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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. I'm really glad that Dave Cameron works for the Padres now so I don't have to roll my eyes at every 'opt-outs only have downside for a team' mention that ignores that's how you get the player on your team in the first place.
  2. Correct, the same idea applies to someone who is Arb 2 or 3 coming off a terrible season. That proposed contract structure seems pretty sure to be vetoed, or the odds of Harper being able to leverage it into some team(Cubs or otherwise) just giving him 10/400 or 10/425 without the shenanigans are pretty high. Not that you can't get creative, but there needs to be something in it for the player and there isn't really in that case.
  3. Oh could the brewers not get 7 innings of 0-1 run ball from their bullpen for 10 straight games
  4. You have an incredible gift for incorrect sanctimony, it is your superpower
  5. A backup catcher is playing about as much as Lackey did, I doubt that would be a huge issue. My concern is that at this stage in his career, I’m not sure what McCann is actually good at. Framing has been below average for a couple years, and his bat fell off a cliff this year.
  6. We should all be able to agree that Aguilar is a bear wearing a human suit trying and failing to play first base, and also that Machado unnecessarily took a dangerous and dirty swipe at him
  7. Please don’t take another job this year Brandon Hyde
  8. THATS GR GREAT TO HEAR
  9. the lack of juiced balls could explain less power in the league, but is there another team that had a 25% loss in hrs? Its an honest question. 11 teams lost at least 19%, 5 lost at least 24%, but those other 4 are more explainable(Marlins, Mets, Tigers, Rays)
  10. The average team hit 20 fewer HR than last year, and Bryant alone is another 15. they hit 56 fewer hr's. Everyone not named BAEZ loss power. And Baez alone accounted for 11 additional hr's that Bryant didn't hit between the years. Overall, the offense loss power and rather dramatically. Overall OPS took a 31 point loss. 62 fewer runs over the 162 game schedule. That's Chiliball with a sprinkling of Maddon enabling. Chili gets his blame*. *I don't feel death threats are appropriate League-wide OPS dropped 25 points and teams scored 30 runs fewer on average. The Cubs lost 27 points in slugging, the league lost 18. The gaps between that and the Cubs are even narrower considering how important Bryant is to the offense(2018 Baez was as close to 2017 Almora in offensive output as he was 2017 Bryant). This is not a #freeChili campaign, and I think you can lay a small part of the offense's inconsistency and power down turn at his feet. But the idea that counting numbers went down and that's on Chili is ignoring the two most important reasons, Bryant's injury and league-wide offense regressing.
  11. I think Bryant's injury was the biggest issue. If he's healthy they score a couple more runs and probably win at least one more game. Nobody complains. Bryant's injury was a big factor clearly, but dropping 60+ hr's from year to year isn't due to one guy. The average team hit 20 fewer HR than last year, and Bryant alone is another 15.
  12. How much do you think hitting coaches actually matter? Mallee got fired because there was a lot of stagnation/regression, Schwarber most notably but also Russell, no progression from Baez, etc. I won't argue that there's clearly some philosophical differences and that if the players don't have faith you need to move on, but a single season where the team went from 3rd in the NL in wRC+ to...3rd in the NL in wRC+ is well within the range of any number of factors independent of the hitting coach too.
  13. really? i think he's worse and thought he was decent at csn I think he's always looking for the narrative that is what someone(be it the team or some portion of the fanbase) doesn't want to hear, I'm sure there's some logic for it from a journalistic sense. I think Sharma has rubbed off on him in a positive way so that those narrative takes are at least more informed or subdued if they aren't. That entitled second place team nonsense though, woof. As bad as anything he did at CSN.
  14. Mooney has gotten better since joining the Athletic but that is a terrible take. However, I can get on board with the sentiment that Chili should not be back but that he'll take way more blame from both fans and players than he deserves.
  15. Boras insists on his client reaching free agency, news at 11
  16. I generally like players with Kipnis' skillset, but he's now at about 1000 PA with a wOBA around .305, he's not adding value defensively, and at 32 and with one year left on his deal there's little benefit to adding him with Zobrist around and LH corner OFs not in short supply(Heyward, Happ, Schwarber, hopefully Harper). Not hard to make the argument that La Stella is a player better suited to this roster, and that's before getting to the salary difference.
  17. They were basically identical hitters and baserunners, but UZR thinks Baez was a terrible defensive SS and 3B, and mediocre 2B, while thinking Lindor was a +13 SS.
  18. Not a difficult argument to make that Hoerner is our top prospect today, never mind 12 months from now.
  19. I haven't seen this here, but I have seen the same thing on and off at Fangraphs recently, really annoying because they put so many redirects that sometimes it's really difficult to even use the back button. Seems most logical that it's a rogue ad or two.
  20. Would I want Starlin Castro on the team given the things he's been accused of personally? No. Would I want to trade for him given that he's been a slightly below average second baseman for multiple years and hits right handed like all of our other IF options? Also no. Would I take him for free considering he makes 11 million dollars this year and 8+ million towards the tax? No again.
  21. Matt Holiday And Carlos Gonzalez are staring in their OF, do they really have too many OF’ers?? They have Brendan Rodgers coming up within the next 1.5 years for the IF (him or Story will shift to 2B). But he could be an option there for a year too. That definitely would've been the case before this year, they had Gonzalez, Dahl, Blackmon, Parra, and Tapia. But now, Blackmon and Cargo are free agents, Parra's bat fell off, and Tapia increasingly looks like a AAAA player. If there's one thing that the Rockies can probably manufacture without paying through the nose it's corner OF production, but Happ would definitely have a spot there.
  22. Looks like Mathis(1), Grandal(2), and Maldonado(8). Austin Hedges(10), could probably be had in trade without it being painful. Also. I find it funny that Alex Avila is on the positive side of the ledger, after being horrific last year. I think this stuff is generally directionally correct, but IMO the magnitude is probably ~half of what the numbers say. It's helpful to look at multiple years too, occasionally you have big swings and looking at a longer time horizon helps shape the reality of what you're seeing. I mentioned them in my original post, but Mathis and Maldonado are both consistently very strong framers so they can at least satisfy that end, because they are both abominable hitters.
  23. I would be extremely surprised if Schwarber goes anywhere. The front office loves him and probably values him more than most other teams, and the odds of him helping to bring in a premium SP/CF/2B are pretty slim, at which point you can just use money/players the FO likes less to get the same type of player he'll bring in trade.
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