Jason Ross

Maybe. We'll see - there's a decent chance in the next two days the Cubs ship out two starting players, and some prospects, to shuffle things around for the second best player on the market. That'd be pretty ballsy to me.

I think any trade that the Cubs complete will make them believe that by the end of the offseason, they will be better. We should not need to worry about it. The Cubs aren't shooting from the hip here and hoping it magically works - they'll have some sort of a plan. Whether it's that they think Shaw can handle 3rd, or that they're going to turn themselves to grab a SP with the prospects they saved... The belief will be that a Tucker trade makes them better by OD.

That's probably on the low end. It depends on how you view Teel. There's plenty in the industry who think he's a borderline top-20 guy, and others (like Jarret Seidler) who think he's more of a top-50 guy. I think if you see Teel like Seidler, that probably fits. If you see him more like a top-20 guy, then I think Shaw/Smith/Wiggins/Long might fit.,

Today is get away day, yes.

Players can be added to the Triple-A reserve team for a specific amount of money. I believe it works just like the MLB version - if they do not stick at Triple-A the entire season they are returned. But it's a lot easier to keep a guy stashed in Triple-A.

How out of touch with reality do you think Jed Hoyer is? I get that we all have this negative feeling about everything, but Jed Hoyer lives on planet Earth. If you and I know that he'd never once consider that, then so does Hoyer. I think we have to give some understanding that while Hoyer hasn't shown that ability in the past, that he also understands value and what a player needs. I think we also have to understand that he probably wouldn't trade these assets without that understanding or some belief he can offer a market value deal.

Even more so - for all of the bashing Hoyer took for his comments on why he didn't attempt to sign Juan Soto, there's plenty in there that makes you believe he would try to sign Tucker. Say what you want about Jed, he's usually pretty transparent when he talks. People laughed when he said that the Cubs made a choice internally not to pursuit him and that they would consider a large market value for someone else - it was 24 hours later we saw how deep they were on Tucker. I don't think that's an accident. I don't think it's an accident he said that, and I don't think it's an accident that Tucker also plays the same position. Listening to those quotes back, it sounds much more like "we feel better about acquiring Kyle Tucker. We would consider a market value contract for him" with the added context.

Most of the rumors will say that, yes, but I think he has to say that. By saying "I want to be a free agent" he's really saying "pay me like a free agent". If he says "I' am open to an extension" it says "I'd be willing to take a discount" to some. The messaging from Tucker and his camp will almost assuredly continue to be that. The Cubs will continue to say they see this as a 1-year trade, largely because we have to separate trade from extension. I do contend that the Cubs wouldn't move these kinds of assets without any thought that an extension was possible, or that they were so out of touch with reality that they don't understand what his market value is. They most likely will attempt to engage him and his reps during the next few months on seeing how well they can work towards a market value extension. Overall, it's probably fair to assume the most likely scenario is that he'd be here for one year. But that we can also be logical and understand why he's saying what he's saying, and that the team is probably not doing this with an eye on just one year, too.

Why are people still latching onto this *one* report where the Astros asked for both guys? Jed was pretty open with the fact that he's almost assuredly coming back as a Cub and multiple reports have suggested the Cubs dont want to include him. This is how negotiating works: you ask the moon and hope to land among the stars. They're so very unlikely to trade both, and it shouldn't require both if we look at what teams have paid for similarly valued one-year players. Juan Soto went for less 365 days ago, and we all agree he's a better player. Another indication they're not including Suzuki; they're getting close to sending Bellinger out. Trading three starters away would put the Cubs in a pretty big bind. Theyre also on record stating they don't want a primary DH which limits any ability to replace a third starter. It all but eliminates guys like Joc Pederson as a fall back. That Cubs match up amazingly with the Astros. They want a corner INF who's MLB ready and we know they love Parades (they were close to getting him in July). The Cubs have the deepest farm system at the Triple-A level in baseball. It may not be deepest overall but at the Triple-A level it probably is. They want SP? We have depth there too. I understand people wanting to limit their own disappointment if it doesn't go down, but the Cubs have a better offer than the Yankees right now according to almost every report. They have more to offer than the Yankees, who have no obvious corner INF to give. They have a VP of Baseball Ops who has a good reason to make this happen. If it doesn't happen, it doesn't happen - it's always more likely a trade doesn't come together than it does. But we should probably stop inventing reasons why it won't, too, just to satisfy our own wants to limit disappointment.

