Transmogrified Tiger
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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto to...the Dodgers? Really? Again?
Transmogrified Tiger replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I have heard 200 million floated around online, which I didn't expect despite being high on him. I could see a long term deal hitting that level given his age, but I would be surprised if he exceeded 30M AAV given the uncertainties of translating to MLB. Plus he'll be posted and not an FA, so a 200 million contract costs an extra 45M+ (outside the LT, but still real money) that will create some additional downward pressure. With the FA options for big upside dropping(Urias, Ohtani in 2024) though, who knows. -
Just eyeballing BBTV, Bryan Woo or Edward Cabrera are names that match up and you could envision being available.
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gotta say I didn't expect Boxberger to come back and go 6 up/6 down in Coors
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Should've said it before the Morel at bat, but I think you've got to send Seiya on that ball. He has a strong arm but that's deep enough that your odds are higher than Morel's OBP.
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I would skip Assad before Taillon.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 9-13-23
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
He got taken off the list earlier this week, he was set to start yesterday(was in the pregame lineup graphic and everything) but they scratched him since the game was delayed by rain. Pending further weather we have to assume he'll go tonight. -
well that was a profoundly stupid series of events
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Happ out here trying to up the level of difficulty for Dansby so he's ready for October crowds, what a teammate
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Those signings would also give you the flexibility to e.g. turn Morel into a controlled SP, so while it's not my current favorite path, you aren't punting on the 2024 rotation entirely. Just probably for any substantive FA addition.
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lol Happ decided real early that he was not going to be *another* out on the bases by trying for 3rd
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Alonso is on the high end of what I would expect as a second addition alongside an Ohtani signing, but it really depends on a couple things that we don't have a good handle on. 1. How far over the LT will they be willing to go, 5 mil v. 15 isn't a lot nominally, but probably significant for how feasible that outcome would be 2. What Ohtani's contract is post-injury, it was assumed he would zoom to 50M AAV, but if he's not pitching in 2024 and especially if he can't hit during some of his recovery, it wouldn't be surprising for that number to come down. How much is the question. 3. Whether Stroman opts out or not, and by extension whether they want to bring back Hendricks. There's permutations where the Cubs save 23 million, 7-13 million, or nothing compared to what we thought was the case before the season.
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awfully close to a balk on that bluff to 2nd
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yeah that's the PCA kryptonite for now, hard and above the belt
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he started on the LF side of the 415 marker
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are you serious
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Don't exaggerate, Sutcliffe has never whispered
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we were talking a few weeks ago about the faint odds of Suzuki having a 130 wRC+ season by the end of his contract and he might get there this season
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Sutcliffe hadn't even finished his sentence about lost runs on the basepaths before endorsing stealing 2nd with Nico
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Madrigal looked extremely safe in real time and that replay certainly didn't dissuade me of that notion
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Yeah, he's a younger Sampson, and possibly a bit more useful than Sampson as a reliever.
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
I'd like it as a move more if the batter were more of a pull hitter than Nimmo, but he's a good hitter so I at least understand the impulse. If holding the runner makes you more likely to give up a double, then the benefit of holding the runner goes down a fair amount. -
I'm not gonna say there's a perfect right and wrong answer to this, but I think it's a tricky line to walk. We know the back end of the pen is a bit thin with Alzolay's injury, Merryweather being down, and Fulmer not having pitched in a game in 2 weeks. Warming guys up comes at a cost, and I understand trying to minimize that cost where you can. In the case of Cuas' outing, he didn't get to a 2 ball count until the 4th hitter, having gone K, K, groundball 1B. The 4th hitter was HBP on a full count(dubiously, I still contend), and only then did things go particularly poorly. Even then he was facing bad, same-sided hitters at the bottom of a bad lineup, so the matchup wasn't especially poor. In order for him to have gotten pulled any earlier, you would've had to start warming a reliever after the 2 out single, which while not indefensible I don't think is unreasonable under the circumstances to let ride a bit further.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 9-10-23
Transmogrified Tiger replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
ooh this is exciting -
I don't expect everyone to engage with games this way, but what's more interesting for me is to treat that 'why are you doing this?' as less of an exclamation and more of a puzzle. Trying to understand why an unexpected decision happens can be a useful exercise and sometimes that process(e.g. 'what would have to be true for this to make sense to me') can lead to greater understanding. Doesn't mean you always agree with it, but I think it helps illustrate the nuances and how these decisions are rarely black/white good/bad. Also sometimes you can think you have it pegged and then your assumption gets undermined 10 minutes later, I don't want to give off the impression that there's some fan nirvana waiting all the time. But in 2023 I think we can give more benefit of the doubt than we did to managers of yore who operated more independently, more stubbornly, and with less information.
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General Baseball Chit-Chat Thread
Transmogrified Tiger replied to David's topic in General Baseball Talk
Maybe it's me being a hater but I think it feels like Friedman because Friedman worked. Chaim Bloom has been underwhelming in Boston, Zaidi didn't revolutionize the Giants, Jed probably could've taken any number of jobs a few years back and hasn't set the world on fire yet, and that's just the big market teams coming from some level of past success. Stearns isn't exactly equivalent to all of those, but I do always wonder how moving from a small market to a big one makes some things harder(e.g. if you never spend money you don't have sunk costs and you take fewer risks), and Cohen is probably going to have *opinions* that will test their ability to stay the course too.
