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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Mmmm....could have all of that for just an aging Kris Bryant with some luck Having a hard time squaring that with the 60 FV they put on him a month ago, which when they finish all the lists looks like it'll be around Top 20 overall.
  2. finally, a sobering thought exercise to distract us from the relentless good news train that is being a cubs fan
  3. Feels a bit like going over the plan for Ocean’s Eleven. Ross: “Say we trade for Arenado, and manage to get them to take Heyward. And in that deal or another we trade away Quintana and Chatwood” Jed: “without taking on salary or trading away MLB pieces” Theo: “oh sorry, forgot to mention that” Ross: “yeah, say we do all that. We’re just supposed to win the division with Mills, Cotton, and Rea starting half the games?” Theo: “......yeah”
  4. 2 years, one for the arm to blow out, and another to realize he’s not coming back before nontendering him.
  5. The other important thing to keep in mind if you're treating a particular LT number as a hard line, is that the public is dealing with some fairly soft estimates in places. Stuff like the exact amount of the benefits that count towards the LT, and how all the partial year salaries count for players who spend small amounts of time in MLB can be guesstimated in the aggregate, but if you're worried whether your team is 400k under or 800k under, that is largely unknowable in January.
  6. Donn Roach and Tuffy Gosewich both in the span of 24 hours. Any other made up baseball players you all want to throw out there?
  7. I'm a little confused by how much Liberatore is being hyped up in the broader discussion on the deal. He's a first round pick and had a good first full season in the pros, but he's currently a middle of the Top 100 guy in the lists that I can see. Fangraphs has him a FV 50 and between Hoerner and Ademan on their Top 100. A worthwhile prospect but hard to see an A ball pitching prospect of that caliber being a coup, almost regardless of what they gave up to get him.
  8. Again, not how message boards work dude. If you think you’re entitled to customize the audience of who reads what you post, you’re looking for something that is not a public message board.
  9. Again, you’re welcome to post or not post whatever you like. You are not welcome to dictate who can interact with the things you post. If that means you don’t end up posting about something, that’s okay. I’m also not sure that blackmailing your posts on the least trafficked forum is the leverage you think it is, but that’s really secondary to the absurdity of thinking you can bar someone from interacting with a post you make.
  10. This isn’t how message boards work man. If you can’t stand someone, there’s a feature so you don’t see their posts available to you. You don’t get to limit who can reply to your posts, if that causes you to not post then that’s 100% up to you.
  11. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/28430628/mlb-superstar-trades-sign-stealing-punishment-more-passan-answers-20-questions-2020 So I read that as essentially KB for Prospects, and then Willson and Heyward for Arenado. Sounds unlikely obviously, but if Passan is saying it then it's not completely out of nowhere. Also, not to put too fine a point on this, but if we accept the premise of Contreras + contract for Arenado then trade Bryant away to get under the LT, the contract has to be Heyward or something unlikely like Quintana + Chatwood. In either case, even after trading away Heyward, Contreras, and Bryant's salary and only taking on salary in the form of Arenado, you're only 8ish million under, and you need a starter in RF(or SP if it's Quintana/Chatwood), SP, and at least a solid backup C. Some of that could come in a Bryant deal, but it seems unlikely you're going to thread the needle. I point this out because Brett either concluded or quoted that they'd then sign Castellanos to play RF, and I don't see that at all unless he's getting a real collusiony deal.
  12. so we've reached the 'maybe it'll work out if the Rockies get brain poisoning' stage of the offseason
  13. Bryant 2015-2016: .384 wOBA Bryant since 2016: .382 wOBA
  14. Oh, that list is also missing Chatwood, who I understand if you consider him temporarily holding the 5 starter slot, but in all likelihood is destined for the pen after someone leapfrogs him(trade acquisition, Cotton, Alzolay, etc).
  15. Since the Cubs won't spend any money, what the hell is their bullpen going to look like? Kimbrel, Wick, Wieck, Ryan, Maples, Norwood, Winkler??? Should be a fun year... Tepera, Megill, and Morrow(if healthy) are likely to be ahead of Maples and Norwood on the pecking order, but that's likely the base group. Of all the things to be upset about, the bullpen looks pretty fine given the nature of bullpens.
  16. I’ve never heard of that guy but it looks like he’s a fantasy writer, and that looks like the projections you see during an ESPN draft, where every player is about to have a career year.
  17. [tweet] [/tweet] [tweet] [/tweet]
  18. I’m gonna keep trying to speak it into existence until it happens.
  19. Tepera seems like a pretty smart get. He was a solid reliever for his MLB career until the start of this year, missed time for bone spurs that were clearly bugging him, came back and was solid again to close out the season. He's optionable like Winkler too, and if he works out well he'll be arb eligible for 2021.
  20. [tweet] [/tweet]
  21. Exactly, the CBA has been in place for 3 years, the consequences of spending from that perspective are not a surprise. So either we have to believe that Theo was confident that the team would be so good that they'd be fine just taking an offseason to trim payroll(even as late as *this June* when he committed 37 million to Kimbrel), or ownership pulled the rug out from under them. I think he significantly overestimated the market for some of his assets. He assumed teams would be showering him with high-profile prospects in offers for Bryant and has been resoundingly met with "meh." There's just no way that he built the team with Plan A being trade Bryant for prospects(and Bryant is the only salary big enough to fix payroll ills). He committed 8 figures in 2020-21 to a reliever in June, combined with the rapidly approaching FA of the positional player core there's no way trading your best player to get under the tax was his first choice, because you know you're taking a step back when you do it even if they're showering him with prospect riches.
  22. Exactly, the CBA has been in place for 3 years, the consequences of spending from that perspective are not a surprise. So either we have to believe that Theo was confident that the team would be so good that they'd be fine just taking an offseason to trim payroll(even as late as *this June* when he committed 37 million to Kimbrel), or ownership pulled the rug out from under them.
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