That's not a totally accurate comparison. Shelton had never done anything like that before, while Kendall has an entire career of performing like he's performed lately. So I don't see Kendall's latest performance to be as fluky as Shelton. And Kendall, as recently as last year, put up a .360 OBP. I just don't see how it's so ludicrous to think he could continue this .340-ish OBP or bump it up a little. What I really don't understand is the people who say "this isn't the Kendall of six years ago" or "this isn't the Kendall of 2000-2003 anymore." He was respectable last year (2006), decent the year before (2005) and good the year before that (2004). That doesn't even reach back to 03 or before. The reason people say that he isn't the old Kendall is because he has been declining for a few years and is unlikely to improve on last year's numbers due to his position and age. I think it is reasonable to expect him to be better than he was in the first half of the season though. If he can have a resurgent second half for the Cubs, he'll probably produce more than any of the other catchers we have would. .399 OBP in 2004, .345 OBP in 2005, .367 OBP in 2006. Before 04, he posted a .399 OBP (03) and a .350 OBP (02). So, he was worse last year than he was in 04, but better than 05. He was also better last year than 2002. I'm not seeing a steady decline in his OBP. Even in OPS (which will be bad because he can't slug) he had a .789 in 04, .666 in 05 and .709 in 06. I don't see how he declined from 2005 to 2006. Especially given his 06 numbers are better than his 2002 numbers. EDIT: Do not take this post as meaning I think Kendall's the greatest thing since sliced bread. I don't. I simply think a .350-.360 OBP as a Cub (or possibly a little better) isn't outrageously stupid.