Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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At least 65, imo -
that should not be a HBP
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Regardless of execution, trying to steal third in Coors against the Rockies pen with the top of the order up seems like a dubious decision
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lol Tauchman: "I'm gonna show em that I can still do the job" [rips a single] Ross: "great job, we're pulling you for the kid"
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kinda weird that no one does a hook slide anymore, must be too high risk without a lot of practice that isn't worth it?
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If my calculations are correct that's the 73rd warning track flyout since the start of the Dbacks series
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Depending on the lineup position, I'd be tempted to try to get 4-6 outs from Wesneski in the middle innings. He did throw yesterday but only 9 pitches, you know you're gonna need more length this series because Coors, and with Wicks starting the lineup probably won't be heavy on LHH(which means Wesneski over Smyly). This also leaves open the possibility of not having to throw Fulmer immediately into the late innings fire with no game action in 2 weeks if you can avoid it.
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A hair under 30%. Hopefully his past week marks him turning a corner(.365/.385/.720), but it was still 26% then and that's just one week against the Royals affiliate so the risk remains. I don't watch him as many as some but my big concerns are that he has some non-competitive swings on breaking stuff down(think Morel), and his swing path causes him to swing through some fastballs up in the zone(think pre-Cubs Bellinger). He's also doing real damage when he is making contact and he's made improvements with his baserunning efficiency(10/12 SB at Iowa after 8 CS at AA), but the outputs may be pretty high variance to start with.
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I am very excited to see PCA play, especially with Tauchman's Ortega impression seemingly entering the 'found out' stage. I am also worried about his relative lack of offensive success in AAA. In particular I've tried to pay attention when I see highlights of his ABs and it's mildly worrisome how rarely he seems to get hits up in the zone. Hopefully that's just bad luck in the clips that I've happened to see since I don't watch every AB, but I'm curious how quickly 'fastballs at the top of the zone' becomes the book on him and how quickly he adjusts or proves it wrong to begin with.
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I went to the game, boy does USSF really not care about attendance with those prices. From my amateur eye it looked like Uzbekistan was playing a very compact but not super deep defensive block. Things got static because Ream, Richards, and LDLT/Tessman had little interest in trying to thread line breaking passes, and the front three didn't have much interest in trying to stretch the back line for balls over the top, so it was a lot of wide triangles in tight spaces. Given Berhalter's previous approach to friendlies(he does not care one bit about results) I wouldn't be surprised if that was intentional given the opponent.
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I think there are more likely explanations than they want to get him one additional first pitch fastball because they think he's a baseball playing golden retriever.
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Three of them have time at Iowa this year and all of them outproduced Canario's Iowa line. The other 2 have been above average MLB hitters every year they've been at that level. The three RHH Canario is in greatest competition with are 2 high draft picks(4th and 52nd overall) and an international signing who graduated with a higher FV(per FG) than Canario has. This doesn't mean that there's an enormous chasm between Canario and these players, but it does mean the question of why he doesn't play has a simple answer.
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- alexander canario
- seiya suzuki
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Canario's career minor league performance and prospect pedigree does not indicate someone ready to be an above average major league hitter, ZiPS and Steamer both see him as a sub-90 wRC+ for an objective estimate. Should he play instead of Morel? No, Morel has proven far more at the big league level and Canario's profile is not materially different. Should he play instead of Madrigal/Tauchman when the other is in the field? Probably not as both are putting up an offensive baseline higher than we'd expect from Canario and they have a less exploitable approach at the plate. Should he play instead of Wisdom? Probably not given what Wisdom has done at the MLB level and continues to do(156 wRC+ in limited time since the all-star break). Should he play instead of Mastrobuoni? Well that's rarely going to be a choice given their handedness, but given Mastrobuoni far outproducing Canario's line at AAA and offering greater speed/contact, reasonable people can probably disagree about that one too. Quoting the team's season line at DH that's about 25% Mancini/Hosmer doesn't make a difference when Canario is not the best option for any singular roster choice that would get him in the lineup, that's why he isn't playing.
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That lineup tells me they really like Morel v. Pfaadt and want to be able to yank him for Tauchman against RHRP. Gomes over Candelario is a little silly but Candelario hasn't been hot and it balances handedness for the bullpen I guess.
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All available evidence? This 'well he can't be worse than what we have so it's worth a try' attitude is baffling to me. The games matter a ton, Canario is not an elite prospect and has significant known flaws likely to be exploited in the short term, and there are several alternatives so it's not like there's a singular option he has to beat out.
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that's so, so good Nico
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Right now Fangraphs has the NL playoff line at 84 wins, the Diamondbacks the last WC team and Marlins first out at 83. The Cubs need to go 8-12 to reach 84 wins.
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Before last inning Mastrobuoni was 10/10 in Chicago and 9/9 in Iowa at SB, and in less than 300 PA so not all that many opportunities to be in SB position.
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when you really think about it, in the cosmic sense what is a catch really
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I want to flick that cameraperson in the ear
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Gallen vs. Friday Cubs, big time heavyweight matchup
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Hoping Little got here quick enough that he can get his debut out of the way
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I mean the Iowa rotation is not exactly stuffed to the gills with quality, they keep using Stephen Gonsalves as an opener for lack of better options. But still a little bit odd that there seemed to be momentum for Greene, he got the call up, and then...that. Maybe Hottovy vetoed him or something once he got to Chicago.
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For sure, I don't mean to imply ownership has their hands tied into doing so or anything like that. Just that they don't seem to represent a deviation from the new norm at this point.
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I think this phenomenon is mostly a macro trend. The 2007 Cubs averaged 40,153 and were 6th in attendance. To compare to a more recent emergent season, the 2015 Cubs averaged 36,540 and were....6th in attendance. This year is a step below that at 34,373 and 9th, but this team had less pre-season excitement and looked dead in the water as late as mid-July so I think there's other potential explanations. If next year's team is competitive most of the way through the year and they're still struggling to break a 35k average, that I'd put more on the Wrigley/Ricketts-specific component.
