or an NRI like Olmos for the 8th spot, which could conceivably go to a 5th bench player(Victorino, Szczur, Kawasaki, etc) too.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think we can all agree that Football and the NFL is the worst and should be eradicated from the public consciousness as soon as possible while Baseball is the one true and perfect sport and should remain forever and ever amen.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Gonna be pretty stoked to see them make the playoffs again by going .750 against the Phillies/Braves/Marlins and below .500 against everyone else. Thankfully their only legitimately great players are SP so maybe they'll get some comeuppance with injuries.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    How many interleague games do you think there are? The Cubs only play 8 games in AL parks, 3 of them to start the year when we're pretty certain Hendricks won't be starting.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet]https://twitter.com/rianwatt/status/707680779992756224[/tweet] I don't see that as an ironclad rotation. I would assume neither could would literally catch every start, but that they the majority of their starts would be with their normal pitcher, allowing an oft-banged up Montero to get regular rest from the start. I don't think a 60/20/20 ratio of playing time is unreasonable, but if you start with the assumption that 'personal catcher' means that this catcher is catching the overwhelming majority of a pitcher's starts, then it enforces that ratio in a way that's unnecessarily strict, especially given the diverse skill sets of the 3 catchers that might be more useful on different days that are not driven by the Cubs SP.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet]https://twitter.com/rianwatt/status/707680779992756224[/tweet]
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    I hadn't thought of it in this context. [tweet]https://twitter.com/rianwatt/status/707680023138988032[/tweet]
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't recall where I saw this originally, but the rumor I heard was Hendricks. Jeff Sullivan even addressed it in his last chat.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    To clarify this a bit further, if it were me, I would hit Rizzo/Bryant no lower than 3/4, and Montero/P/Russell are locked in at 7-9. Literally any permutation within those two guidelines I could get on board with. As it stands now, my mathematical ideal is probably something like Heyward/Zobrist/Rizzo/Bryant/Schwarber/Fowler/Montero/P/Russell, but that probably won't happen. Why not switch Russell and Fowler? Now that we have new-and-improved fowler to lead off, fowler can be that "extra lead off hitter" Joe likes, and Russell can join the ranks of the dongers. Because Fowler is a better hitter until Russell takes a pretty big step forward. He could take that step, so by June my preference might be different, but at this point he's firmly entrenched as the worst hitter in the group.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think that's a Gameday quirk, it only shows Kershaw w/ 24 pitches and all of the recent batters show balls in play on a 0-0 count.
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    To clarify this a bit further, if it were me, I would hit Rizzo/Bryant no lower than 3/4, and Montero/P/Russell are locked in at 7-9. Literally any permutation within those two guidelines I could get on board with. As it stands now, my mathematical ideal is probably something like Heyward/Zobrist/Rizzo/Bryant/Schwarber/Fowler/Montero/P/Russell, but that probably won't happen.
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