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Transmogrified Tiger

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  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    Davis striking out 50% more while also cutting his IsoP in half from his short Iowa stint last year(which now have about an equal number of PA) is easily the most depressing thing about the early prospect season so far. Really hoping this is some early season weirdness(Davis has never played pro games in April, oddly enough), because him leading the line for the system not only solves some short term problems but makes the inevitable fizzles out at the lower levels easier to swallow.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    Also, if we're talking about the bigger picture with roster construction or forward-facing expectations, I want to reinforce that 17 games just doesn't mean much, especially since the team isn't at some extreme like being 29th in runs or 2nd in IsoP, whatever. As a founding member of the "Schwindel is LaHair with a goofier smile" brigade, I've had to intentionally avoid making much in the way of declarations of his uselessness, because we're talking about less than 3 weeks of games, and coming off a lockout and abbreviated spring training. There isn't a magic line where all of a sudden with one more game everything becomes meaningful, but especially at the macro level I think you'd need some more extreme results(e.g. the Reds) before you claim the season thus far is the new norm, otherwise it's the type of conversation that's best waiting til Memorial day. This applies to the good stuff(Seiya, Thompson, the veteran relievers) too.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    They've also scored 4+ runs in 10/17 games, and have yet to be shut out. Consistency we would have absolutely killed for essentially any year post 2016. 7-10 with ten games against the pirates and Rockies Disappointing for sure, even if the other 7 were quite strong opponents. If I’m looking for reasons explaining that disappointment, I’d go to SP(26th in starter ERA), randomness(everyone has multiple 7-10 spells in a season), and luck(2-5 in 1 run games) before I got to the offense or it’s specific slappiness.
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    The Cubs even with their funk in the last few days are 17th in HR and 13th in IsoP, to say nothing of being 5th in runs and 3rd in wRC+. It's less than 20 games so even if they were crushing HR left and right it wouldn't be predictive, and there's several lineup/roster spots I'd like to change the players and/or usage, but they aren't at the other end of the spectrum. It just feels that way because offense and HR are down due to weather, ball, and expanded rosters. Case in point, Schwarber, Baez, Bryant, and Correa are all hitting worse than Heyward at the moment.
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    using multiple LHRP after a LH starter feels a bit like mockery
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    cackling at that cut to Stroman's reaction
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    He has twice in this game given up a run on 2 singles, so make of that what you will
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    the travis demeritte game
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    sir Mr. Suzuki will tell you when a strike has been thrown
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    Madrigal forced to swing at ball 5
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    The uncensored version is next level
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    They've been so snakebitten by injuries in the early going that I imagine whoever the fall guy is would have a long leash unless things got really dire(e.g. 10+ games out by memorial day). I tend to think that TLR is the one far less safe than Hahn, but I wouldn't put much money on the most logical/rational operational processes coming from Reinsdorf's brain trust.
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    Still not a big enough sample to say anything definitively, but there's some encouraging signs from Hoerner's defense. All of DRS, Statcast, and UZR have him playing at an elite level in this year's trivial sample at SS, but what's nice is how well that fits into his broader(but still limited) track record. Hoerner now has 410 innings (45 nine inning games worth) at SS, with a +4 UZR/150 and +8 RAA (Statcast). That also fits with his 468 innings at 2B, where he has a +7 UZR/150 and +11 RAA. If he's a true plus defensive SS then that takes a nice bit of pressure off his bat(and probably transfers it right to Madrigal's bat), which is reflected in him playing at around a 4 win pace this year without having gotten hot at the plate yet.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    Villar might lead the league in performances that infuriate the fans of both teams
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    I think if you game it out the only way this makes a material difference is if there's a low likelihood of the game being played this evening. Everyone seems to agree that weather was gonna keep the game from being played this afternoon, and if you can't make it in the evening*, then you actually have better odds since you have a small window to offload the tickets instead of showing up to a rain delay and leaving before things get going. If there's a low chance of playing the game then you do have less of a window compared to just postponing. *I would guess a Friday afternoon game probably has the least possible folks who can make the afternoon but not the evening too, compared to other day/start times
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Herz now at 11 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 14/2 K/BB, 0 HR for the season, that'll do edit - his combined High-A line: 27 IP, 12 H, 7 R, 40/8 BB, 1 HR
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    gonna leave this thread for good now (it'll take a minute, what with my bad back and knees and all)
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Unless Miley or Alzolay have a setback, my guess is there needs to be an injury, a non-Hendricks/Stroman starter needs to be completely unplayable, or Kilian needs to go supernova. Him pitching pretty well and Steele being below average doesn't feel worth bringing him up for a couple weeks if e.g. Alzolay is rehabbing and about to take those starts.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    What an excellent move. Newcomb was very good as a reliever in 2019 when he first moved to the pen, including having basically no platoon split. A couple ugly starts in the shortened season and then he hasn't been able to throw strikes since. Seems far from a lost cause, and while he has been with multiple organizations, having been with ATL for 6 years it feels similar to having gotten a one-org guy(a personal favorite in trade targets) given how much pitching dev has changed in that time. Chavez in the best case isn't a late inning reliever, isn't someone for next year, and isn't gonna bring someone with better odds of being a MLB contributor even if he was lights out from now til July. Good good stuff.
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    he's TWENTY SIX !?!?
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    My friend was supposed to be at that game, he was flying in for work, they moved up the game time 3 hours and didn't notify anyone, so he showed up to park and (along with several other cars) got told it was the 8th inning.
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Just saw Torii Hunter Jr. got a hit against Tennessee, and I'm sorry but that is unacceptable, Torii Hunter Jr. cannot exist as an adult person
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    You would assume the Rockies would try to build their rotation with a bunch of GB pitchers. But then again, it's the Rockies, so who knows. I forget if they tried this more explicitly in the past, but I think the un-virtuous cycle is that the pitches that lead to ground balls move less in Coors and therefore more of them become barrels into the gap/over the fence.
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    You mean his hit streak in games he starts right? He had a game where he PH and went 0-1 I thought he drew a walk and had no official AB that game. If that's not the case, I blame Brett. Correct, he was IBB'd: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=suzukse01&t=b&year=2022
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    yeesh Villar, that last one wasn't even hard to spot
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