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Outshined_One

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Everything posted by Outshined_One

  1. Outshined_One
    Odd draft, and not the one I expected.
  2. Outshined_One
    There's definitely something up league-wide. 2024 Undrafted Ranked Players 2025 Undrafted Ranked Players The draft isn't over yet and it's likely at least a few of those guys get popped, but there's a lot of mid-tier HS depth that's currently sitting undrafted compared to last year.
  3. Outshined_One
    Selecting multiple guys who dropped due to medicals is definitely a choice.
  4. Outshined_One
    The key thing to keep in mind with the Cubs' draft is their bonus pool is dictated by where they are picking in the draft and how many picks they have. Because they have the 17th pick and did not receive any draft pick compensation for any FAs, they are pretty much middle of the road relative to the rest of the league. In the Cubs' situation, finding 2-3 guys people are excited about in the first 10 rounds is actually a good thing. It's not ideal, I'll grant that, but they're not situated to take top end guys by virtue of where they are picking and their draft pool won't let them go completely bananas. You basically end up ragpicking in this scenario, and it's hard to find treasure among the detritus. It's worth keeping an eye on the next few rounds, though.
  5. Outshined_One
    The Tigers apparently drafted an entire college:
  6. Outshined_One
    The Cubs just drafted a 6'8 245 lb pitcher.
  7. Outshined_One
    I'm not thrilled with a guy who has had back issues as a teenager, but the potential is excellent.
  8. Outshined_One
    It'd be hilarious if Bruin Agbayani were a Southern Cal commit, but alas, only Michigan.
  9. Outshined_One
    Athletic high upside HS arm with limited mileage, promising offspeed stuff, and comes from a baseball family. All good things!
  10. Outshined_One
    That's more like it.
  11. Outshined_One
    Turley off the board. The A's have had a low key really good draft so far.
  12. Outshined_One
    The short answer is, there is a lot of fuzzy accounting that happens in the MLB Draft. Teams have bonus pools which they can allocate, and MLB places penalties on teams on a sliding scale based on how far over a team goes. On the flipside of the equation, HS players now have a fair amount of leverage thanks to NIL, so there's not a lot of risk for guys to ask for significant signing bonuses. Make no mistake, the overwhelming majority of HS guys rated as first round picks will get drafted in the first round and will sign. However, where things get squishy is when you start seeing guys making first round demands who maybe aren't rated that high. So, what a team might end up doing is draft a bunch of guys who'll sign underslot, and then take one of those guys with, say, a 6th round pick and offer him a substantial bonus. If he signs, awesome. If he doesn't, it's not as big of a loss compared with drafting him with a 2nd rounder and losing that pick. There's a good crop of high ceiling HS pitching still available, including Chicago area pitchers LHP Jack Bauer (Lincoln Way East) and LHP Cameron Appenzeller (Glenwood HS).
  13. Outshined_One
    A healthy Conrad is probably around 7 for me, behind Alcantara and Long, but as is, I'd probably slide him back around 9 due to his injury and surgery. He apparently is making good progress with his recovery, but shoulder injuries have a nasty tendency to linger, and I'm curious as to whether he'll see any action in fall/winter ball.
  14. Outshined_One
    I agree, this is about the Big Picture, but in the moment, it's disappointing.
  15. Outshined_One
    So. I like these picks in a vacuum. If you told me the Cubs took these three guys individually, I'd be okay with each one. Conrad, Kepler, and Reid all make sense as Cubs picks. But, together? It doesn't look fantastic on paper.
  16. Outshined_One
    I have a hard time bagging on drafts. I'm sure I could turn the clock back to threads from the last 20 years where I was praying the Cubs wouldn't take future HOFers and hoping beyond hope they'd take guys who flamed out in AA. Except Hayden Simpson. horsefeathers that pick.
  17. Outshined_One
    Seems to have a better eye at the plate from the reports. He sounds like the CF version James Triantos or Nico Hoerner, which is, fine, I guess? A profile like that should be a quality 4th OF as a realistic outcome, but it's the sort of pick you'd expect after taking an overslot in the 1st.
  18. Outshined_One
    I'm underwhelmed, but will wait for The Model to tell me why I'm wrong.
  19. Outshined_One
    horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers Stop taking all the fun ones other teams!!!
  20. Outshined_One
    After Cole Mathis being a bit of a mess post-injury recovery, I really hope this team did their homework on his medicals.
  21. Outshined_One
    Chaos is fun, but no one's gone completely off board yet. Hall and Bremner were still potential picks in the 10-15 range in early mocks. It mostly feels.like a reshuffling of the top 15 picks so far.
  22. Outshined_One
    Devin Taylor also makes sense as an underslot if you buy the Schwarber Lite comps.
  23. Outshined_One
    Woohoo, it's finally here! Late rumors have Wehiwa Aloy and Marek Houston slipping, with Devin Taylor and Ethan Conrad getting attention as possible underslot candidates in the Cubs' range. This is also the first draft in awhile where the #1 pick hasn't been sussed out yet, from what I remember. Bazzana came close, but I believe the Guardians made their intentions known around this point last year.
  24. Outshined_One
    Closing up shop here, it's draft day!
  25. Outshined_One
    ESPN just posted an article about the betting odds for a celebrity golf tournament. I know this isn't the low point when it comes to gambling and ESPN, but there's something really warped about this article. I feel like anyone who pays serious attention to it should sign up for Gam-Anon meetings.
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