Other than not wanting to be hurt if the Cubs don't get him, is there any reason you believe this? I dont mean that rudely, just wondering if I'm missing something or if it's just tempering your own expectations To put it simply, the Cubs have better things to offer. The Yankees may be motivated but it seems Hoyer is too. I think the Cubs will get this over the line.

Every few years or so someone comes along and gets some massive deal and everyone says it's going to ruin extensions. It was that way for Harper a few years ago. It was Ohtani last year. It's Soto this year. Despite that, there are people who extend before they hit FA. Glasgow did last year. Devers the year before (though not a trade). Tucker may hit FA. But I think the Soto contract isn't a massive boogeyman here. If he wants to hit FA he will. But if the Cubs offer him market value, there's a real chance he could extend.

On the Roger's comment about believing the Cubs will be unlikely to extend him - I think that's just prudent. Tucker will want top dollar and a contract probably 2x any Cub contract before. Signing him will be tricky. I think you have to assume it's unlikely until they can or do. I do think the Cubs are not making a Tucker trade only with an eye on one year and a QO pick. There has to be some feeling he'd be interested in sitting down and talking.

It's probably a bit of column A and a bit from column B. I think at times, they could make better decisions. But every other team you listed here also gets benefits (the Cardinals sometimes) from being revenue sharing teams. They get more picks, and other bonuses. The Cubs benefit is being from a huge market. They could stand to make better choices at times, but not flexing their financial muscles enough, is a detriment and fighting with an arm tied behind their back, too.

Well that's my prediction. I think they will, ultimately, settle on something close to that

Sharma and Mooney update. There's nothing big on Tucker but two points: 1. Cubs have met with Sasaki and his representatives 2. Cubs have interest in Hoby Milner

I'd do it as well.

I think that's one impact prospect too many. My guess will be: Parades One of: Caissie/Smith/Alcantara And a sweetner. It could be a pitcher like Assad or Wicks. It could be a guy like Jonny Long or Cole Mathis. But I think that's about in line with what Soto went for last year, and that's probably overpaying for Tucker, who is great, but isn't Soto, either.

The Astros are even stingier with long term deals than the Cubs. I think they're pretty clearly not going to sign Tucker at all. For all of the winging we have over Swanson being the biggest contract under Hoyer, the Astros have never gone over six years. They also reportedly love Parades. This turns a guy they probably will never extend into a guy they control for 3 years who is designed for their home field. I also suspect that if the Cubs trade for Tucker, there's some reason to believe that the can extend him. How likely that is? I'm not sure. But I think there's some belief.

Rogers was on ESPN 1000. Basically said that he think the Cubs have the inside track on Tucker over the Yankees. Also that Cody Bellinger to the Yankees was picking up steam. If the Yankees felt confident on Tucker, they'd not need Bellinger - who could play 1b or OF, depending on what they want to do. Bregman seems likely to choose shortly and industry believes Yankees are the team to beat here. If the Cubs trade Bellinger, I cannot imagine they'd be including both Parades and Suzuki to the Astros. They won't deal three starters. So end result I'm expecting these dominoes to fall reading the leaves: 1. Bregman signs with NYY 2. Cubs trade Bellinger to NYY for...things. 3. Cubs trade Parades or Suzuki to Astros, plus like one of Smith/Caisse/Alcantara and maybe some lower end prospects like Cole Mathis or something. They get Tucker. Rogers also suggested these trades could get done in the next few days. I think it might be quicker and more rapid fire than even that.

This probably means more good news on the Tucker trade.

Joel Sherman - Yankees have cooled on Christian Walker

If Rogers is saying there's building to a Bellinger-Yankees swap, it means Seiya isn't going to Houston, very likely. Or at least, Parades and Seiya wuoldn't be going. I think it's still Parades, but the Cubs aren't dealing three starters here. That'd be madness. I truly think Heyman's reporting is bad here, ya'll. That's more than Soto got last year. And he's a better player. I think we're all worked up about bad reporting.

If I had to posit a guess here, I'd guess this is a bit of a "Mexican Standoff" for a lack of a better term as the team's await Bregman and they both want this done on their terms. If Bregman choses the Yankees, then the Cubs deal headlined with Parades is probably the best looking on the table. If it's that he stays, I'd guess the Yankees offering Gil might be more attractive. Or I'd assume the Astros are framing it that way. So you have Houston demanding the premium to do it before the decision and the Cubs holding off from that and/or trying to suggest they'd lower their offer if he went to the Yankees. Idk. Just a guess here.

He's got some legit followers. Eno Saris, Jim Passan, Paul Sporer, Marc Craig and a bunch of others. Usually guys with those followers don't tweet garbage.