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UK1679666180

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Everything posted by UK1679666180

  1. Like you, I had the chance to meet Walt as well. He is a very nice and humble person.
  2. Bruce could probably be more productive than Aaron Miles. :)
  3. You are correct.
  4. Then, the Cubs would have a less talented hitter with better discipline while teams who have been better at developing or drafting patience have both the higher ceiling and the better eye at the plate. Then, of course, you still have the original graph which factors players like Sing, Fontenot, Patterson, Theriot, etc. If you draft toolsy hitters early like the Cubs do, you have to be good at developing or scouting patience. The further up you go, the more important it becomes. If the Cubs drafted more higher college players with good BB/PA ratios out of college than toolsy HS hitters, the problem would not be there. So, that gives them two choices to fix this problem, either draft higher ceiling collegiate players (or the HS player with a great eye) or figure out a better way to improve plate discipline and cont. to draft free-swinging toolsy HS hitters. To me, the Cubs won't change from drafting HS hitters which is fine by me, but they better find out a different way to try and improve their strike zone if it shows it is problematic from the beginning.
  5. Who cares if other teams have the same problem, when did anyone isolate it to just being the Cubs? This is a problem the Cubs have at every level, it needs to be addressed. The entire debate in this thread has been honest, the only one trying to shift it to being pessimistic about everything is you. No one in this thread has focused on the Cubs' shortcomings (beyond lack of BBs) in the thread, to try and shift it is a poor tactic.
  6. It does both, typically you'll find BA as the most accurate as far as which top prospects will have the greatest impact at the ML level. It's not fool-proof, nor will it ever be. To me, if focusing on an area of needed improvement, I focus more on the players more likely to impact the ML roster in the future. Putting equal weight on Theriot and Fonenot as Pie and Harvey doesn't make sense. The graph doesn't show that the Cubs minor leaguers have problems at drawing BBs? I think it does, once again, I don't care if other "respected" teams are at them btm as well, the Cubs are still at the btm.
  7. One of the best SS in the '07 class, needs to get stronger, still can hit line drives, one of the better defenders with an avg. arm.
  8. If we were to be furious over Cleveland having Hollandsworth over Dubois, we'd be Indians fans...
  9. Favorite stat line of the year so far... Wes Roemer (Soph. at Cal St. Fullerton) 68.1IP 48H 1BB 70K 0HR
  10. There's a reason why Sing is not a top prospect compared to Harvey, Pie, and Dopirak. But, unlike almost every organization they are poor at drawing BBs which is something that has plagued the Cubs at both the minor league and major league level. Between, my results on the top prospects of every organziation and the one 1st provided, I think it shows a reason to be concerned and is without a doubt an area for improvement. The farm system has been on a decline for quite some time, part of that reason is due to an inability of the elite prospects to draw BBs. It's up to you to ignore it or compare it other organizations, but it's there and is a problem, both in the overall scheme of the farm system and especially with the elite prospects.
  11. This is what I mean, why compare the Cubs to the Stros, Sox, Indians, and Dodgers. What does it prove, beyond other teams with prospects that fail to walk often. The reason why you use top 10 prospects is b/c despite the small number, most who make an impact (starter) will come from the top 10 in each organization. The 10-30 range will likely consist of bench players or never make it to the majors.
  12. Who cares about team perception... At the ML level, they finished 28th with 419BBs while the avg. team finished with 507 BBs. So far thru the 1st 15 teams I've done... The top 4 or the position prospect in the top 10 in each system (according to BA) Cubs prospects have avg'd 40BBs per 500ABs. The only system that was worse was LAA with 34BBs per 500. The avg. team has avg'd 55 BBs, while the Cubs have avg'd 40. That's a huge difference. Teams like ATL with more HS prospects who are just as toolsy as the Cubs have avg'd 65BBs per 500ABs.
  13. Heh, throw them in the mix at 80-82.
  14. Heh, throw them in the mix at 80-82.
  15. Garcia was the main name involved in the trade, Crisp had value as he was in the Cards top 30, but Garcia had more value at the time than Crisp.
  16. NL East: Braves 93-69 Mets 88-74 (pitching will hurt them) Phillies 85-77 National 77-85 Marlins 74-88 NL Central: Cards 90-72 Cubs 84-78 Astros 83-79 Brewers 82-80 Reds 76-86 Pirates 75-87 NL West: Dodgers 83-79 Padres 81-81 Giants 80-84 Rockies 70-92 NL ROY:Fielder Cy Young:Hudson MVP-Pujols Braves over Dodgers in 4 Cards over Mets in 5 Braves over Cards in 6 AL East: Yankees 96-66 Red Sox 91-71 Toronto 85-77 Balt 83-79 Tampa 72-90 AL Central White Sox 95-67 Clev. 92-70 Minn. 83-79 KC 76-86 Det 76-86 AL West Oak. 94-68 LAA 91-71 Tex 81-81 Sea 78-84 LAA def. Clev. in a one game playoff. Anaheim defeats NYY in 5 Oakland defeats Sox in 4 Anaheim defeats Oakland in 6. AL Roy: Johjima AL MVP: A-Rod Cy Young-Harden Anaheim defeats the Braves in 5.
  17. Let's hope it's just the Cubs being cautious with such valuable commodity. I have no problem with them sending him to Boise. They could probably get him 5-10 starts at Boise and another 5-10 starts at Peoria. 15 starts/75-90IP would not be considered a failure, IMO.
  18. I think he'll be able to hit in the 10-20 HR range. I see him as an Ichiro or a Tony Gwynn type of hitter, line drive hitter who sacrifices BBs for contact.
  19. FWIW, Crisp was the PTBNL. I believe Garcia was the most valued player Clev. rec'd at that time.
  20. Some on this board play HS Baseball in the state of IL. I attend as many as games as possible. It's been a terrible Spring as far as getting in games. I've only attended 3 games so far. Overall, this is a weak draft class. There won't be a Bowden, Wade Kapteyn RHP of Illiana Christian will be the 1st drafted and the only one likely drafted in the 1st 5 rounds. I like Joe Benson of Joliet Catholic more, but he has a full ride FB scholly to Purdue and is expected to be a more difficult sign than Kapteyn who has committed to nearby Evansville. If you have any questions on various teams or players, i'll try to answer them.
  21. A good portion of Greg's career was before the offensive explosion of the late 90s. Every pitcher in the late 90s to the present has had the same disadvantages as Maddux. ERA+ would do a pretty good job of how he has done vs. the rest of the league. I haven't looked it up, but if he's in the top 3, you could make a good case.
  22. As far as strikeouts of each team. Cubs prospects avg'd 107 Ks per 500ABs and Oakland avg'd 96 Ks per 500ABs.
  23. No, he's not good at adaptation. Which will be interesting to see how he handles Pierre at the top as well as the speed off the bench.
  24. If you look at it from a BA top 10 perspective. The Cubs have 5 position prospects in the 10, 4 are from HS and Latin America (Pie, Cedeno, Harvey, and Dopirak) and 1 from college (Patterson). Pie, Cedeno, Harvey, and Dopirak avg'd 34 BBs per 500 ABs. Patterson avg'd 64 BBs per 500ABs Oakland had 2 HS/Latin prospects (Barton/Herrera) and 4 College prospects in their top 10 (Pennington, Either, Buck, Melillo). Barton and Herrera avg'd 80.5 BBs per 500Ks and Pennington, Buck, Either, Melillo avg'd 67.25 Bbs per 500ABs. In total, Cubs prospects avg'd 40BBs per 500ABs and Oak. prospects avg'd 72 BBs
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