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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. This could be a fun gold cup - at least its real games. Has Jordan Morris done anything since college? 3 goals and an assist in the first 3 games of the MLS season. He's always going to be a bit of a blunt instrument at the international level, but he's gotta be the top candidate for the RW spot right now, especially with Pulisic already being penciled in the middle.
  2. No, there isn't a good reason, you should basically pick every 9 through 12 or 13 seed in the first round at the very least. Someone did that underdog scoring online(Facebook?) a while back and it made for some very silly results(brackets with four 16 seeds in the final 4 being high on leaderboards late into the second weekend).
  3. Hendricks, probably Contreras If Contreras' agent had advised him to sign any extension with his value at its low point since arriving in MLB, I would hope he would be fired for malpractice. That assumes that you're trying to extend Contreras as if he's last year's player forever. Sure you might discount some on his 2017 performance, but Willson hasn't made life changing money in MLB yet so there's some benefit to locking in on his end too.
  4. The incredulity he had for each individual record was really cracking me up.
  5. Hendricks, probably Contreras
  6. Just because it needs periodic repeating, Adman had a .563 OPS in 450+ PA at Myrtle Beach, five six three
  7. If he becomes that good then an 8 year deal saves them a fair bit more than 10%, right? I don't have a good sense for what's 'right' in these cases since this type of deal is so rare, but if you think of it as 60 million for his team control years and 40 million for 2 FA years(which would be age 28-29 if it starts this year), that *feels* reasonable to me on both ends. Looking at the Betts trajectory, or where KB was on his way to before 2018, I think the realistic current ceiling on pre FA is something like 7/90. Those two obviously came into the league several years ago, so let's say with inflation more like 7/100 for a guy like Eloy coming in now? If he's a star this deal essentially gives you that first FA year free, which is great, but if he's anything less than that you're likely overpaying by a fair amount. It just seems like pretty high risk for one extra year at a modestly below market rate in 2026. Although if it's a real offer there's surely a few additional details that completely change the calculus. Most likely a club option or two. I'd guess that would bridge the gap. I think arbitration inflation has a chance to exceed that 10 million 4-7 years from now, but that's fair. Also worth noting that Eloy would be hitting arbitration on the other side of the new CBA, so there's a bit of risk minimization baked in too depending on what exactly pre-FA looks like then.
  8. If he becomes that good then an 8 year deal saves them a fair bit more than 10%, right? I don't have a good sense for what's 'right' in these cases since this type of deal is so rare, but if you think of it as 60 million for his team control years and 40 million for 2 FA years(which would be age 28-29 if it starts this year), that *feels* reasonable to me on both ends.
  9. It is an odd-numbered year https://www.mlb.com/player/jon-lester-452657?stats=career-s-pitching-mlb&year=2019
  10. The "best" pace of play change is a pitch clock, because if you enforce it then it cures the pace and duration problems at once. Everything else(limiting shifts, pitching changes, roster limits, commercial breaks, etc) is small potatoes in comparison to the impact a pitch clock would have.
  11. That was more entertaining than I thought it'd be. The sequence ending in "hey Jess are you employed?" was great.
  12. did Almora punch you or a loved one in the face
  13. ooh, more runway to avoid oversliding on steals is a good shout
  14. What’s the intent around making the bases bigger? That’s a new one to me.
  15. He’s not gonna do that with men on, there’s no balk risk
  16. [tweet] [/tweet]
  17. Marwin would have been the worst position player on the roster save for backup catcher, he had a great 2017 but he’s basically Descalso with better marketing and an (unnecessary to the Cubs) ability to play corner outfield.
  18. if i remember correctly he had been pretty adamant about not wanting a job like that, but i am sure there are ways to make that work if a team really wanted him. i had kind of soured on him on effectively wild of late and hadn’t been listening for the last couple months. was there any indication anywhere this was coming? I hadn't listened to EW in months either(more being burnt out on baseball than him), I recently listened to a couple of the preview eps and didn't hear anything unusual. My guess is he wouldn't have telegraphed that move though.
  19. Jeff Sullivan is joining the Rays, and I am sad.
  20. Was at that game, can confirm.
  21. My absolute favorites are probably Montero and Fowler. For one not mentioned yet, Russell basically guaranteeing there was going to be a game 7 was great.
  22. I don't know if I've ever seen so many negatives in one of those graphics before. 25 wins worse than the Cubs projection, yikes.
  23. ...that clip does not at all look like he's swinging with a wider base
  24. He was also either 4th or 5th among OF(depending on how you want to count Zobrist) in PA in the 2nd half. He was barely that low(all 4 non-Zobrist OF basically split PA equally), and he'll very likely get significant opportunity. But that'll likely come with his strengths(defense, facing LHP) first, especially with Descalso as the new Murphy and Russell not kicked to the curb forcing Zobrist to the OF more.
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