Transmogrified Tiger
-
Posts
38,761 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
70
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
-
Yeah, all indications are that they aren't going to blow things up, they're gonna deal from their rentals and maybe an OF to try to get a head start on building their 2024 rotation. As for the trade value conversation, while I don't think BBTV's mathematical approach is perfect, it's closer than it might seem in these cases because of the compounding factor of age. Less so for Goldschmidt because he's only got 1.5 years(though teams will offer less to have him for less time), but for Arenado it's not that about the specific $/WAR efficiency, it's committing 15-20% of your payroll to his age 33-36 seasons. Trading a haul for the opportunity to do that requires an extremely high confidence in his aging curve basically being an aging plateau. -
Dansby is back, Young is done
Transmogrified Tiger replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I would be surprised if Perlaza comes up. He's not on the 40 man, and while that's potentially not a huge barrier depending on the deadline outcomes, the OF 40 man has several weird cases(Alcantara, Davis, Canario) where they may not want to rush to add someone who isn't a locked on MLB contributor. With his defensive limitations and lack of super high end offensive production it's very likely a bench profile, and I don't think they'll be in a rush when you can give Velazquez already there(and who can help in CF if Bellinger is traded), plus potentially Canario later in the summer if things go well there. -
There's still something missing about why they're opening with Fulmer. If it was a bullpen game or simply about putting a RH before Smyly to steal some platoon at bats, then it'd make more sense to be Palencia. He's on 2 days rest and was starting games in very recent memory. Maybe Smyly's got the flu or something and they're simultaneously showcasing that Fulmer can pitch in consecutive days(something he hasn't done since London) for a trade partner? But even that is a pretty weird outcome given his poor outing yesterday, though admittedly there aren't so many more opportunities to do that before the deadline.
-
There's a whole minor league forum here: https://northsidebaseball.com/forums/forum/44-cubs-minor-league-talk/ We do daily threads to follow games but there's other more general convo too.
-
I wouldn't rule out a trade angle. Smyly has been a capable SP and has another year on his contract that some teams might want over a rental. More importantly, if Wesneski is coming up to pitch you just start him, there's no need to mess with an opener. So something odd is happening that's related to Smyly, be it a trade, illness, personal matter, or an injury with an unknown severity.
-
Someone added today's game to the Controversies section of Kulpa's wikipedia page, which uh, does not include incidents of similar magnitude
-
Plan your own trade deadline
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm guessing a team at the Orioles point in the competitive window is gonna be a tough sell to give so that much value for two rentals, even if the value isn't wrong. It'd be easier if e.g. Brandon Marsh went down and the Phillies were the team(though they have fewer fun things to trade for) given their roster/future outlook/Dombrowski. -
98, okay Adbert
-
He looks old enough that they probably did.
-
lol, I really do try to remember that a lot of folks are living in the moment in the game thread. The Fulmer thing just baffles me a bit because it's not like other spots where I might say 'it's not so bad' to a marginal player but instead it's 'he's objectively good, you don't have to be mad he's playing!' Save your blood pressure spikes for a different roster spot I say.
-
Yeah it's been a consistently big zone, especially wide. That strike 2 was as bad as any that I've noticed today though.
-
lol at the ump "get the f*** outta here"
-
Even if we accept low leverage success/high leverage failure as a predictable thing(I don't, especially given his history as a successful late inning reliever in Detroit), I don't see any sign that it's factually true. BBRef shows the leverage index of his appearances and there's no obvious correlation.
-
Fulmer has been excellent for like 2 months running, I get that he was bad out of the gate but at a certain point we gotta let go of the idea that he's a mop up guy being thrust into late inning spots.
-
Looks like the Cubs have had 10 of them this year(Stroman 3, Steele/Smyly/Hendricks 2 each, Taillon 1), so it happens once every 10 games or so. Before Taillon it was Hendricks on the 29th and Stroman on the 20th, so the pace has slowed down a little even with the London trip/ASB
-
Raisin pointed out that Wiggins went to the combine, so while I don't know the ins and outs of what they do there it'd be a little weird if he 1) refused the medical testing that's associated with it and the Cubs still picked him or 2) the post-draft physical unearthed something significant the combine testing missed.
-
I agree if the main limitation is just ownership stinginess, but I think that even though it's motivated by stinginess, the penalties they've created feed a system where front offices are disincentivized to exceed it for too long for competitive reasons. Maybe that doesn't hold up but we're at near a half-decade where everyone is consistently resetting penalties before they get too severe.
-
FWIW I think in the last couple CBA cycles that's not as true as it used to be. The reasons it has happened are far from noble, but the luxury tax and especially its draft penalties has been a real spending deterrent, FA classes get slimmer and older each year, player development makes it easier (relative to the past) to improve lesser players with the right instruction(which is not expensive), and draft/IFA pools have shut down avenues of buying talent. Go back to since the start of the 2017 CBA and you've got about 6 full seasons. The Top 10 in wins over that span include Tampa, Cleveland, Milwaukee, Minnesota, and St. Louis. What smaller markets still don't have is as much cushion from being very bad.
-
and then he takes one down the middle and takes ball 4 for a bad strike 3, wonderful
-
That was ball 4 but I'm very happy to see Seiya swinging 3-0 nonetheless
-
It's really bad. Especially for a product like MLB where you need habitual watchers over 162 games instead of people making the effort to find a once a week football game. Worse is that because of that dynamic all these little tastes they're giving to Apple, Peacock, etc are unlikely to convince them to bet big on future rights because the viewership is underwhelming due to the fragmentation/confusion.
-
The classic K, K, GIDP half inning
-
Plan your own trade deadline
Transmogrified Tiger replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I expect the return for Bellinger will be similar to the return they got for Willson. I think it's possible they could get a back of the Top 100 type for him, and I fully expect that to be not nearly enough to part with the draft compensation they'll get for him. There was the rumor that Willson would've gone to the Astros for a current MLB player(Urquidy) were it not for Crane/Dusty so maybe a deal pops up in that vein that's worth it, but that's such a narrow path as the Willson adventure shows. -
Surprised you're so into Walston given that reporting has him sitting 91 with the fastball this year. I'm also not super enthused by the 61/61 K/BB in 95 IP this year. I also don't see anything particularly noteworthy about his workload, seems like a pretty standard 5 IP/start to me? For my money I'd be much more into Cecconi, I actually had a Wisdom/Cecconi deal in mind when browsing around yesterday. He seems not so dissimilar to an Alzolay who hasn't had any work done in this system yet, if you can make the pitch dev tweaks that help him he's a real SP, and if not he should have the building blocks to be a potential late inning reliever. Just the type of profile you want in exchange for a multi-year bench option or a rental reliever.
-
Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 7-20-23
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Also seemed a bit unlucky to get the line he had. Gave up a run on 2 singles in the 1st, and the 3rd was an inherited run that was left on 1B w/ 2 outs when he departed.
