UK1679666180
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Everything posted by UK1679666180
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The flaw of the pythag. record can be determined by what would their pythag. record be without the 20-2 loss this weekend? It's just as valid of a comparison, if you expected the Cubs to be on pace for 105-110 wins at the start, I would've thought that's just as nuts as expecting the Cards to win 94. Teams that have a higher standard deviation from their pitching staff and a lower deviation from their offense will often have a better overall record than the opposite even if they have the same run differential. [expletive], I hate stats.
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The Cards were expected to finish towards the btm b/c the Brewers have been a disappointment as well as Cincy, no one knew what to expect from Houston, and Pitt. was expect to finish last. No one expected the Cubs to be on pace for 105 wins and one of the top run differentials of all-time at this point either. Both teams are about 15 games ahead of what I likely expected from each of them (Cubs at 90) (Cards at 79 wins)
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That doesn't mean I can't comment on it nor feel that some would rather chalk it up to something other than the Cards playing well.
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How do you know what you don't like reading, if you don't read it? I agree w/Bruno w/the frustration as far as people chalking up the Cards playing well to luck rather than a team that no one counted on playing well that might be a good team playing well. This also correlates to Cards players doing well and some sort of pixie dust as the reason, rather than that/those player(s) making strides (whether it be something long-term or short-term).
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If that means that they're playing well through 2 weeks away from halfway (despite alot of injuries) & likely equating to them being a good team, then put me in the circle. There comes a point when sample sizes and pre-season predictions become diminished and likely to be wrong. If them sticking around and cont'g to play well despite injuries leads to question "how do they still win?", that probably means that they are a good team. If it was July or August you might have a point, but it's mid-June. MLB history is littered with teams who overachieved for 3-4 months and then faded down the stretch. The Reds have done it multiple times in this decade alone. You're right and it's just as likely that a less favored team will con't to play well and compete or maybe sneak in and win the division. Look at the Cubs of '01, & '03 as far as teams not expected to compete but hung around to win 88 wins and one division title.
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Because they already had the season where no one gets hurt (2004). Now they get to have the season where everyone gets hurt and they inexplicably play well anyway. It's not luck that teams that can still win despite injuries or that rotations built on rubber arms and guys coming off of injuries can pitch for an entire season. For as much talk about STL playing over their heads, the Cubs have as well.
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If that means that they're playing well through 2 weeks away from halfway (despite alot of injuries) & likely equating to them being a good team, then put me in the circle. There comes a point when sample sizes and pre-season predictions become diminished and likely to be wrong. If them sticking around and cont'g to play well despite injuries leads to question "how do they still win?", that probably means that they are a good team.
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If it was luck, how could they all be hurt? They nearly gave that game away with all the HBP in the 8th.
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Would you mortgage the future for a better shot at the WS?
UK1679666180 replied to RegulusBlue's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
There isn't anyone in the Cubs' system (that isn't currently helping the Cubs) that I would consider as a future "need to have" to maintain future playoff showings. I would mortgage the future to increase the talent on the 25 man roster. -
Throwing this out there: is Fukudome rather unimpressive?
UK1679666180 replied to badnews's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm pleased with Fukudome, this is what I expected from him his 1st year. I would like to see him let loose more ahead in the count, though. -
Marquis Throwing a Splitter?
UK1679666180 replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I didn't watch the game yesterday, but if he could develop that 3rd pitch, it would definitely him. That pitch will be more effective if comes in similar to the sinker and then drops off the table. He'll flash what appears to be a change, but it's not something he can retire hitters with. -
Dayan Viciedo defects.
UK1679666180 replied to chuckywang's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Fwiw, I believe that it is the Cuban hat. -
He hasn't been the same since he can't throw up in the zone anymore.
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I have no clue.
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TT, in '07 when Cales was at UIC, that one BB he had in the 35+ IP was intentional.
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Give it to a little ankle biter. (Unless it's worth something from a monetary or historical POV).
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I love Rebel Ridling. A story crossed the wire last week about him — I think his hometown has 800 people in it or something like that. That's straight up country right there, I love country kids.
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Sonny Gray-I won't bother with a report.
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West Virginia’s Friday night starter, Whitlock continued to show impressive stuff with a fastball consistently in the low-90s, touching 93. He was again plagued this season by control/command issues, however, as he walked 47 and gave up 12 home in 93 innings while striking out 70. The result was an unimpressive 7-7, 5.69 record—a year after going a more respectable 7-5, 3.51
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nope
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He redshirted this past season. Cales was the closer at UIC in '07. http://uicflames.cstv.com/sports/m-basebl/stats/2006-2007/teamcume.html (as well as the SS)
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The odds of that kid coming from the country are pretty good with a name like Rebel.
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Ridling can hit. He topped the Santa Barbara Foresters of the California Collegiate League last summer in average (.381), home runs (11) and RBIs (59), and that performance came on the heels of a productive .336-14-68 junior season at Oklahoma State. Despite his prowess at the plate, Ridling was not drafted last June—ostensibly because a six-figure price tag was deemed excessive and scared off teams. Ridling has good balance at the plate, stays back on balls exceptionally well and can turn on a fastball, though struggles with breaking balls. He has above-average power potential and homered three times in one game last summer. Strictly a first baseman at Oklahoma State, Ridling split his time between first and left field at Santa Barbara. Ridling’s outfield defense and arm strength are adequate, but he projects as a first baseman in pro ball.—ALLAN SIMPSON UPDATE (5/15): Essentially the same player he was a year ago, Ridling virtually duplicated his junior season by hitting .325-18-65 (entering NCAA tournament play). He was still somewhat of a guess hitter who swung-and-missed often, especially at breaking balls, but he put a charge into pitches he could handle and showed raw power to all fields. He should be a solid organizational senior draft.—
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Got nothing on Tarlabdas Mitchell either
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I got nothing on Vincent Watkins