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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Yeah, he's not a full-slot save. But he's also probably not going to get full 5th round slot, either.
  2. I'd imagine a decent amount still. Not a great college track record outside of defense. I don't think he's your "full-slot" save or anything insane, but this is also probably a "Listen. you're not a hot draft prospect type, so we'll offer you 6th/7th round slot and take you in the 5th" type stuff, too. So I'd guess it's not a major money saver, but that he's under slot.
  3. The Cubs did something similar last year when they zigged while everyone zagged. Last year it was "draft college arms when no one else was (I.E. Wiggins, Sanders) and this year it feels they're doing that with prep bats the last two picks.
  4. It's amazing to me how we as a society can create all of these AI things but until a human being gets to the MLB we have no idea how tall or how much they weigh with any sort of accuracy.
  5. I've come on a full 180 on Southestine. When you read the BA stuff and the MLB.com thing I was...luke-warmish on Southestine, but the more I see from him the more it sounds like he's a fun little pick (pun intended. Got 'em!). There's an interesting profile there. Sounds like he needs a swing cleanup a bit, add some lift? But as a 4th round pick there's MLB starting upside. Maybe find 12 home runs in that bat.
  6. Sounds like there's solid barrel ability here. Good bat to ball. Not very big. UT Commit, so not only is that a good thing because they're a good program, it's a good thing because it cuts their legs out (Sorry, had to throw a jab in!). Probably the least upside-y pick so far, but kind of a cool player.
  7. I'm sure they'll get him under. Guys don't get picked in the top-10 rounds if they won't sign. Good for them; nice pick.
  8. That too! I really try to ignore the overall rankings. Especially when we get this deep in the draft. It's personal preference and even at that there's minute margins between most guys. And it's a lot easier to rank a 21 year old who we all saw pitch in the ACC the last three years versus a 17 year old who's only even recently gained US citizenship who played prep-ball outside of the public sphere. Many of these rankings are relying on a few games and you're right, they might have been games early in the year. Overall, I think the profile here is interesting. He's a kid with a frame he can grow into. He's already showing insane EV. You get him to buy into an approach switch, you build him out at 3b...there's upside to dream on here.
  9. My guess is a couple of things: 1. It's hard to nail down these prep guys. The Padres took another prep SS right before who was "unranked". There's so many prep guys from so many corners of the planet, deciding who's #387 and who's #543 is basically a guessing game. 2. There's concerns with the approach here. He's a big swinger and it's not always pretty. He's very young and toolsy. These things generally go hand in hand. It creates greater uncertainty moving forward. 3. He's unlikely to stick at SS.
  10. I really like the Cubs strategy here in 2024. This draft is top-heavy. So what have the Cubs done with picks 1, 2, and 3? They went big game hunting. Guys with pop, bat speed, and high EV. We'll see how it plays out, but it's interesting and I'm not against the concept. I suspect they feel confident on the depth of the organization. And we've talked about how they've been missing star power.
  11. We're in the third round of a draft that is largely felt to have a huge drop off After picks 50+. Cruz offers pretty huge upside. EV of 108 at the combine. Major power. 17, so you get him super young and hope you can work on the approach. Round 3 in the MLB draft is always a risk. I'd rather chance it on a 17 year old than a middling college performer at this stage.
  12. I saw an MLB.com scouting report video that said his power wasn't great. But it was posted in 2023's winter. I think it's just outdated.
  13. I'd agree. Amick is fine, and I can't say I've done huge legwork on Mathis (he was not on my radar here), but what I have done makes me impressed. He's a fun pick. He's a *funky* pick. But fun. I'm excited for Mathis.
  14. Mathis is an oddball pick. Don't get that twisted, that's not bad...but it's odd. They drafted a guy most everyone thinks is a 1b...and announced him at 3b. He's not a big-school kid. Did crush the Cape (they love the Cap). And the Cubs don't like drafting 1b. I didn't see a Mathis type pick. That feels like an underslot pick. But maybe others were really into him too and it's full slot. But that feels like there might be some money left over.
  15. The dichotomy of Rockies picks. Condon might hit 60 bombs and Brecht is looking at that thin air wondering what he did to make people mad.
  16. Have missed the entire draft so far. Between my own baseball game (we lost 16-4 and it was 97degrees. Yeesh) and moving (no internet until tomorrow AM), it's been tough to follow. On Cam Smith; fine pick. He wouldn't have been my pick, but I can't overly argue. Strong Cape performances and I've heard Ty Nichols, who was at the Cape, saw a lot of him out there. So there's your connection. He's among the younger selections. There's a good chance he sticks at 3b. The modeling data loves him. The swing...got way worse. He needs a refresh (or more) to get him to a place where I think hes an upper echelon upside guy, but there's also upside there. So I can't say I'd have picked him 14th if you gave me the keys to the kingdom, but I also can't whing and complain. It's got logic, I trust Nichols and hopefully the Cubs take a kind of bad swing and turn it into a good one!
  17. He's not even in the portal. There's been zero scuttle on that here in Lexington. I'm a big UK fan; alumni and still live in the city. While maybe true, it'd come out of nowhere. Edit; sorry just saw your post above! You're good dude. There's like 10,00 kids. Easy to mix em up!
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