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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Just getting Bundesliga minutes at 17 is awesome, but to do it at a power like Dortmund, and in an attack that already has Haaland, Reus, Gotze, Sancho, Hazard, Paco Alcacer, and Larsen is outright crazy.
  2. We'll have to wait and see what the actual numbers look like, but if I were to ballpark it I'd guess the current Cubs come out about 4 wins ahead on the position players, 1-2 ahead on SP, and probably 2 down on RP.
  3. Always playing the contrarian aren't you? I never said it was a perfect analogy and the concerns aren't totally the same -- just that people had injury concerns about a young Blake Griffin and the way he played the game and that his career has been very good/productive. If Zion's career ends up going the same way as Blake's then I'm sure most people in NO will be very happy and take it. He's already a better outside shooter than young Blake. It's not a perfect analogy because no one in the NBA has been this large and this explosive an athlete... He's closer to an NFL player than an NBA player. Still, people have compared Zion Williamson to Blake Griffin, like Max Kellerman. A reasonable person would sign Zion up for Blake's career, but it doesn't make it less odd to say 'Zion may have injury concerns, but they did about Blake too' when those injury concerns ended up being very real. It's a bit of a "they very much did kill Jesus" sorta comparison.
  4. Blake only turns 31 in March, and this year will be the 4th year in 5 that he's missed 20+ games, plus he missed his entire rookie year with a knee injury. Tough to take the 'he only broke down with age' as accurate or reassuring compared to Zion.
  5. Do the odds account for the amount of times Theo is passed out in a luxury suite somewhere and they have to do everything without him? It is possible that I had this backwards, Theo just announced "we need optionable relievers you idiots" to the FO then went into hibernation so Jed and Co are playing an elaborate prank in anger. Honestly it makes as much sense as anything else at this point.
  6. what are the odds that Jed said something snarky to Theo in October about not having enough optionable relievers, and without Bread Guy to take the fall Theo just told them to make the whole team out of optionable relievers, I say 50/50
  7. can anyone who works for the cubs make a single good decision like maybe on accident
  8. Mmmm....could have all of that for just an aging Kris Bryant with some luck Having a hard time squaring that with the 60 FV they put on him a month ago, which when they finish all the lists looks like it'll be around Top 20 overall.
  9. finally, a sobering thought exercise to distract us from the relentless good news train that is being a cubs fan
  10. Feels a bit like going over the plan for Ocean’s Eleven. Ross: “Say we trade for Arenado, and manage to get them to take Heyward. And in that deal or another we trade away Quintana and Chatwood” Jed: “without taking on salary or trading away MLB pieces” Theo: “oh sorry, forgot to mention that” Ross: “yeah, say we do all that. We’re just supposed to win the division with Mills, Cotton, and Rea starting half the games?” Theo: “......yeah”
  11. 2 years, one for the arm to blow out, and another to realize he’s not coming back before nontendering him.
  12. The other important thing to keep in mind if you're treating a particular LT number as a hard line, is that the public is dealing with some fairly soft estimates in places. Stuff like the exact amount of the benefits that count towards the LT, and how all the partial year salaries count for players who spend small amounts of time in MLB can be guesstimated in the aggregate, but if you're worried whether your team is 400k under or 800k under, that is largely unknowable in January.
  13. Donn Roach and Tuffy Gosewich both in the span of 24 hours. Any other made up baseball players you all want to throw out there?
  14. I'm a little confused by how much Liberatore is being hyped up in the broader discussion on the deal. He's a first round pick and had a good first full season in the pros, but he's currently a middle of the Top 100 guy in the lists that I can see. Fangraphs has him a FV 50 and between Hoerner and Ademan on their Top 100. A worthwhile prospect but hard to see an A ball pitching prospect of that caliber being a coup, almost regardless of what they gave up to get him.
  15. Again, not how message boards work dude. If you think you’re entitled to customize the audience of who reads what you post, you’re looking for something that is not a public message board.
  16. Again, you’re welcome to post or not post whatever you like. You are not welcome to dictate who can interact with the things you post. If that means you don’t end up posting about something, that’s okay. I’m also not sure that blackmailing your posts on the least trafficked forum is the leverage you think it is, but that’s really secondary to the absurdity of thinking you can bar someone from interacting with a post you make.
  17. This isn’t how message boards work man. If you can’t stand someone, there’s a feature so you don’t see their posts available to you. You don’t get to limit who can reply to your posts, if that causes you to not post then that’s 100% up to you.
  18. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28430628/mlb-superstar-trades-sign-stealing-punishment-more-passan-answers-20-questions-2020 So I read that as essentially KB for Prospects, and then Willson and Heyward for Arenado. Sounds unlikely obviously, but if Passan is saying it then it's not completely out of nowhere. Also, not to put too fine a point on this, but if we accept the premise of Contreras + contract for Arenado then trade Bryant away to get under the LT, the contract has to be Heyward or something unlikely like Quintana + Chatwood. In either case, even after trading away Heyward, Contreras, and Bryant's salary and only taking on salary in the form of Arenado, you're only 8ish million under, and you need a starter in RF(or SP if it's Quintana/Chatwood), SP, and at least a solid backup C. Some of that could come in a Bryant deal, but it seems unlikely you're going to thread the needle. I point this out because Brett either concluded or quoted that they'd then sign Castellanos to play RF, and I don't see that at all unless he's getting a real collusiony deal.
  19. so we've reached the 'maybe it'll work out if the Rockies get brain poisoning' stage of the offseason
  20. Bryant 2015-2016: .384 wOBA Bryant since 2016: .382 wOBA
  21. Oh, that list is also missing Chatwood, who I understand if you consider him temporarily holding the 5 starter slot, but in all likelihood is destined for the pen after someone leapfrogs him(trade acquisition, Cotton, Alzolay, etc).
  22. Since the Cubs won't spend any money, what the hell is their bullpen going to look like? Kimbrel, Wick, Wieck, Ryan, Maples, Norwood, Winkler??? Should be a fun year... Tepera, Megill, and Morrow(if healthy) are likely to be ahead of Maples and Norwood on the pecking order, but that's likely the base group. Of all the things to be upset about, the bullpen looks pretty fine given the nature of bullpens.
  23. I’ve never heard of that guy but it looks like he’s a fantasy writer, and that looks like the projections you see during an ESPN draft, where every player is about to have a career year.
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