Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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definition of inconclusive here, I can't tell if the initial ball hitting the glove catches the jersey -
Nico should be fielding that so he can step on the base with his lead leg, especially given that it wasn't a hard hit ball and he could time how he circled it
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pulling your opener after 1.2 IP with the bases empty so you can get the platoon advantage is worse than every unwritten rule that has ever been broken
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I'd say it'll be Leiter(or maybe Mills himself), Rucker, Roberts, Hermosillo, and then one of Chavez or Effross.
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
My guess is that when players have been playing by the rhythms of the pitch clock all year, it's not all that advantageous for them to stop doing so in higher stakes. It's one thing to take longer every pitch because there's no enforcement and you get more velocity, it's another thing to do that when you've been playing a different way for 162 games. That said, if they did want to allow for a little more tension or limit the impact of the pitch clock on playoff games, I would assume they'd just relax the timer by a few seconds to get the desired effect, rather than ditch it entirely. -
Nice! I went to Statcast after reading your post but didn't think of/know about the custom query. Fanning that out it looks like Seiya is 2 for 6 with 2 singles, 2 K, 3 BB I wonder how they group this at a plate appearance level, does the decisive pitch(in play, K, ball 4) have to be the velocity you filtered on, or is it if any pitch in the PA hits that mark?
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The closest proxy(and it's not all that close) is probably the Power/Finesse stuff at BR: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=suzukse01&year=2022&t=b Definitely doing less damage and K'ing more(expected since the Power distinction is based on K rate), but still hitting very well and taking his walks. Yeah and this doesn't help with velocity at all but he is leading all of baseball in wFB which I believe is weighted runs above average against fastballs, and broken down into wFB/100 fastballs seen he's 4th. It's possible with the small sample size that he's faced a number of lower velocity pitchers but he's definitely crushing fastballs better than almost anyone else in baseball. He's seeing an average fastball velocity that's slightly above the midpoint for qualified hitters: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=4&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31&sort=4,d&page=2_50
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I wish it was easier to find how guys do against velo. The data exists, you see it on broadcasts, but it's not easy to see anywhere. But I think that's the one open question with Seiya. I don't believe he's really turned around a good fastball. He's wrecked some at like 92, and offspeed stuff from more flamethrower types, but I think he's mostly fought off real velo. Even if he doesn't do damage on a bigtime fastballs I don't think that precludes him from being very good, but it might preclude him from continuing to do insane Juan Soto things. The closest proxy(and it's not all that close) is probably the Power/Finesse stuff at BR: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=suzukse01&year=2022&t=b Definitely doing less damage and K'ing more(expected since the Power distinction is based on K rate), but still hitting very well and taking his walks.
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Schwindel looks like the walk on who just hit a 3 in a blowout college basketball game every time he homers, it's hilarious
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Right now there are 6 guys in front of him in the pecking order, and they very easily could've lined him up to start the game Leiter did and chose to DFA Abbott to get Leiter up instead. Feels like they aren't in a hurry to get him a bunch of starts.
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gotta be a barehand Nico
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 4-17-22
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Feels like you're beating up on sentiment that isn't happening here, the only mention of Caissie since Opening Day that I can find was a 'got his first hit, had to be rough to start the year 0 for a week'. Caissie's start to the year isn't something you can write off as age relative to level, it's non-competitive on every axis. It's also 7 games and less than 30 in full-season ball, with an aggressive assignment after he humiliated the complex league, so I'm not biting my nails that Caissie's future profile is hanging in the balance. -
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 4-17-22
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
That he's the youngest player in his league? Oh, and your math is wrong. His ISO for his minor league career is .163. Unless you're calling his 29 games in full season ball 3 months? He's not including his Complex League numbers, so in full-season ball it's .071. In terms of time that's more like 5 weeks(8/24-9/19, 4/8-4/16) so while it touches 3 different calendar months that's not how I'd couch it. -
how do you hit a ball that hard into that outfield and have it be caught
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Heyward is hitting .333/.400/.444
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he's 31 so the light has gone out of his eyes and he can be thrown to the wolves
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really hope Gaga Slonina was paying attention today
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*watching Hoerner's swing* oh wow he barreled it with some loft, maybe a HR? *watching Bryant have to dive towards the infield to catch it* oh
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 4-15-22
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I'm not afraid to say it, this allowing no baserunners and striking out half the lineup thing that Herz is doing? I'm a fan -
Mills to the 60 day maybe? The only other 60 day candidates are Miley and Andrelton, and I would guess they'd prefer to allow them the flexibility to be back as soon as physically able. I don't see an obvious DFA candidate since we're 6 games into the season. Mayybe they're really aggressive with Chavez if there's something they're seeing stuff/mechanics wise they really don't like?
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After 2020 Baez also was another year older/closer to FA, played at a sub-replacement level in the shortened season, and Theo left the front office. Lots of things were different if and when they re-engaged prior to 2021.
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Steele + Thompson: 15.1 IP, 12 H, 2 ER, 14/4 K/BB, 0 HR
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that's some early-career Willy 'look at my arm' stuff
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there's the upside of VIllar's baserunning aggression
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Leeds is gonna stay up, but Adams might find it similarly hard to find playing time with Kalvin Phillips at the 6, though I guess he could get sold or theoretically they both could be part of a 4-2-2-2
