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dew1679666265

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Everything posted by dew1679666265

  1. dew1679666265
    Fontenot: .673 OPS, .235 EqA Nomar: .696 OPS, .247 EqA There really hasn't been much difference between them this year.
  2. dew1679666265
    RHB against in his career: .236/.327/.343/.670 LHB against in his career: .179/.285/.273/.558 What's wrong with using him as a loogy?
  3. dew1679666265
    Trips to the NLCS and World Series in consecutive seasons is bad? Plus considering they won 89 and 92 games in the respective regular seasons - good, but not dominant - that's a pretty good playoff performance. Also, in those two years, Biggio had an 1.105 and .907 OPS in each NLDS. Had the Astros judged him more off of the four previous awful playoff series (tiny sample sizes) instead of his career regular season numbers (big sample sizes), they would have likely lost their opening series in 2004 and 2005 - and thus not made the NLCS and World Series.
  4. dew1679666265
    I think +100 is a reasonable although not ideal indicator of post season ability. Some guys are cut out for the pressure, some are not. Whether or not a guy can handle pressure is not a productive discussion because it cannot be proven. And why are 100 ABs in the postseason a better indication of a player than Hall of Fame career numbers? I'm saying they should not be batting leadoff. But they can bat second or third in the order? If you judge only on their postseason numbers, they're terrible hitters. Why would you want terrible hitters anywhere near the top of your lineup?
  5. dew1679666265
    Only one of those players has more PS at bats than Soriano, and that's Dimaggio. I wouldn't consider anything under 100 AB in the post season an indicator. The rest: 64 AB, .314 OBP for Cobb 129 AB, .320 OBP for Mcgwire 47 AB, .317 OBP for Helton 140 AB, .304 OBP for Schmidt 106 AB .354 OBP for Bagwell 167 AB .297 OBP for Biggio 120 AB .301 OBP Piazza 68 AB, .315 OBP for Cabrera 174 AB, .263 OBP Soriano Why is 100 ABs the magical cutoff point? At 150 ABs numbers still can be altered drastically by a small number of at bats. Soriano's current numbers could shift 20-30 points in the span of 10-15 ABs (less than a postseason's worth). Why do 100 at bats become useful in evaluation and why wouldn't you want an even larger sample size (such as the entire regular season)? Also, Biggio, Piazza, Schmidt and McGwire all have more than 100 ABs in the postseason and have horrific OBPs. Would you drop them in the order?
  6. dew1679666265
    The point is that postseason success - or lack thereof - happens even with fantastic hitters. I listed Hall of Famers who were terrible in the postseason. However, if Joe Dimaggio or Ty Cobb or Jeff Bagwell were on the Cubs this year, I wouldn't hesitate to plug them right into the heart of the order the minute the playoffs started. I would also more than happily bat Vlad Guerrero anywhere in the top 3 spots of the lineup in the playoffs. Bad postseason numbers or not - it's too small a sample size to make any type of evaluation on it. The argument you're making here, though, it seems, is that because a Vlad Guerrero or a Mike Piazza doesn't have good postseason numbers, he shouldn't bat at the top of the order. Am I misrepresenting you?
  7. dew1679666265
    Nope. But they'd probably give us Michael Barrett. Maybe he could recapture the magic . . . . ?
  8. dew1679666265
    Perfect sporcle quiz for OMC - every answer is a player who played between 1876 and 1941. MLB .400 hitters This is also interesting: Home run leaders from A-Z
  9. dew1679666265
    He's a former Rockies utility infielder. We gave up A ball pitcher Al Alburquerque for him. Here's the thread in transactions on the trade. And here's his baseball reference page. Thanks. Wasn't that kind of an unnecessary trade? He's a platoon partner with Fontenot who has a career OPS of nearly .900 against lefties. We don't have any middle infielder who can hit lefties that well, so I don't think it was unnecessary. For those who have high opinions of Miles, Scales or Blanco, though, it may have been unnecessary.
  10. dew1679666265
    I don't suppose the Jays would part with Rod Barajas?
  11. dew1679666265
    He's a former Rockies utility infielder. We gave up A ball pitcher Al Alburquerque for him. Here's the thread in transactions on the trade. And here's his baseball reference page.
