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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    If you assume you need to cover 10 million you didn't before, then you have Lester, Quintana, and Chatwood freeing up close to 50 million in CBT payroll. You can probably fill those spots for a fair amount less than 40 million. You can also finally pull the trigger on trading Schwarber or Contreras for further breathing room against arb increases(though those 2 and Baez are the only significant increases).
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    - Coors has a documented hangover effect where hitters struggle to track pitches away from home since they move differently - The NL West outside of Coors trends to be pitcher-friendly, and that's where most of Arenado's road games come from - Arenado's park adjusted road performance is significantly above average compared to how the league performs on the road
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    Would be a great time for Ricketts to employ that 'If Theo comes to me with an idea that would improve the team, I generally approve it' logic that he claims to have. If ever there was a move that would help the Cubs be competitive post-2021, which is what they claim to want, this is it. Setting that aside(since it's easily the preferred option), this is where it would have been useful to have done literally anything this offseason. You could've traded Contreras for pitching and signed a cheap C to beef up the pitching depth(making trading Chatwood more palatable). You could have added a starting caliber position player basically anywhere and made it possible to dump Heyward without creating a hole. Instead, in order to make this deal fit you have to believe in Souza as a starter in RF or Cotton/Mills/Alzolay as your answer to the 5th starter role.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    7-8 million per year in cash along with Arenado still adds 10 million to CBT payroll when traded for Bryant, which means you need to do some pretty heavy lifting to get under the tax line.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    That seems like looking for an outside the box solution when a normal one(lowering service requirements) would be preferred all around. Something like making 60 days the cutoff for a full year of service time, and removing a pre-arb year to make it 2 pre-arb/3 arb/FA feels like a decent first try at better balance without completely killing off the ability for small market teams to be competitive.
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    I love good defense, but I think that probably makes the game go further in the blurnsball direction that it has the last couple years(by valuing power/home runs even more), which I definitely don't like.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Mildly concerning velocity drop last year, but on the whole this looks like as much true stability that a FA reliever can bring for less than a million. Not a ton, but probably worthwhile given how many wild cards they've stacked up at the end of the pen.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    so you're saying the astros went fishing in the trash can for managers
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    Because there is. How to sequence relievers and pinch hitters, when to sacrifice or double switch to optimize for the rest of the game, a big chunk of that goes away with a full time DH. You don't have to think it's some earth shaking difference, no one will tell you it's a completely different sport because of it. But on the other side of the coin, pitchers take like 4% of NL plate appearances, so there isn't some enormous cost being paid at the other end. And of course, tying the DH to the SP meets both goals and introduces other decision making elements around lineup and who plays DH.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Probably Bote, maybe Descalso or Bryant. You're probably shuffling someone in from Iowa if Baez is out more than 48 hours even with Hoerner.
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    how does Scooter keep Almora off the roster? Only way I can see is if they flex Nico to be the RH CF option, but that seems really unlikely compared to just letting Nico get more AAA playing time.
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    Tie it to the starting pitcher please.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    If he keeps getting these cameos I wouldn't be surprised to see him in March, especially since Weah's health is up in the air, Boyd fell off the face of the earth, and Morris could reasonably be held out with all the MLS + CCL fixtures on his plate.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Reds are basically the 2016-18 Cardinals at this point, probably a half step worse since their depth won't be as good. That'll be really irritating and if they get a bunch of stars to align they could get the wild card, but they aren't the favorite or even 2nd best team in the division. The team that has the most to worry about this is the Brewers, who look like they might become the 2016-18 Pirates.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    Probably gonna be some unhappy people when he ends up taking more at bats away from Schwarber than Heyward, but that's a future problem. Smart addition.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Davis hit .306 with a .346 BABIP and a sub-20% K rate in full-season ball at age 19. The numbers aren't everything, but you would think if contact was going to derail him that those numbers wouldn't be as strong as they are.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    20 innings is a lot of innings to make up when there's no extra starts involved, I'd be shocked if he automatically vests. But if he's pitching well enough and is healthy enough to hit 200 IP, picking up his option was probably more likely anyway.
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    I don't see why not, Lester gets a guaranteed 2021 and more money out of the deal. That would also help stem rotationpocalypse a bit since they didn't get a longer term option this offseason.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Just getting Bundesliga minutes at 17 is awesome, but to do it at a power like Dortmund, and in an attack that already has Haaland, Reus, Gotze, Sancho, Hazard, Paco Alcacer, and Larsen is outright crazy.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    We'll have to wait and see what the actual numbers look like, but if I were to ballpark it I'd guess the current Cubs come out about 4 wins ahead on the position players, 1-2 ahead on SP, and probably 2 down on RP.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Always playing the contrarian aren't you? I never said it was a perfect analogy and the concerns aren't totally the same -- just that people had injury concerns about a young Blake Griffin and the way he played the game and that his career has been very good/productive. If Zion's career ends up going the same way as Blake's then I'm sure most people in NO will be very happy and take it. He's already a better outside shooter than young Blake. It's not a perfect analogy because no one in the NBA has been this large and this explosive an athlete... He's closer to an NFL player than an NBA player. Still, people have compared Zion Williamson to Blake Griffin, like Max Kellerman. A reasonable person would sign Zion up for Blake's career, but it doesn't make it less odd to say 'Zion may have injury concerns, but they did about Blake too' when those injury concerns ended up being very real. It's a bit of a "they very much did kill Jesus" sorta comparison.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Blake only turns 31 in March, and this year will be the 4th year in 5 that he's missed 20+ games, plus he missed his entire rookie year with a knee injury. Tough to take the 'he only broke down with age' as accurate or reassuring compared to Zion.
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Do the odds account for the amount of times Theo is passed out in a luxury suite somewhere and they have to do everything without him? It is possible that I had this backwards, Theo just announced "we need optionable relievers you idiots" to the FO then went into hibernation so Jed and Co are playing an elaborate prank in anger. Honestly it makes as much sense as anything else at this point.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    what are the odds that Jed said something snarky to Theo in October about not having enough optionable relievers, and without Bread Guy to take the fall Theo just told them to make the whole team out of optionable relievers, I say 50/50
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    can anyone who works for the cubs make a single good decision like maybe on accident
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