  12. dew1679666265
    It's just not enough evidence. Any hitter can have a great two-week stretch. I think Beckham will be a very good hitter at some point, but a two week period this year isn't proof of anything.
  13. dew1679666265
    He got off to a very slow start in his first 2 weeks. In the last 2 weeks he's hitting .363 with some pop. We'll see how he looks in his second trip around the league. Yeah, I think of him as a former elite prospect and a future All-Star. You don't prove anything in 2 weeks of hitting, though. I agree he's a stud prospect, but not that he's proving he can hit MLB pitching well.
  14. dew1679666265
    I wouldn't call .265/.339/.418/.758 with a .252 EqA proving he can hit well in the majors. Those are decent numbers, but not anything that makes me think he's a certain productive major leaguer. He is doing that at 22, though. It's very hard to compare Vitters and Beckham because Vitters is still just 19 and didn't play in college. Beckham is a much more refined hitter who is 3 years older and did play in college. Two completely different players at this point. Isn't Fox only 4yrs older than Beckham and hitting the ball better? I know Beckham was a highly regarded collegiate player and a 1st round pick but to this point, wouldn't you say Fox is the better player or at least better hitter of the two? Beckham has far more upside than Fox ever did. It's too hard to judge either on their MLB stint though, since neither really have a significant number of MLB ABs.
  15. dew1679666265
    I wouldn't call .265/.339/.418/.758 with a .252 EqA proving he can hit well in the majors. Those are decent numbers, but not anything that makes me think he's a certain productive major leaguer. He is doing that at 22, though. It's very hard to compare Vitters and Beckham because Vitters is still just 19 and didn't play in college. Beckham is a much more refined hitter who is 3 years older and did play in college. Two completely different players at this point.
  16. dew1679666265
    The Braves are apparently offering up Vazquez for an "impact bat." With Tim Hudson set to return soon they have decent SP depth, but little offense and Vazquez is a good trading chip. Counting on injured guys always seems to dicey to me. But I guess you have to take risks. Yeah, if they're going to contend they need offense and don't really have anyone else to trade - unless they deal a bunch of prospects.
  17. dew1679666265
    The Braves are apparently offering up Vazquez for an "impact bat." With Tim Hudson set to return soon they have decent SP depth, but little offense and Vazquez is a good trading chip.
  18. dew1679666265
    This is pretty much my reasoning, but better stated than I did.
  19. dew1679666265
    Check again....... Pinch hitting AB R H 2b 3b HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BABIP P/PA IsoD RBI% Fox 8 1 5 2 0 0 1 0 1 0.625 0.667 0.875 1.542 0.714 4.67 0.042 0.500 I retract that part then. Thanks Fred. Not sure what number it was I was recollecting.
  20. dew1679666265
    Fox might have been a better option overall there, but I don't think it was all that bad a non-move either.
  21. dew1679666265
    Just out of curiosity, where would you have brought them in? Total fantasy baseball here, but how about Fox PH'ing for Fontenot, Fox going to third if we tie it up. Ramirez out, Blanco at 2nd? I could see that. Problem is we eliminate one of the best bats on the team for however long the game lasts in that scenario. Getting to the extra innings should take priority over deciding who to use in the extra innings. Fontenot has been much better this year vs right handers and over his career he's been very good against righties. Fox is hitting better right now, but at last check he was not hitting well as a pinch hitter. Fontenot's a decent bet against righties.
  22. dew1679666265
    Just out of curiosity, where would you have brought them in? Total fantasy baseball here, but how about Fox PH'ing for Fontenot, Fox going to third if we tie it up. Ramirez out, Blanco at 2nd? I could see that. Problem is we eliminate one of the best bats on the team for however long the game lasts in that scenario.
  23. dew1679666265
    Just out of curiosity, where would you have brought them in?
  24. dew1679666265
    Len answered me. 108 pitches for Javy.
  25. dew1679666265
    Any idea on Vazquez's pitch count? It may not matter much, though, since the Braves have Mike Gonzalez and Rafael Soriano in the back end of their pen.
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